Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Tencent has received regulatory approval to resume regular updates in the app stores. Tencent was asked to get approval for all of its new apps and updates from the government.</li>
<li>While this suggests that the regulatory pressure may be easing, Tencent has got into more troubles with a young star worker committing suicide at work.</li>
<li>As we highlighted in our previous insights, the value of Tencent’s investments in other entities is deteriorating with more regulatory pressures. KE Holdings has been targeted by short sellers.</li>
</ul>


Tencent has received regulatory approval to resume regular updates in the app stores. Tencent was asked to get approval for all of its new apps and updates from the government.
While this suggests that the regulatory pressure may be easing, Tencent has got into more troubles with a young star worker committing suicide at work.
As we highlighted in our previous insights, the value of Tencent’s investments in other entities is deteriorating with more regulatory pressures. KE Holdings has been targeted by short sellers.


Tencent Receives Approval for App Updates but Faces New Hurdles

Silver Point

Thomas J. Monaco

Independent Insight Provider

Silver Point is a boutique research firm that focuses on the broader financial services sector, with a particular focus on troubled institutions globally. 

Asia Ex Japan

<ul>
<li>
Muddy Waters and Beike: Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] must deal with an allegation of “significant” fraud by short seller from Muddy Waters at a large investment: KE Holdings (BEKE.US) [Beike];</li>
<li>
Value At Risk: Tencent owns 11% of Beike’s outstanding shares, having a market value of USD 1.8 bn; and</li>
<li>
Fundamental and Regulatory Challenges Remain:Tencent still has numerous challenges: weaker revenues in its core business, mainland China’s clampdown on gaming/internet companies, and the reining-in of Fintech businesses.</li>
</ul>



Muddy Waters and Beike: Tencent Holdings (700.HK) [Tencent] must deal with an allegation of “significant” fraud by short seller from Muddy Waters at a large investment: KE Holdings (BEKE.US) [Beike];

Value At Risk: Tencent owns 11% of Beike’s outstanding shares, having a market value of USD 1.8 bn; and

Fundamental and Regulatory Challenges Remain:Tencent still has numerous challenges: weaker revenues in its core business, mainland China’s clampdown on gaming/internet companies, and the reining-in of Fintech businesses.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Full Truck Alliance   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Full Truck Alliance (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$2bn in its US listing in Jun 21. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.</li>
<li>We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier IPO notes, links to which are included below.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.</li>
</ul>


Full Truck Alliance (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$2bn in its US listing in Jun 21. It is backed by Softbank and Sequoia.
We have looked at various aspects of the deal in our earlier IPO notes, links to which are included below.
In this note, we look at the updates since listing and the impact of the upcoming lock-up expiry.


Full Truck Alliance Lock-Up Expiry - In Similar Delisting Boat as Didi. 60% of Stock up for Lock-Up

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul class="">
<li>KE shut the whole financial service department and dismissed part of its research and development department in Shanghai.</li>
<li>The financial service accounts for a very small proportion of total revenue and is unprofitable. </li>
<li>China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) has been actively investigating whether business loans are abused for property purchase.</li>
</ul>


KE shut the whole financial service department and dismissed part of its research and development department in Shanghai.
The financial service accounts for a very small proportion of total revenue and is unprofitable. 
China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission (CBIRC) has been actively investigating whether business loans are abused for property purchase.


<ul>
<li>As we expected, existing home slowed down, but new home grew rapidly.</li>
<li>New home pays commission to other estate agents, which pulled down margins.</li>
<li>Compared to other commission-based companies, we still believe the stock price is overly impacted.</li>
</ul>


As we expected, existing home slowed down, but new home grew rapidly.
New home pays commission to other estate agents, which pulled down margins.
Compared to other commission-based companies, we still believe the stock price is overly impacted.


KE (BEKE): 2Q21, Expected Revenue and Unexpected Margin, Still Over Impacted

China

KE Holdings Inc. operates as an integrated online and offline platform for housing transactions and services. The Company offers existing and new home sales, home rentals, home renovation, real estate financial solutions, and other services. KE Holdings conducts businesses in China.

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KE Holdings (BEKE US)

Tencent Receives Approval for App Updates but Faces New Hurdles

Tencent has received regulatory approval to resume regular updates in the app stores. However, the company is now facing new hurdles with an...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Tencent Holdings – Adding To Its Woes

TENCENT: Tencent must now deal with a “significant” fraud allegation at its investment, Beike. Tencent owns 11% of Beike’s outstanding shares,...

Thomas J. Monaco

Full Truck Alliance Lock-Up Expiry - In Similar Delisting Boat as Didi. 60% of Stock up for Lock-Up

Full Truck Alliance (FTA), China’s largest digital freight platform by gross transaction value, raised around US$2bn in its US listing in Jun 21....

Sumeet Singh

KE (BEKE): Layoff

KE shut the financial service department. Financial service accounts for a very small proportion of total revenue. The authorities have been...

Ming Lu

KE (BEKE): 2Q21, Expected Revenue and Unexpected Margin, Still Over Impacted

As we expected, existing home slowed down, but new home grew rapidly.New home pays commission to other estate agents, which pulled down margins....

Ming Lu

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