Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）</li>
<li>300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)</li>
</ul>


BEKE US: Visiting volume surged in the first weekend after new stimulus, and transactions increased slightly.（+）
300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US:  Except for electric vehicles, new energy exports in April were hardly positive, indicating that capturing consumers is the key to offsetting geopolitical restrictions(///////////)
BEKE US: Sluggish New Home Sales Prompt the PBOC to Introduce Further Stimulus Policies. (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

Andy Fu

<ul>
<li>Today, multiple cities in China introduced property stimulus measures to encourage buying new over existing homes. These policies also discourages people from selling their homes.</li>
<li>Past measures encouraged home purchases by lowering mortgage rates and down payments, resulting in an increase in existing home transactions, because new home has developer default risks.</li>
<li>This time, we saw for the first time, local Chinese governments introduced supplemental policies to guide new home purchases. We believe more of such measures can be on its way.</li>
</ul>


Today, multiple cities in China introduced property stimulus measures to encourage buying new over existing homes. These policies also discourages people from selling their homes.
Past measures encouraged home purchases by lowering mortgage rates and down payments, resulting in an increase in existing home transactions, because new home has developer default risks.
This time, we saw for the first time, local Chinese governments introduced supplemental policies to guide new home purchases. We believe more of such measures can be on its way.


Beike (BEKE US): New Government Measures Aimed at Promoting New Home Sales Warrants Attention

<ul>
<li>9926 HK/1801 HK/ BGNE US/9995 HK: US Biosecure Act extended Chinese CXO collaboration until 2032  (+/+/+/+)</li>
<li>BGNE US :BeiGene’s performance in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, especially benefiting from overseas BRUKINSA(/)</li>
<li>ZLAB US:Zai Lab's revenue and profit in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, mainly due to Efgartigimod.(/)</li>
</ul>


9926 HK/1801 HK/ BGNE US/9995 HK: US Biosecure Act extended Chinese CXO collaboration until 2032  (+/+/+/+)
BGNE US :BeiGene’s performance in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, especially benefiting from overseas BRUKINSA(/)
ZLAB US:Zai Lab's revenue and profit in the first quarter of 2024 exceeded expectations, mainly due to Efgartigimod.(/)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:9926 HK/1801HK/ BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/NIO/LI/1211HK/BEKE/1810HK/3888HK/981HK/MSFT/INTC

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）</li>
<li>1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)</li>
<li>300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US : The international hotel management group maintains a cautious attitude towards China throughout the year.（-/-）
1211HK/LIUS/NIOUS/XPEVUS/1810HK:EV sales solid in the 5th week of April 2024, NIO continues to benefit from SU7 overflow, BYD continues to be strong, and Xiaomi deliveries decline for three consecutive weeks.(+/+/+/-/-)
300274 SZ / 300750 SZ/ 1211 HK : Tesla's Shanghai energy storage gigafactory was approved, mainly producing energy storage for export, benefiting China's supply chain.(+/+/ -)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We had a channel check on property agencies in Beijing during the Labour Day holiday and found that 1) the number of visits increased but has been partly translated to increase in transactions.</li><li>2) Main reasons that kept potential buyers on the side-line are falling house price and bigger discount in new home project with higher proportion of completed house available.</li><li>High-frequency data showed that daily avg. new home transactions in 30 major cities during the Labour Day holiday of 2024 only recovered to 39% of 2023’s level, mainly dragged by Tier-3 cities. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

We had a channel check on property agencies in Beijing during the Labour Day holiday and found that 1) the number of visits increased but has been partly translated to increase in transactions.2) Main reasons that kept potential buyers on the side-line are falling house price and bigger discount in new home project with higher proportion of completed house available.High-frequency data showed that daily avg. new home transactions in 30 major cities during the Labour Day holiday of 2024 only recovered to 39% of 2023’s level, mainly dragged by Tier-3 cities. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property - Weekly highlight: Holiday sales update and takeaway from channel check in Beijing

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Beike (BEKE US): New Government Measures Aimed at Promoting New Home Sales Warrants Attention

Chinese cities are implementing property stimulus to boost new home purchases over existing ones and penalize those who sell homes.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:9926 HK/1801HK/ BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/NIO/LI/1211HK/BEKE/1810HK/3888HK/981HK/MSFT/INTC

US Biosecure Act extends Chinese collaboration until 2032, BeiGene and Zai Lab exceed Q1 expectations with BRUKINSA and Efgartigimod.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Property - Weekly highlight: Holiday sales update and takeaway from channel check in Beijing

We had a channel check on property agencies in Beijing during the Labour Day holiday and found that 1) the number of visits increased but has been...

CMB International

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:BEKE US/300274 SZ/1211 HK/300750 SZ/LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1810 HK/BIDU US

​Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Beike (BEKE US): New Government Measures Aimed at Promoting New Home Sales Warrants Attention

​Chinese cities are implementing property stimulus to boost new home purchases over existing ones and penalize those who sell homes.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:9926 HK/1801HK/ BGNE/9995HK/ZLAB/NIO/LI/1211HK/BEKE/1810HK/3888HK/981HK/MSFT/INTC

​US Biosecure Act extends Chinese collaboration until 2032, BeiGene and Zai Lab exceed Q1 expectations with BRUKINSA and Efgartigimod.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATATUS/TCOMUS/1211HK/LIUS/NIO US/XPEVUS/1810HK/300274SZ/300750 SZ/BEKEUS

​International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Property - Weekly highlight: Holiday sales update and takeaway from channel check in Beijing

We had a channel check on property agencies in Beijing during the Labour Day holiday and found that 1) the number of visits increased but has been...

CMB International

Visiting volume surges after stimulus, new energy exports struggle, PBOC introduces more stimulus for sluggish new home sales.

Chinese cities are implementing property stimulus to boost new home purchases over existing ones and penalize those who sell homes.

US Biosecure Act extends Chinese collaboration until 2032, BeiGene and Zai Lab exceed Q1 expectations with BRUKINSA and Efgartigimod.

International hotel group cautious on China, EV sales strong in April with NIO benefiting, Tesla's Shanghai gigafactory approved for energy...