Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> 's FOCO (Franchise Owned, Company Operated) model warrants deeper attention</li>
<li>Our casual checks question the company's store expansion narrative vs on ground reality. </li>
<li>Our conversation seems to indicate franchisees are financial partners only.</li>
</ul>


We believe Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) 's FOCO (Franchise Owned, Company Operated) model warrants deeper attention
Our casual checks question the company's store expansion narrative vs on ground reality. 
Our conversation seems to indicate franchisees are financial partners only.


Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) | FOCO Model Warrants Attention

Indian Accounting Research Analyst, Trudence Capital Advisors

Nitin Mangal

Indian Accounting Research Analyst

Forensic Accounting

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a>, one of the largest Indian jewellery player, has been under the limelight for various allegations and misconducts, including possibility of inventory overstatement.</li>
<li>In this insight, we try to look at the inventory from the forensic lens and uncover the disparity in accounting.</li>
<li>We also note that operating cash flows are boosted by movement in metal loans while company also has several RPT with promoters, especially on the purchases side. </li>
</ul>



Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN), one of the largest Indian jewellery player, has been under the limelight for various allegations and misconducts, including possibility of inventory overstatement.
In this insight, we try to look at the inventory from the forensic lens and uncover the disparity in accounting.
We also note that operating cash flows are boosted by movement in metal loans while company also has several RPT with promoters, especially on the purchases side. 


Kalyan Jewellers- Grey Areas Surrounding Inventory

Equity Analyst, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> stock has dropped 36% year-to-date and is now under an F&amp;O ban after open interest hit threshold limits.</li>
<li>The rumours driving the stock decline lack financial or strategic relevance with no substantial reason for long-term investors to panic.</li>
<li>The stock correction has realigned Kalyan’s P/E discount to Titan, with current levels likely to stabilise and thus provide a near term support for Kalyan Jeweller's stock price.</li>
</ul>



Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) stock has dropped 36% year-to-date and is now under an F&amp;O ban after open interest hit threshold limits.
The rumours driving the stock decline lack financial or strategic relevance with no substantial reason for long-term investors to panic.
The stock correction has realigned Kalyan’s P/E discount to Titan, with current levels likely to stabilise and thus provide a near term support for Kalyan Jeweller's stock price.


Kalyan Jewellers: Rumour-Driven Stock Slide, F&O Ban—Is There Room for Further Correction?

Market & Forensics Analyst, Beat the Street

Nimish Maheshwari

Market & Forensics Analyst

Beat the Street

Beat The Street was founded by Nimish Maheshwari and Sudarshan Bhandari, both of whom are Chartered Accountants by Profession, known for their expert analysis in the fields of Business, Sectoral analysis, and Corporate governance.

With a strong social media presence of 45,000+ Subscribers across various platforms, they are considered trusted voices in the industry. Their insights and analysis have been featured in some of India’s most prominent publications, including the Economic Times, Dalal Street Investment Journal, The Morning Context, and The Ken.

Their analysis on Bankrupt & Insolvent companies has been instrumental in saving investors from significant losses. They have a keen eye for identifying red flags and has identified exclusive redflags earlier in Vedanta, Nykaa, Dhani Services, Adani and many more.

Read Business Not Stock Prices

<ul>
<li>Steep decline in the stock price triggered a wave of speculation and rumours, further fueling the negative sentiment surrounding <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a>.</li>
<li>The rumours ranged from serious allegations of inventory overvaluation and IT raids to concerns about changes in franchisee agreements and even accusations of bribery.</li>
<li>While <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> has dismissed the overvaluation allegations, its inventory turnover ratio (ITR) has consistently lagged behind the industry leader <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a> .</li>
</ul>


Steep decline in the stock price triggered a wave of speculation and rumours, further fueling the negative sentiment surrounding Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN).
The rumours ranged from serious allegations of inventory overvaluation and IT raids to concerns about changes in franchisee agreements and even accusations of bribery.
While Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) has dismissed the overvaluation allegations, its inventory turnover ratio (ITR) has consistently lagged behind the industry leader Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN) .


Forensic Analysis: Kalyan Jewellers on Allegations and Rumours ~ Cause And Reality

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> reported strong 1Q2025 sales and earnings growth, driven by robust same-store sales growth (SSSG) and new store additions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a>, the incumbent market leader, had a lacklustre performance for the quarter, highlighting Kalyan's rapid growth.</li>
<li>Expect <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kalyan-jewellers" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29714:1" rel="noopener">Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)</a> to outperform <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/titan-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12630:1" rel="noopener">Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN)</a> , narrowing the steep relative valuation discount as it ramps up growth, improves performance metrics.</li>
</ul>



Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) reported strong 1Q2025 sales and earnings growth, driven by robust same-store sales growth (SSSG) and new store additions.

Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN), the incumbent market leader, had a lacklustre performance for the quarter, highlighting Kalyan's rapid growth.
Expect Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN) to outperform Titan Co Ltd (TTAN IN) , narrowing the steep relative valuation discount as it ramps up growth, improves performance metrics.


Kalyan Jewellers:1QFY25-Glittering Performance. David Outshines Goliath in Growth

India

Kalyan Jewellers India Limited designs and manufactures gold, diamonds, stones, and other precious metal jewelry products. The Company offers rings, bangles, necklace, pendant, bracelets, earrings, and chains. Kalyan Jewellers India serves customers worldwide.

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Kalyan Jewellers (KALYANKJ IN)