China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Boss Zhipin: SME Development Index rebound slightly in June, and labor subindex also marginally improved, but still far below the prosperity range</li>
<li>XPEV:  Xpeng establishes partnership with Freesbe for Israel market (+)</li>
<li>BABA/PDD/1024.HK: Taobao launched a dedicated entrance to short videos (+/-/-)</li>
</ul>


Boss Zhipin: SME Development Index rebound slightly in June, and labor subindex also marginally improved, but still far below the prosperity range
XPEV:  Xpeng establishes partnership with Freesbe for Israel market (+)
BABA/PDD/1024.HK: Taobao launched a dedicated entrance to short videos (+/-/-)


China TMT Update-BZ/XPEV/BABA/PDD/1024.HK:Taobao's Short Videos/SME Development Index/XPEV in Israel

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tryt-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39870:1" rel="noopener">Tryt Inc (9164 JP)</a>, a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   </li>
<li>In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.</li>
</ul>



Tryt Inc (9164 JP), a leading professional recruiting and temporary staffing service in Japan, seeks to raise US$450 million. Pricing is on 5 July, and book-building is 6-11 July.   
In 2022, Tyrt was the leading provider of personnel dispatch and personnel introduction services in Japan's welfare and nursing sector.
The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA margins and rising staff retention rates.


Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>BZ reported 1Q23 cash billing 2.9% higher than our est.; revenue in-line with our estimate and consensus;  and non-GAAP NI 36.3%/35.3% higher than our est. and cons.</li>
<li>As BZ approaching the proxy of China’s labour market, its primary hurdle is the slow recovery of labour demand and mismatch of supply and demand.</li>
<li>We maintain SELL rating and TP at US$13.5., as we are still waiting for signal for the overturn of job seeking market in China.</li>
</ul>


BZ reported 1Q23 cash billing 2.9% higher than our est.; revenue in-line with our estimate and consensus;  and non-GAAP NI 36.3%/35.3% higher than our est. and cons.
As BZ approaching the proxy of China’s labour market, its primary hurdle is the slow recovery of labour demand and mismatch of supply and demand.
We maintain SELL rating and TP at US$13.5., as we are still waiting for signal for the overturn of job seeking market in China.


[Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US, SELL) Earnings Review]: Weak Labour Market Adds Uncertainty to Recovery

<ul>
<li>BZ: Kanzhun Limited: China State Council issued a series of policies to stabilize employment market.(+)</li>
<li>BILI/1024HK/3690HK: New Internet ads measures take effect since May 1(-/-/+)</li>
<li>3690 HK: RED preparing to launch group buying function (-)</li>
</ul>


BZ: Kanzhun Limited: China State Council issued a series of policies to stabilize employment market.(+)
BILI/1024HK/3690HK: New Internet ads measures take effect since May 1(-/-/+)
3690 HK: RED preparing to launch group buying function (-)


China TMT Update(Apr.28)-BZ/BILI/1024/3690HK: RED Preparing to Launch Group Buying Function (-)

<ul>
<li>We expect BZ to report 1Q23 revenue and non-GAAP net income in-line with consensus. Our 2023 revenue and non-GAAP net income are (5.3%) and (37.8%) </li>
<li>Lower than consensus, mainly due to  1) weaker growth outlook, 2) lower gross margin and 3) higher S&amp;M cost; </li>
<li>BZ platform’s supply side growth outpaced demand side in the spring season, indicating a weak recovery in recruiting. We maintain SELL rating and TP at US$13.5.</li>
</ul>


We expect BZ to report 1Q23 revenue and non-GAAP net income in-line with consensus. Our 2023 revenue and non-GAAP net income are (5.3%) and (37.8%) 
Lower than consensus, mainly due to  1) weaker growth outlook, 2) lower gross margin and 3) higher S&amp;M cost; 
BZ platform’s supply side growth outpaced demand side in the spring season, indicating a weak recovery in recruiting. We maintain SELL rating and TP at US$13.5.


[Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US) Earnings Preview]: Weak Hiring Sentiments Drag Down Growth Trend

China

Kanzhun Limited provides online recruitment services. The Company connects job seekers and enterprise users through its mobile application. Kanzhun offers a mobile-native product that promotes instant direct chats between enterprise users and job seekers.

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Kanzhun (BZ US)

China TMT Update-BZ/XPEV/BABA/PDD/1024.HK:Taobao's Short Videos/SME Development Index/XPEV in Israel

Boss Zhipin: SME Development Index rebound slightly in June;XPEV: Xpeng establishes partnership with Freesbe for Israel market (+);BABA/PDD...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

TRYT IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on large addressable markets, favourable market trends, strong pro-forma revenue growth, top quartile EBITDA...

Arun George

[Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US, SELL) Earnings Review]: Weak Labour Market Adds Uncertainty to Recovery

We maintain SELL rating and TP at US$13.5., as we are still waiting for signal for the overturn of job seeking market in China.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China TMT Update(Apr.28)-BZ/BILI/1024/3690HK: RED Preparing to Launch Group Buying Function (-)

BZ: State Council issued policies to stabilize employment market; BILI/1024HK/3690HK: New Internet ads measures take effect since May ; 3690HK: RED...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Kanzhun Ltd. (BZ US) Earnings Preview]: Weak Hiring Sentiments Drag Down Growth Trend

We expect BZ to report 1Q23 revenue and non-GAAP net income in-line with consensus. Our 2023 revenue and non-GAAP net income are (5.3%) and (37.8%)...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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