Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The merger between <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> is done. Newco starts trading this week as KDX.</li>
<li>The trade was fine until I wrote 9 days ago there was still room to run. It fell the next day, bounced 3%, then got CRUSHED into the index upweight.</li>
<li>NEWREIT is now as cheap relative to its Pro-Forma Peer Group as it was at announcement.</li>
</ul>


The merger between Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP), Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP), and Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) is done. Newco starts trading this week as KDX.
The trade was fine until I wrote 9 days ago there was still room to run. It fell the next day, bounced 3%, then got CRUSHED into the index upweight.
NEWREIT is now as cheap relative to its Pro-Forma Peer Group as it was at announcement.


KDX (8972) - The Kenedix REIT Merger After a Disastrous Index Inclusion Trade

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The three-way merger of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a> will be implemented in less than 3 weeks.</li>
<li>With the market cap of the merged entity at US$4.85bn, there will be upgrades to indices with larger tracking assets and significant passive buying at the time of merger implementation.</li>
<li>All three stocks have outperformed their peers since merger announcement and over the last month and at least part of the upcoming passive flow is baked into the price.</li>
</ul>


The three-way merger of Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP), Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) and Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP) will be implemented in less than 3 weeks.
With the market cap of the merged entity at US$4.85bn, there will be upgrades to indices with larger tracking assets and significant passive buying at the time of merger implementation.
All three stocks have outperformed their peers since merger announcement and over the last month and at least part of the upcoming passive flow is baked into the price.


Kenedix Merger: Significant Passive Inflows Expected in Three Weeks

<ul>
<li>Today after the close, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> announced a three-way merger for Nov 1.</li>
<li>Kenedix Office REIT (KDO) will be the surviving entity, and what is now three REITs of ¥150-250bn in size will become one diversified REIT of ¥630-650bn.</li>
<li>That will trigger a size uplift and should also trigger index inclusion.</li>
</ul>


Today after the close, Kenedix Office Investment Co (8972 JP), Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP), and Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) announced a three-way merger for Nov 1.
Kenedix Office REIT (KDO) will be the surviving entity, and what is now three REITs of ¥150-250bn in size will become one diversified REIT of ¥630-650bn.
That will trigger a size uplift and should also trigger index inclusion.


Kenedix Office/Resi/Commercial Three-Way Merger - Size Matters and Index Flows Do Too

<ul>
<li>The shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-office-investment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16263:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Office Investment (8972 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-retail-reit-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:188:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP)</a> meet in a couple of weeks to vote on the merger.</li>
<li>The stocks are trading in line with the merger ratio and the initial spike following merger announcement has been followed by some selling.</li>
<li>The market cap of the combined entity should now be large enough for migration to indices with larger tracking assets bringing in large passive flows on merger completion.</li>
</ul>


The shareholders of Kenedix Office Investment (8972 JP), Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP) and Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP) meet in a couple of weeks to vote on the merger.
The stocks are trading in line with the merger ratio and the initial spike following merger announcement has been followed by some selling.
The market cap of the combined entity should now be large enough for migration to indices with larger tracking assets bringing in large passive flows on merger completion.


Kenedix Merger: Big Passive Inflows on the Cards

<ul>
<li>There are 15 stocks in Japan that will be sold by passive trackers at the close on 31 May.</li>
<li>Short interest has been increasing in these stocks over the last few months and there will be covering on implementation date.</li>
<li>Cumulative excess volume on all stocks has risen in the last couple of months though the pace of the increase has varied.</li>
</ul>


There are 15 stocks in Japan that will be sold by passive trackers at the close on 31 May.
Short interest has been increasing in these stocks over the last few months and there will be covering on implementation date.
Cumulative excess volume on all stocks has risen in the last couple of months though the pace of the increase has varied.


Japan - Another Big Round of Passive Selling

Japan

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation operates real estate investment trust. The Company provides securitized real estate investment, real estate leasing, shopping centers investment, and other services. Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment provides its services throughout Japan.

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation (8953 JP)

Japan Metropolitan Fund Investment Corporation

GLP J-REIT is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The company invests mainly in logistics facilities and related real estate properties.

