Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.</p></div><div></div><div>
<p>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier notes:</p>
<ul>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-pay-ipo-guided-by-ant-financial-to-be-a-mini-ant" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to be a mini Ant, </a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-pay-ipo-peer-comparison-local-and-international" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay IPO - Peer comparison - local and international, and</a></li>
</ul>
</div><ul><li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-pay-ipo-valuation-and-likely-impact-of-latest-announcement" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay IPO - Valuation and Likely Impact of Latest Announcement</a></li></ul><div><p>As the company is slated to be in front of investors again and finally launch its bookbuilding next week, in this note we will talk about the updates from the refiled prospectus and have a relook at valuations.</p></div>

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier notes:

Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to be a mini Ant, 
Kakao Pay IPO - Peer comparison - local and international, and

Kakao Pay IPO - Valuation and Likely Impact of Latest AnnouncementAs the company is slated to be in front of investors again and finally launch its bookbuilding next week, in this note we will talk about the updates from the refiled prospectus and have a relook at valuations.

Kakao Pay IPO - Low-End Still Appear Reasonable but Stock Will More Likely Be Driven by Sentiment

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<p>KOSPI 200 December rebalancing's review period is May 1 to October 31.</p><h2>Adds</h2><p>Below is the list of the likely additions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. All of them have a pretty decent shot at joining KOSPI 200 at this point.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 adds - screening"}'>KOSPI 200 adds - screening</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily market cap"}'>Cumulative average daily market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average daily market cap ranking"}'>Average daily market cap ranking</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily trading value"}'>Cumulative average daily trading value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'>&gt; 15th percentile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&lt; 90.00%"}'>&lt; 90.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'><div><div>&gt; 15th percentile</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PI Advanced Materials Co Ltd"}'><strong>PI Advanced Materials</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178920}'>178920</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.19436336904045193}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>19.44%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8148148148148148}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>81.48%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8313253012048193}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>83.13%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Myoung Shin Industrial Co Ltd"}'><strong>Myoung Shin Industrial</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"009900"}'>009900</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.18064633216832338}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>18.06%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6388888888888888}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>63.89%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.9681528662420382}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>96.82%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SL Corp"}'><strong>SL Corp</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005850"}'>005850</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.16233071177081637}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>16.23%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.7222222222222222}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>72.22%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6751592356687899}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>67.52%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Meritz Financial Group Inc"}'><strong>Meritz Financial Group</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":138040}'>138040</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.18331189030260275}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>18.33%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.8947368421052632}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>89.47%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6268656716417911}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>62.69%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><div class="content-highlight"><p>F&amp;F (383220), Iljin Hysolus (271940), and SD Biosensor (137310) are also meeting the inclusion screening requirements. But they do not meet the minimum listing period of 6 months, so they will not be included in the index for this rebalancing. At their current market caps, they will likely join KOSPI 200 in the June rebalancing next year.</p></div><p>Below are the passive inflow estimates for each likely addition. Meritz Financial Group and SL Corp are expected to experience significant passive inflow at 1.91x and 1.69x compared to ADTV, respectively.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 adds - passive inflow"}'>KOSPI 200 adds - passive inflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Estimated passive inflow"}'>Estimated passive inflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shares in"}'>Shares-in</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Days to buy"}'>Days to buy (est. passive inflow / ADTV)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"PI Advanced Materials Co Ltd"}'><strong>PI Advanced Materials</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":178920}'>178920</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":10.825840665461046}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩10.8B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":214798.42590200488}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>214,798</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.9039685638683741}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>0.90x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Myoung Shin Industrial Co Ltd"}'><strong>Myoung Shin Industrial</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"009900"}'>009900</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":10.991761963498126}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩11.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":427695.0180349466}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>427,695</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.30905100286068315}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>0.31x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"SL Corp"}'><strong>SL Corp</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"005850"}'>005850</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":6.550051172140481}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩6.6B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":254370.91930642645}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>254,371</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.6851889200919719}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.69x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Meritz Financial Group Inc"}'><strong>Meritz Financial Group</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":138040}'>138040</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":15.155515711760314}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩15.2B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":470668.18980622094}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>470,668</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.905338234034025}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.91x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><h2>Deletes</h2><p>Below is the list of the likely deletions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. Of these five candidates, the first three have a higher chance of leaving the index. Then, one of the last two (Lotte Himart or LX Hausys) will likely join the rest to leave the index.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 deletes - screening"}'>KOSPI 200 deletes - screening</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily market cap"}'>Cumulative average daily market cap</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Average daily market cap ranking"}'>Average daily market cap ranking</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Cumulative average daily trading value"}'>Cumulative average daily trading value</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td></td>
<td style="text-align: right;"></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'>&lt; 15th percentile</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 110.00%"}'>&gt; 110.00%</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"&gt; 15th percentile"}'><div><div>&gt; 15th percentile</div></div></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Samyang Foods Co Ltd"}'><strong>Samyang Foods</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"003230"}'>003230</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.09118900815365227}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>9.12%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.2173913043478262}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>121.74%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5416666666666667}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>54.17%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd"}'><strong>Ilyang Pharmaceutical</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"007570"}'>007570</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.05931317465504915}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>5.93%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.4444444444444444}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>144.44%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5614035087719298}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>56.14%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Holdings Corp"}'><strong>LX Holdings</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":383800}'>383800</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.09812342876337998}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>9.81%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.2}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>120.00%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5176470588235293}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>51.76%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LOTTE Himart Co Ltd"}'><strong>LOTTE Himart</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"071840"}'>071840</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.09733771137498692}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>9.73%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.1388888888888888}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>113.89%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.5605095541401274}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>56.05%</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Hausys Ltd"}'><strong>LX Hausys</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":108670}'>108670</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.10423769792069448}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>10.42%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.16}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'><strong>116.00%</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":0.6705882352941177}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":3,"2":"0.00%","3":1}'>67.06%</td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table><p>Below are the passive outflow estimates for each likely deletion. Samyang Foods and Lotte Himart will likely suffer the harshest passive outflow at 2.40x and 2.12x compared to ADTV, respectively.</p><table class="table table-striped">
<colgroup>
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
<col width="100">
</colgroup>
<tbody>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"KOSPI 200 deletes - passive outflow"}'>KOSPI 200 deletes - passive outflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ticker"}'>Ticker</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Estimated passive outflow"}'>Estimated passive outflow</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Shares-out"}'>Shares-out</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Days to cover"}'>Days to cover (est. passive outflow / ADTV)</td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Samyang Foods Co Ltd"}'><strong>Samyang Foods</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"003230"}'>003230</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩4.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":46948.35680751174}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>46,948</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.3955941922623576}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>2.40x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Ilyang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd"}'><strong>Ilyang Pharmaceutical</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"007570"}'>007570</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5.999999999999999}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩6.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":207972.27036395145}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>207,972</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.1713189148648702}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.17x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Holdings Corp"}'><strong>LX Holdings</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":383800}'>383800</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":5.999999999999999}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩6.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":673400.6734006733}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>673,401</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.7705475669560264}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.77x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LOTTE Himart Co Ltd"}'><strong>LOTTE Himart</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"071840"}'>071840</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":4}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩4.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":139616.05584642233}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>139,616</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":2.1244720753282564}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>2.12x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"LX Hausys Ltd"}'><strong>LX Hausys</strong></td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":108670}'>108670</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":8}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"₩#,##0.0B"}'>₩8.0B</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":108695.65217391304}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0","3":1}'>108,696</td>
<td style="text-align: right;" data-sheets-value='{"1":3,"3":1.2487943625014968}' data-sheets-numberformat='{"1":2,"2":"#,##0.00x","3":1}'><strong>1.25x</strong></td>
</tr>
<tr><td colspan="5" rowspan="1" data-sheets-value='{"1":2,"2":"Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide"}'>Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide</td></tr>
</tbody>
</table>

