Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> announced better revenue, mixed OP, and in-line NP. Then for this year they announced bte Revenue, slightly bte OP, and ever-so-slightly-better NP guidance.</li>
<li>Then they announced a big ¥100bn buyback, discussed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kline-9107-more-profit-more-shareholder-return-3mo-buyback-inbound" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>, doing ¥90.8bn quickly. Since then, ONE-derived dividends have been higher than people expected a year ago.  More cash. More shareholder returns</li>
<li>Now they have raised their capital return guidance for this MTMP, and upped to an additional ¥180bn beyond the existing increased guidance. That starts with ¥90bn of ToSTNeT-3 near-term.</li>
</ul>


In May, Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) announced better revenue, mixed OP, and in-line NP. Then for this year they announced bte Revenue, slightly bte OP, and ever-so-slightly-better NP guidance.
Then they announced a big ¥100bn buyback, discussed here, doing ¥90.8bn quickly. Since then, ONE-derived dividends have been higher than people expected a year ago.  More cash. More shareholder returns
Now they have raised their capital return guidance for this MTMP, and upped to an additional ¥180bn beyond the existing increased guidance. That starts with ¥90bn of ToSTNeT-3 near-term.


Kline (9017) - Better Earnings, Another Buyback, Maybe Games, Maybe Market Impact

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> today announced earnings. Ocean Network Express earnings were out earlier and beyond that, Consolidated Revs beat, OP faltered, but NP was spot on guidance.</li>
<li>Guidance for the year to March 2025 is well ahead of consensus on revenue, slightly ahead on OP, and just a wee bit ahead on NP. </li>
<li>But the company raised its 5yr MTMP Shareholder Return from ¥500bn to ¥700bn and set a new ¥100bn (5.5%) buyback to be executed in the next 3 months.</li>
</ul>



Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) today announced earnings. Ocean Network Express earnings were out earlier and beyond that, Consolidated Revs beat, OP faltered, but NP was spot on guidance.
Guidance for the year to March 2025 is well ahead of consensus on revenue, slightly ahead on OP, and just a wee bit ahead on NP. 
But the company raised its 5yr MTMP Shareholder Return from ¥500bn to ¥700bn and set a new ¥100bn (5.5%) buyback to be executed in the next 3 months.


KLINE (9107) - More Profit, More Shareholder Return 3mo Buyback Inbound

<ul>
<li>The Nikkei reported this AM that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kawasaki-kisen-kaisha-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3548:1" rel="noopener">Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)</a> CEO was considering increasing shareholder returns this fiscal year. It already has a juicy div and a ¥100bn buyback.</li>
<li>The company announced its buyback, and an agreement by two holders of 39% to sell in a ToSTNeT-3 buy, then started buying in the market. Results are impactful.</li>
<li>The shares are up today on this news, though they gave some back after the BOJ news. The outlook for more share price impact is not bad. </li>
</ul>


The Nikkei reported this AM that Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP) CEO was considering increasing shareholder returns this fiscal year. It already has a juicy div and a ¥100bn buyback.
The company announced its buyback, and an agreement by two holders of 39% to sell in a ToSTNeT-3 buy, then started buying in the market. Results are impactful.
The shares are up today on this news, though they gave some back after the BOJ news. The outlook for more share price impact is not bad. 


KLINE (9107) CEO Comes Out Swinging - More LPG Carriers and More Shareholder Returns THIS YEAR

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Spot container rates have surged, owing to conflict near Red Sea / Suez Canal</li>
<li>On top of higher spot rates, imposition of new fees also boosting carrier revenue</li>
<li>Evergreen's average monthly US$ revenue <em>increased</em> from Q123 to Q423</li>
</ul>


Spot container rates have surged, owing to conflict near Red Sea / Suez Canal
On top of higher spot rates, imposition of new fees also boosting carrier revenue
Evergreen's average monthly US$ revenue increased from Q123 to Q423


Spot Container Rates Surge | New Fees Also Boosting Carrier Revenue | Increases Could Lift '24 Rates

<ul>
<li>Lasertec (6920) is a shoo-in for Nikkei 225 inclusion in September according to the quantitative analysis. The amount to buy is a small multiple of ADV, making the inclusion "unimpressive."</li>
<li>It is probably worth looking at the details of ownership, of volume, and of relationship to other stocks in the same general sector.</li>
<li>It is also worth thinking about flow channels (stock up or down changes flows) and forward fundamental calculations.</li>
</ul>


Lasertec (6920) is a shoo-in for Nikkei 225 inclusion in September according to the quantitative analysis. The amount to buy is a small multiple of ADV, making the inclusion "unimpressive."
It is probably worth looking at the details of ownership, of volume, and of relationship to other stocks in the same general sector.
It is also worth thinking about flow channels (stock up or down changes flows) and forward fundamental calculations.


Lasertec (6920) - The State of Things May Be Different Than You Think

Japan

Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha, Ltd. operates marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world.  The Company provides ocean liner, bulk carrier, car carrier, unscheduled specialized carrier, and energy transportation services. The Company also offers insurance, warehousing, and land transportation services.  Items transported include automobile, grain, petroleum, coal, iron ore, and wood chip.

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Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha (9107 JP)

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KLINE (9107) - More Profit, More Shareholder Return 3mo Buyback Inbound

KLINE beat earnings by a bit. Guidance beats Street expectations by a little. But ROE is still a bit low. A big buyback is accretive, and could get...

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K-Line's CEO in a Nikkei interview said they would expand their LNG carrier fleet by 60% from here to 2026. And they said they are considering...

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Spot Container Rates Surge | New Fees Also Boosting Carrier Revenue | Increases Could Lift '24 Rates

Spot container rates have surged, and carriers are also benefitting from newly-imposed ancillary charges. It's possible the ongoing conflict in the...

Tracking Traffic

Lasertec (6920) - The State of Things May Be Different Than You Think

All the earnings are out. Lasertec had previewed its June 2023 results in a 24 July guidance upgrade, and beat those. It also released June 2024...

Travis Lundy

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