Daiwa House REIT Investment Corp. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products. The Company mainly invests in residential rental properties and commercial properties.

NIPPON PROLOGIS REIT INC. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) that directly invests in real estate properties used for logistics businesses.

Japan Real Estate Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in real estate and securitized real estate products. The Company directly invests in office properties with a focus on 3 wards(Chiyoda, Chuo, and Minato) in Tokyo.

NOMURA REAL ESTATE MASTER FUND, INC. is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company is formed through merger of Nomura real estate master fund, Nomura real estate office fund, and Nomura real estate residential fund.

Japan Hotel REIT Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust(REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products. The Company mainly invests in real estate properties used in hotels.

United Urban Investment Corporation is a real estate investment trust (REIT). The Company directly invests in real estate properties such as shopping centers, offices, hotels, and residential buildings.

ORIX JREIT Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which invests in securitized real estate products.  The Company directly invests in real estate properties such as offices, rental housings, and hotels.

Invincible Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust (REIT) which  invests in securitized real estate products. TGR Investment invests in income  producing residential and office buildings.

Mapletree Industrial Trust is a Singapore-focused real estate investment trust with a large and diversified portfolio of industrial properties. The Trust invests in a diverse portfolio of industrial properties with the primary objective of achieving an attractive level of return from rental income and for long-term capital growth.

Dexus provides real estate services. The Company manages and invests in a portfolio of diversified properties, including office and industrial buildings, retail shopping centers, and car parks. Dexus serves customers in Australia and New Zealand.

Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. is a real estate investment trust.  The trust owns nursing homes, rehabilitation centers, assisted living facilities, and independent living centers.

Frasers Centrepoint Trust is a retail real estate investment trust focused on growing unitholder value through asset management, financial management and strategic investments.  The trust invests in retail properties in Singapore and overseas.

Corporate Office Properties Trust is a real estate investment trust which focuses on the acquisition, ownership and operation of suburban office properties located in high-growth submarkets.

The Macerich Company is a fully integrated, self-administered and self-managed real estate investment trust.  The Company acquires, owns, redevelops, manages, and leases regional and community shopping centers located throughout the United States.

Independence Realty Trust, Inc. is an externally managed and advised apartment REIT focused on acquiring and owning well-located garden-style and mid-rise apartment properties throughout the United States.

Charter Hall Group invests in and develops real estate.  The Company manages real estate investment funds and develops commercial, residential, and industrial properties.

Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. operates as a real estate investment trust. The Company focuses on investment in hotels, guest rooms, and resorts. Apple Hospitality REIT invests in the United States.

National Health Investors, Inc. invests in income producing health care properties primarily via property ownership and providing mortgage financing. It's major assets are in the long term care industry, followed by investments in acute care hospitals, medical office buildings, assisted living facilities, retirement centers and projects for the developmentally disabled.

KDX Realty Investment Corporation operates a real estate investment trust company. The Company invests in office and residential buildings. KDX Realty Investment provides its services throughout Japan.

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KDX Realty Investment (8972 JP)

KDX (8972) - The Kenedix REIT Merger After a Disastrous Index Inclusion Trade

The Kenedix REIT 3-way merger promised strong demand on an index upweight, and bigger size suggested higher valuations. We got the demand, but a...

Travis Lundy

Kenedix Merger: Significant Passive Inflows Expected in Three Weeks

The Kenedix merger will be implemented in less than 3 weeks and there will be large passive inflows. All 3 stocks have outperformed their peers...

Brian Freitas

Kenedix Office/Resi/Commercial Three-Way Merger - Size Matters and Index Flows Do Too

The Kenedix super-group REIT merger has performed well (and outperformed the TSE REIT Index) since the merger announcement. That means it is more...

Travis Lundy

Kenedix Merger: Big Passive Inflows on the Cards

The Kenedix REITs are trading around the merger ratios and have outperformed peers since merger announcement. The increased market cap could result...

Brian Freitas

Japan - Another Big Round of Passive Selling

The close tomorrow should see huge volumes trade on these stocks. Shorts will be covered and longs will be selectively put on.

Brian Freitas

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