External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

Kingdee International Software / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Kingdee reported its 1H24 results: revenue was up 11.9% YoY (1H23: 16.8% YoY) to RMB2.87bn, 2% shy of Bloomberg consensus, which in our view can be attributed to a lengthened deal cycle and softer-than-expected growth amid macro headwinds (especially small and micro enterprises, whose YoY revenue growth slowed to 9% YoY in 1H24 from 19% in 1H23), while the net loss of RMB218mn implies a YoY reduction of 23% and was 20% narrower than consensus estimates, which demonstrated Kingdee’s determination to improve operating efficiency.</li><li>Core SaaS product Galaxy’s ARR growth momentum remained healthy with 24% YoY growth in subscription ARR in 1H24 (1H23: +29% YoY).</li><li>Meanwhile, large enterprise revenue growth of 38.9% YoY (1H23: 38.4%) remains solid, in our view. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kingdee reported its 1H24 results: revenue was up 11.9% YoY (1H23: 16.8% YoY) to RMB2.87bn, 2% shy of Bloomberg consensus, which in our view can be attributed to a lengthened deal cycle and softer-than-expected growth amid macro headwinds (especially small and micro enterprises, whose YoY revenue growth slowed to 9% YoY in 1H24 from 19% in 1H23), while the net loss of RMB218mn implies a YoY reduction of 23% and was 20% narrower than consensus estimates, which demonstrated Kingdee’s determination to improve operating efficiency.Core SaaS product Galaxy’s ARR growth momentum remained healthy with 24% YoY growth in subscription ARR in 1H24 (1H23: +29% YoY).Meanwhile, large enterprise revenue growth of 38.9% YoY (1H23: 38.4%) remains solid, in our view. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kingdee (268 HK) - Macro Headwinds Weighed on Growth; Loss Reduction on Track

<ul><li>Kingdee reported 2023 financial results: revenue was RMB5.7bn, up 17% YoY (2022: 17% YoY), and net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB210mn (2022: loss of RMB389mn), both in line with our estimate and Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>Kingdee’s loss reduction effort was on track, with loss margin narrowing from -17.9% in 2022 to -12.1% in 2023, driven by 2.6ppt improvement in gross margin, on an increase in subscription revenue, cloud infrastructure cost optimization, as well as operating efficiency improvement.</li><li>We remain positive that Kingdee is well-positioned to benefit from the domestic substitution trend, backed by strong and continuously enhanced product capability and partner ecosystem. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kingdee reported 2023 financial results: revenue was RMB5.7bn, up 17% YoY (2022: 17% YoY), and net loss attributable to ordinary shareholders was RMB210mn (2022: loss of RMB389mn), both in line with our estimate and Bloomberg consensus.Kingdee’s loss reduction effort was on track, with loss margin narrowing from -17.9% in 2022 to -12.1% in 2023, driven by 2.6ppt improvement in gross margin, on an increase in subscription revenue, cloud infrastructure cost optimization, as well as operating efficiency improvement.We remain positive that Kingdee is well-positioned to benefit from the domestic substitution trend, backed by strong and continuously enhanced product capability and partner ecosystem. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Kingdee (268 HK) - Steady Rev Growth with On-Track Loss Reduction

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 18th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Meituan, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, CICC, Citic Securities.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 18th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, CCB, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Meituan, HKEx, Kuaishou Technology, CICC, Citic Securities.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 18th): Alibaba, CCB, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Meituan, HKEx

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics (285 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a> are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kingdee-international-sftwr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:37:1" rel="noopener">Kingdee International Software (268 HK)</a> is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.
</li>
</ul>


Low volatility investing has taken the mantle from Dividend yield as the top strategy during July
BYD Electronics (285 HK) and Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) are rated BUYs as their businesses show improvement.  

Kingdee International Software (268 HK) is seeing a softening in its SME business, however there is  potential to gain market share from foreign ERP companies given the pledged government's policies.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a> is expected to replace <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-healthcare-and-technol" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27008:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> at the September rebalance.</li>
<li>Constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$7.8bn (US$1bn).</li>
<li>Short interest is near the lows on both stocks but there has been a recent tick higher for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/asm-pacific-technology-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15061:1" rel="noopener">ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>



ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK) is expected to replace Ping An Healthcare and Technol (1833 HK) in the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) at the September rebalance.
Constituent changes and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 3.7% and that will result in a round-trip trade of HK$7.8bn (US$1bn).
Short interest is near the lows on both stocks but there has been a recent tick higher for ASM Pacific Technology (522 HK).


HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade

China

Kingdee International Software Group Company Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and sells enterprise management software, e-commerce application software and middleware software.  The Company also provides internet-based services and setting up e-commerce platforms for enterprises. In addition, Kingdee provides solution consulting and technical support services.

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Kingdee International Software (268 HK)

Kingdee (268 HK) - Macro Headwinds Weighed on Growth; Loss Reduction on Track

We maintain BUY rating but lower target price to HK$10.8 per share (was HK$15.5), based on 4.4x 2024E EV/Sales (was 6.4x), in line with the one...

CMB International

Kingdee (268 HK) - Steady Rev Growth with On-Track Loss Reduction

We roll forward our valuation to 2024E, and our new target price of HK$15.5 (prior HK$15.1) is based on 6.4x FY24E EV/sales, in-line with the one...

CMB International

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 18th): Alibaba, CCB, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Meituan, HKEx

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, CCB, SMIC, China Mobile, ICBC, Meituan, HKEx,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stock Updates (July 29)

Low volatility investing is performing well in July. BYD Electronics has seen better Apple related and NEV sales and Alibaba is increasing some...

David Mudd

HSTECH Index Rebalance Preview: ASM Pacific (522) Could Replace Ping An Health (1833); US$1bn Trade

ASMPT is down a LOT today following results that were weaker than expected and guidance that was lower than projected earlier. With potential...

Brian Freitas

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