Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>There is only one large, liquid, listed, internet bank in all of the Asia-Pacific markets</li>
<li>Earnings have been strong, with uplift in NIM and loan balance to support this</li>
<li>Regulatory change to provisioning not likely to affect this bank, but big peers</li>
</ul>


There is only one large, liquid, listed, internet bank in all of the Asia-Pacific markets
Earnings have been strong, with uplift in NIM and loan balance to support this
Regulatory change to provisioning not likely to affect this bank, but big peers


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>While the holiday shortened week didn't see much action in Asia, but there was one more ADR filing in the US, adding to the mini-pipeline.</li>
<li>Adani's ongoing FPO was the only live deal this week, although it had enough drama to make up for the lack of other deals.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
While the holiday shortened week didn't see much action in Asia, but there was one more ADR filing in the US, adding to the mini-pipeline.
Adani's ongoing FPO was the only live deal this week, although it had enough drama to make up for the lack of other deals.


ECM Weekly (29th Jan 2023) - Adani, Oasis, Mankind Pharma, ZJLD, India IPO Bookrunners

Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

<ul>
<li>Fintechs and neobanks suffered a valuations reality check in 2022, due to rising interest (and discount) rates, poor fundamental results coupled with - in certain cases - high cash burn</li>
<li>Most neobanks need to improve customer activity rates as well as product and revenue penetration; legacy banks are responding to disruptors and in developed markets megafintechs are encroaching on neobanks</li>
<li>We see 2023 neobank picks driven by bottom-up calls on focused execution; we turn constructive on Nubank, stay negative on Inter and Jago and neutral on Kakaobank and Banco PAN</li>
</ul>


Fintechs and neobanks suffered a valuations reality check in 2022, due to rising interest (and discount) rates, poor fundamental results coupled with - in certain cases - high cash burn
Most neobanks need to improve customer activity rates as well as product and revenue penetration; legacy banks are responding to disruptors and in developed markets megafintechs are encroaching on neobanks
We see 2023 neobank picks driven by bottom-up calls on focused execution; we turn constructive on Nubank, stay negative on Inter and Jago and neutral on Kakaobank and Banco PAN


EM and DM Neobanks in 2023; Selective Opportunity Driven by Bottom-Up Execution

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>At this point, one constituent change is expected, and LG Chem is expected to replace KT&amp;G.</li>
<li>The return of the equal-weighted long/short basket trade for the constituent changes in the past two years was recorded from 2.3% to 3.8%.</li>
<li>Both LG Chem and KT&amp;G are expected to have a significant rebalancing flow impact. It can be an event that brings a juicy day trading return.</li>
</ul>


At this point, one constituent change is expected, and LG Chem is expected to replace KT&amp;G.
The return of the equal-weighted long/short basket trade for the constituent changes in the past two years was recorded from 2.3% to 3.8%.
Both LG Chem and KT&amp;G are expected to have a significant rebalancing flow impact. It can be an event that brings a juicy day trading return.


Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-energy-solution" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33464:1" rel="noopener">LG Energy Solution (373220 KS)</a> (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note</li>
</ul>



LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) (LGES) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range.
The stock was listed on 27th Jan 22. Its one-year lockup is set to expire soon.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note


LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Lockups at US$3bn

South Korea

KakaoBank Corp. operates bank businesses. The Company provides deposit money, withdraw money, credit cards, stock accounts, linked loans, and other services. KakaoBank conducts businesses in South Korea.

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KakaoBank (323410 KS)

KakaoBank- The Only One

The only major, liquid, listed internet bank in the region, operating in a highly internet connected economy and well-penetrating the working...

Daniel Tabbush

ECM Weekly (29th Jan 2023) - Adani, Oasis, Mankind Pharma, ZJLD, India IPO Bookrunners

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

EM and DM Neobanks in 2023; Selective Opportunity Driven by Bottom-Up Execution

Neobank shareholder success stories are rare, but Nubank combines high customer activation and revenue conversion, with low cost to acquire; we...

Victor Galliano

Introducing KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF Rebalancing Event

KODEX Top 5 Plus ETF rebalancing will likely feature one constituent change, which can deliver a juicy day trading return.

Sanghyun Park

LG Energy IPO Lock-Up - Last of the Lockups at US$3bn

LG Energy Solution (373220 KS) raised US$10.8bn in its South Korea IPO, after pricing at the top-end of the IPO price range. Its one-year lockup...

Sumeet Singh

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