Asia Consumer Research, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Asia Consumer Research

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> , a leading jeweller with a pan-India presence, is expected to deliver strong sales growth, and improving returns with its asset-light expansion plans.</li>
<li>Indian weddings have transformed from simple rituals to elaborate celebrations requiring heavy spending on jewellery and specialty apparel, reflecting rising affluence and media influence.</li>
<li>Wedding related jewellery demand constitutes 60% of India’s total gold jewellery demand and remains resilient regardless of price changes.</li>
</ul>



Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) , a leading jeweller with a pan-India presence, is expected to deliver strong sales growth, and improving returns with its asset-light expansion plans.
Indian weddings have transformed from simple rituals to elaborate celebrations requiring heavy spending on jewellery and specialty apparel, reflecting rising affluence and media influence.
Wedding related jewellery demand constitutes 60% of India’s total gold jewellery demand and remains resilient regardless of price changes.


Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN): Riding the Big Fat Indian Wedding Boom

<ul>
<li>Welcome to <em><strong>Consumer Tales &amp; Trends</strong></em>, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a>'s proposed swap deal with promoter company raises several questions for shareholders. Start with the back story about how <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)</a> joined the group.</li>
<li>Bigger weddings could become a trend in India - Read why we like <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers(KALYANKJ IN)</a> . Also, household debt in Thailand as % of GDP is highest in ASEAN.</li>
</ul>


Welcome to Consumer Tales &amp; Trends, your weekly roundup of the latest corporate developments, investment reports and sector events in the consumer industry.

Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)'s proposed swap deal with promoter company raises several questions for shareholders. Start with the back story about how Fraser And Neave (FNN SP) joined the group.
Bigger weddings could become a trend in India - Read why we like Kalyan Jewellers(KALYANKJ IN) . Also, household debt in Thailand as % of GDP is highest in ASEAN.


Consumer Tales & Trends #July 11-20: THBEV SP Swap Deal, Bad Debts in Thailand, AI in Beauty.

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

Forensic Accounting

Motisons Jewellers  / Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>Regulatory Tangles:Promoters faced cricket betting allegations, SEBI penalties, debarment from financial markets and a litany of investigations. Legal and financial risks loom due to regulatory delays and unresolved litigations.</li>
<li>Operational and Financial Hurdles:Excessive inventory, delayed payments, and opaque related-party transactions.Weaker margins, ROE, and underutilized manufacturing hint at broader governance frailty.</li>
<li>Debt Dilemmas and Transparency Concerns: Heavy reliance on high-interest promoter loans. Governance lapses are reflected in financial metrics, raising questions about transparency and conflicts of interest.</li>
</ul>


Regulatory Tangles:Promoters faced cricket betting allegations, SEBI penalties, debarment from financial markets and a litany of investigations. Legal and financial risks loom due to regulatory delays and unresolved litigations.
Operational and Financial Hurdles:Excessive inventory, delayed payments, and opaque related-party transactions.Weaker margins, ROE, and underutilized manufacturing hint at broader governance frailty.
Debt Dilemmas and Transparency Concerns: Heavy reliance on high-interest promoter loans. Governance lapses are reflected in financial metrics, raising questions about transparency and conflicts of interest.


All That Glitters Is Not Gold: Forensic Analysis of Motisons

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> too.</li>
<li>The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 11 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks were added to global indices last month while some could be added in February. There are potential index implications for the NIFTY Index and Nifty Next 50 Index too.
The upward migrations have continued to outperform the downward migrations. The largest recent outperformance has come from stocks expected to move from the Mid Cap to the Large Cap segment.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): MidCap to LargeCap Migrations Outperforming

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index</a> and/or <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-next-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36053:1" rel="noopener">Nifty Next 50 Index</a> changes in March.</li>
<li>On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 8 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 13 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 14 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Some stocks are expected to be inclusions to global indices later this month while others are potential NIFTY Index and/or Nifty Next 50 Index changes in March.
On average, the upward migrating stocks have outperformed the downward migrating stocks by close to 100% over the last 8 months. The passive flow can be used as an exit.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (Dec 2023): HUGE Outperformance as Active and Passive Meet

India

Kalyan Jewellers India Limited designs and manufactures gold, diamonds, stones, and other precious metal jewelry products. The Company offers rings, bangles, necklace, pendant, bracelets, earrings, and chains. Kalyan Jewellers India serves customers worldwide.

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Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)