Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 2 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a>, 2 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 6 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the December rebalance.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/apollo-global-management-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28770:1" rel="noopener">Apollo Global</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/workday-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5660:1" rel="noopener">Workday</a> will have large flows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-500-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22886:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P 500 INDEX</a> trackers while<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/applovin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32989:1" rel="noopener"> AppLovin</a> misses out. The SPX adds will have large inflows from the Select Sector index trackers too.</li>
<li>The outright adds are up a lot in the after-hours and there could be further upside over the next couple of weeks as positioning ramps up.</li>
</ul>


There are 2 changes for the S&amp;P 500 INDEX, 2 changes for the S&amp;P Midcap400 Index and 6 changes for the S&amp;P SmallCap600 Index at the December rebalance.

Apollo Global and Workday will have large flows from S&amp;P 500 INDEX trackers while AppLovin misses out. The SPX adds will have large inflows from the Select Sector index trackers too.
The outright adds are up a lot in the after-hours and there could be further upside over the next couple of weeks as positioning ramps up.


S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: Apollo Global, Workday Added to SPX; AppLovin Misses Out

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Palm Valley Capital Fund invests in small cap stocks. While our Fund is new, its underlying absolute return-based investment strategy is not. We have practiced the same strategy throughout our careers in investment management.</li>
<li>The combination of falling stock prices and attractive small cap multiples appears to present a powerful case for buying aggressively. We do not share this view.</li>
<li>Non-cash share-based compensation accounts for roughly one-third of the collective free cash flow of small caps in the S&amp;P 600 Index.</li>
<li>The current 33x median price-to-free cash flow multiple for better quality small caps (S&amp;P 600) is the highest this cycle.</li>
<li>Market volatility is important to Palm Valley’s absolute return strategy.</li>
</ul>


The Palm Valley Capital Fund invests in small cap stocks. While our Fund is new, its underlying absolute return-based investment strategy is not. We have practiced the same strategy throughout our careers in investment management.
The combination of falling stock prices and attractive small cap multiples appears to present a powerful case for buying aggressively. We do not share this view.
Non-cash share-based compensation accounts for roughly one-third of the collective free cash flow of small caps in the S&amp;P 600 Index.
The current 33x median price-to-free cash flow multiple for better quality small caps (S&amp;P 600) is the highest this cycle.
Market volatility is important to Palm Valley’s absolute return strategy.


Palm Valley Capital Fund Q3 2022 Commentary

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (1248Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> are set to keep everyone busy till March.</li>
<li>On the placement front, Japanese accelerated selldowns continue their stellar record with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/temp-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1428:1" rel="noopener">Persol Holdings (2181 JP)</a>. </li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Life Insurance Corp of India (1248Z IN) and SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) are set to keep everyone busy till March.
On the placement front, Japanese accelerated selldowns continue their stellar record with Persol Holdings (2181 JP). 


ECM Weekly (20th Feb 2022) - LIC, SBI Sumishin, Huitongda, Delhivery, Vedant, Persol, Emcure, Linom

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kelly-services-inc-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8499:1" rel="noopener">Kelly Services Inc A (KELYA US)</a> aims to raise around US$200m via selling its 3.8% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/temp-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1428:1" rel="noopener">Persol Holdings (2181 JP)</a>.</li>
<li>Kelly Services mentioned that it was looking to end its cross-shareholding with Persol Holdings in its earnings announcement. The two share a JV in PersolKelly.</li>
<li>In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Kelly Services Inc A (KELYA US) aims to raise around US$200m via selling its 3.8% stake in Persol Holdings (2181 JP).
Kelly Services mentioned that it was looking to end its cross-shareholding with Persol Holdings in its earnings announcement. The two share a JV in PersolKelly.
In this note, we will run the deal through our ECM framework and comment on other deal dynamics.


Persol Holdings Placement - Selldown by Cross-Shareholder

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<p>Stocks Highlighted: WFC, COF, DFS, GS, JEF, RJF, LIN, ALB, AKZOY, OLN, CC, CDAY, RHI, MAN, TNET, ASGN, NSP, TBI, KELYA, BBSI, DHX, BGSF, AMN, and CCRN.</p><p>Cyclical value areas are starting to play catch-up as interest rates show signs of bottoming -- all kickstarted by Friday's better-than-expected employment report. We see many actionable opportunities, particularly within the Financial and Materials Sectors, and also several retail stocks within Consumer Discretionary. As we noted last week, despite mixed signals from the market, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level which supports our overall constructive outlook.</p>

Stocks Highlighted: WFC, COF, DFS, GS, JEF, RJF, LIN, ALB, AKZOY, OLN, CC, CDAY, RHI, MAN, TNET, ASGN, NSP, TBI, KELYA, BBSI, DHX, BGSF, AMN, and CCRN.Cyclical value areas are starting to play catch-up as interest rates show signs of bottoming -- all kickstarted by Friday's better-than-expected employment report. We see many actionable opportunities, particularly within the Financial and Materials Sectors, and also several retail stocks within Consumer Discretionary. As we noted last week, despite mixed signals from the market, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns at the index and Sector level which supports our overall constructive outlook.

Cyclical Value Areas Improving -- Add Exposure To Financials, Materials

United States

Kelly Services, Inc. provides staffing services to a diversified group of customers through offices located in North America, Europe, and the Pacific Rim. The Company provides employees in office services, engineering, finance, information technology, legal, scientific, marketing, light industrial, education, health, and home care.

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Kelly Services Inc A (KELYA US)

S&P500/400/600 Index Rebalance: Apollo Global, Workday Added to SPX; AppLovin Misses Out

There are 2 changes for SnP500, 2 for SnP400 and 6 for SnP600. The outright adds are up big in the after-hours market. There will be more flows for...

Brian Freitas

Palm Valley Capital Fund Q3 2022 Commentary

The Palm Valley Capital Fund invests in small cap stocks. While our Fund is new, its underlying absolute return-based investment strategy is not....

Fund Newsletters

ECM Weekly (20th Feb 2022) - LIC, SBI Sumishin, Huitongda, Delhivery, Vedant, Persol, Emcure, Linom

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Persol Holdings Placement - Selldown by Cross-Shareholder

Kelly Services (KELYA US) aims to raise around US$200m via selling its 3.8% stake in Persol Holdings. In this note, we will run the deal through...

Clarence Chu

Cyclical Value Areas Improving -- Add Exposure To Financials, Materials

Cyclical value areas are starting to play catch-up as interest rates show signs of bottoming. We see many actionable opportunities, particularly...

Vermilion Research

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