Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 31st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, China Construction Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of March 31st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, China Construction Bank.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 31st): Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, CCB

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

MSCI Emerging Markets Index / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. </li>
<li>The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).</li>
<li>The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).</li>
</ul>


In our February 6, 2023 EM Strategy, we discussed that we were buyers of the MSCI EM (EEM-US) on a pullback to the 50-day MA. 
The pullback went a bit deeper but managed to hold at our $37.50 line-in-the-sand which we discussed in our recent ETF Pathfinder reports (Mar. 6 and Mar. 20, 2023).
The EEM-US displays a bullish 2-month downtrend reversal- add exposure. Signs continue to point to a topping DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. EAFE).


MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toshiba-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:637:1" rel="noopener">Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)</a>'s Board is clearly giving this to shareholders and saying "We did our job. Now it's up to you."</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyota-industries-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4500:1" rel="noopener">Toyota Industries (6201 JP)</a> admits to falsifying some engine emission tests. But the market dinging the company ~20% is excessive. </li>
<li>US$16bn of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> got delivered on 24 March 2023. That's a lot.</li>
</ul>



Toshiba Corp (6502 JP)'s Board is clearly giving this to shareholders and saying "We did our job. Now it's up to you."

Toyota Industries (6201 JP) admits to falsifying some engine emission tests. But the market dinging the company ~20% is excessive. 
US$16bn of Meituan (3690 HK) shares from Tencent (700 HK) got delivered on 24 March 2023. That's a lot.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Toyota Industries, Meituan, Kingsoft, Rakuten Bank

<ul>
<li>Despite the topline growth of 20%, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:492:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)</a> recorded a loss in FY22 after a large impairment for its holding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingsoft-cloud" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28835:1" rel="noopener">Kingsoft Cloud (KC US)</a>.</li>
<li>Preceding my comments on Kingsoft are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.</li>
<li>These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.</li>
</ul>


Despite the topline growth of 20%, Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK) recorded a loss in FY22 after a large impairment for its holding in Kingsoft Cloud (KC US).
Preceding my comments on Kingsoft are the weekly setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation &gt;20%.


StubWorld: Impairments Weigh Down Kingsoft Solid Results

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We recently conducted a round of interviews of Chinese start-up gaming companies, and we see an overall loosening in the regulatory environment, although near-term hit titles are still absent.</li>
<li>We are positive on Tencent because of the increasing possibility of DNF mobile launch. We raise NetEase’s TP to US$ 99, and it’s one of our top picks now</li>
<li>Other gaming companies that have upward trends include Kingsoft, Lingxi Games (under Alibaba), Koei Tecmo, Nexon, and Mihoyo. Companies with a downward trend include BILI and Garena (under SEA).  </li>
</ul>


We recently conducted a round of interviews of Chinese start-up gaming companies, and we see an overall loosening in the regulatory environment, although near-term hit titles are still absent.
We are positive on Tencent because of the increasing possibility of DNF mobile launch. We raise NetEase’s TP to US$ 99, and it’s one of our top picks now
Other gaming companies that have upward trends include Kingsoft, Lingxi Games (under Alibaba), Koei Tecmo, Nexon, and Mihoyo. Companies with a downward trend include BILI and Garena (under SEA).  


[Gaming Sector Update]: Top Picks Are Tencent and NetEase, Positive to Kingsoft, Koei Tecmo, Nexon.

China

Kingsoft Corporation Ltd. develops and markets computer software.  The Company develops role-playing computer games and security, word processing, and spreadsheet software.

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Kingsoft Corp (3888 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Mar 31st): Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, CCB

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Tencent, Meituan, Bilibili, Lenovo, Kingsoft, China...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

MSCI EM $EEM 2-Month Downtrend Reversal at Support -- Add Exposure. Upgrading Taiwan to Overweight

Signs continue to point to a topping $DXY, and a declining DXY has historically resulted in EM outperformance (vs. $EAFE). Many ideas in China/Hong...

Vermilion Research

Last Week in Event SPACE: Toshiba, Toyota Industries, Meituan, Kingsoft, Rakuten Bank

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

StubWorld: Impairments Weigh Down Kingsoft Solid Results

The market is assigning HK$28bn less to Kingsoft's stub ops over the past year - however, deconsolidated stub EBITDA is up. As is (~HK$21/share)...

David Blennerhassett

[Gaming Sector Update]: Top Picks Are Tencent and NetEase, Positive to Kingsoft, Koei Tecmo, Nexon.

We recently conducted a round of interviews of Chinese start-up gaming companies. Our top picks are Tencent and NetEase. We are also positive to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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