Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There was a substantial increase in the AUM even in the current market condition. More funds must have sought blue chip stocks as relatively safe assets in this volatile market.</li>
<li>Celltrion and LG Energy Solution will likely replace KB Financial and Shinhan Financial. On the other hand, POSCO is out of the race even with a +5%p float rate change.</li>
<li>LG Energy also has an up-weight event of the KOSPI 200. Since these passive flow events have an interval of only one day, we expect a fairly concentrated passive impact.</li>
</ul>


There was a substantial increase in the AUM even in the current market condition. More funds must have sought blue chip stocks as relatively safe assets in this volatile market.
Celltrion and LG Energy Solution will likely replace KB Financial and Shinhan Financial. On the other hand, POSCO is out of the race even with a +5%p float rate change.
LG Energy also has an up-weight event of the KOSPI 200. Since these passive flow events have an interval of only one day, we expect a fairly concentrated passive impact.


TIGER (FnGuide) Top 10 ETF Rebalancing: Noteworthy Changes Emerging

<ul>
<li>Juice for cash &amp; carry arbitrage doesn't seem like much. Several names in contango, but the basis widening isn't at a sufficiently arb-tradable level.</li>
<li>Reverse cash &amp; carry isn't all that attractive either, but it certainly does offer more juice, even with borrow fees. Ssangyong C&amp;E, SKT, Shinhan, and KB deserve our attention.</li>
<li>A bit uncertain is whether the pattern of "LONG Spot until ex-dividend and Conversion to Short" through cash &amp; carry will repeat itself this time.</li>
</ul>


Juice for cash &amp; carry arbitrage doesn't seem like much. Several names in contango, but the basis widening isn't at a sufficiently arb-tradable level.
Reverse cash &amp; carry isn't all that attractive either, but it certainly does offer more juice, even with borrow fees. Ssangyong C&amp;E, SKT, Shinhan, and KB deserve our attention.
A bit uncertain is whether the pattern of "LONG Spot until ex-dividend and Conversion to Short" through cash &amp; carry will repeat itself this time.


3Q Dividend Estimates of Those with SSF for Cash & Carry Arb in Korea

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>On 22 August, it was announced that KB Kookmin Bank invested 200 billion won worth of TMap Mobility, valuing the company at 2.2 trillion won ($1.7 billion).</li>
<li>At the end of 2021, SK Square owned a 66.3% stake in TMap Mobility. After this investment, KB Kookmin Bank will own an 8.2% stake in TMap Mobility.</li>
<li>TMap Mobility generated sales of 74.5 billion won,  operating loss of 67.8 billion won, and net loss of 5.3 billion won in 2021.</li>
</ul>


On 22 August, it was announced that KB Kookmin Bank invested 200 billion won worth of TMap Mobility, valuing the company at 2.2 trillion won ($1.7 billion).
At the end of 2021, SK Square owned a 66.3% stake in TMap Mobility. After this investment, KB Kookmin Bank will own an 8.2% stake in TMap Mobility.
TMap Mobility generated sales of 74.5 billion won,  operating loss of 67.8 billion won, and net loss of 5.3 billion won in 2021.


KB Kookmin Bank Invests 200 Billion Won in SK Square's TMap Mobility

<ul>
<li>On 19 August, KB Kookmin Bank sold a 3.1% stake (14.76 million shares) in KakaoBank (323410 KS). </li>
<li>The block deal sale price was 28,704 won, which was 8% discount to the previous day's closing price.</li>
<li>We continue to have a Negative view of Kakao Bank, due to further overhang on more share sales, concerns about partial ban of simple remittance, and unattractive valuations.</li>
</ul>


On 19 August, KB Kookmin Bank sold a 3.1% stake (14.76 million shares) in KakaoBank (323410 KS). 
The block deal sale price was 28,704 won, which was 8% discount to the previous day's closing price.
We continue to have a Negative view of Kakao Bank, due to further overhang on more share sales, concerns about partial ban of simple remittance, and unattractive valuations.


A Block Deal Sale of 3.1% of Kakao Bank by KB Kookmin Bank

<ul>
<li>POSCO Holdings announced it would cancel ₩567B worth of 2.6M treasury shares last Friday. It represents 3% of the shares outstanding, reducing the treasury shares from 13% to 10%.</li>
<li>With this cancellation, the float change reaches 5%p, triggering an adjustment from 68% to 73% in the upcoming cycle, just in time for the FnGuide Top 10's December rebalancing.</li>
<li>As a result, POSCO Holdings suddenly becomes a strong contender to beat KB Financial in the FnGuide Top 10 rebalancing as they will be in a very tight race.</li>
</ul>


POSCO Holdings announced it would cancel ₩567B worth of 2.6M treasury shares last Friday. It represents 3% of the shares outstanding, reducing the treasury shares from 13% to 10%.
With this cancellation, the float change reaches 5%p, triggering an adjustment from 68% to 73% in the upcoming cycle, just in time for the FnGuide Top 10's December rebalancing.
As a result, POSCO Holdings suddenly becomes a strong contender to beat KB Financial in the FnGuide Top 10 rebalancing as they will be in a very tight race.


POSCO Holdings Stock Cancellation: Tiggering a 5%p Float Change for FnGuide Top 10 ETF

South Korea

KB Financial Group Inc. (the "Company"), in accordance with Financial Holding Companies Act, was established on September 29, 2008, through stock transfer with the former shareholders of its subsidiaries including Kookmin Bank in order to provide management services and financing to associated companies. The headquarters are located at Seoul, Korea

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KB Financial ADR (KB US)

TIGER (FnGuide) Top 10 ETF Rebalancing: Noteworthy Changes Emerging

This post investigates the current rebalancing status of the TIGER Top 10 ETF, the largest AUM sector ETF in Korea, and previews the resulting...

Sanghyun Park

3Q Dividend Estimates of Those with SSF for Cash & Carry Arb in Korea

This post provides the market consensus estimates for the 3Q dividends of those with single-stock futures in Korea and looks into the cash-and...

Sanghyun Park

KB Kookmin Bank Invests 200 Billion Won in SK Square's TMap Mobility

On 22 August, it was announced that KB Kookmin Bank invested 200 billion won worth of TMap Mobility, valuing the company at 2.2 trillion won ($1.7...

Douglas Kim

A Block Deal Sale of 3.1% of Kakao Bank by KB Kookmin Bank

We continue to have a Negative view of Kakao Bank following block deal sale, due to further overhang on more share sales, concerns about partial...

Douglas Kim

POSCO Holdings Stock Cancellation: Tiggering a 5%p Float Change for FnGuide Top 10 ETF

This post investigates the passive impact of POSCO Holdings' stock cancellation on the FnGuide Top 10 rebalancing in December.

Sanghyun Park

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