KOSPI 200 December rebalancing's review period is May 1 to October 31.AddsBelow is the list of the likely additions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. All of them have a pretty decent shot at joining KOSPI 200 at this point.









KOSPI 200 adds - screening
Ticker
Cumulative average daily market cap
Average daily market cap ranking
Cumulative average daily trading value




&gt; 15th percentile
&lt; 90.00%
&gt; 15th percentile


PI Advanced Materials
178920
19.44%
81.48%
83.13%


Myoung Shin Industrial
009900
18.06%
63.89%
96.82%


SL Corp
005850
16.23%
72.22%
67.52%


Meritz Financial Group
138040
18.33%
89.47%
62.69%

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide

F&amp;F (383220), Iljin Hysolus (271940), and SD Biosensor (137310) are also meeting the inclusion screening requirements. But they do not meet the minimum listing period of 6 months, so they will not be included in the index for this rebalancing. At their current market caps, they will likely join KOSPI 200 in the June rebalancing next year.Below are the passive inflow estimates for each likely addition. Meritz Financial Group and SL Corp are expected to experience significant passive inflow at 1.91x and 1.69x compared to ADTV, respectively.









KOSPI 200 adds - passive inflow
Ticker
Estimated passive inflow
Shares-in
Days to buy (est. passive inflow / ADTV)


PI Advanced Materials
178920
₩10.8B
214,798
0.90x


Myoung Shin Industrial
009900
₩11.0B
427,695
0.31x


SL Corp
005850
₩6.6B
254,371
1.69x


Meritz Financial Group
138040
₩15.2B
470,668
1.91x

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide

DeletesBelow is the list of the likely deletions based on the average daily market cap from May 1 to yesterday. Of these five candidates, the first three have a higher chance of leaving the index. Then, one of the last two (Lotte Himart or LX Hausys) will likely join the rest to leave the index.









KOSPI 200 deletes - screening
Ticker
Cumulative average daily market cap
Average daily market cap ranking
Cumulative average daily trading value




&lt; 15th percentile
&gt; 110.00%
&gt; 15th percentile


Samyang Foods
003230
9.12%
121.74%
54.17%


Ilyang Pharmaceutical
007570
5.93%
144.44%
56.14%


LX Holdings
383800
9.81%
120.00%
51.76%


LOTTE Himart
071840
9.73%
113.89%
56.05%


LX Hausys
108670
10.42%
116.00%
67.06%

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide

Below are the passive outflow estimates for each likely deletion. Samyang Foods and Lotte Himart will likely suffer the harshest passive outflow at 2.40x and 2.12x compared to ADTV, respectively.









KOSPI 200 deletes - passive outflow
Ticker
Estimated passive outflow
Shares-out
Days to cover (est. passive outflow / ADTV)


Samyang Foods
003230
₩4.0B
46,948
2.40x


Ilyang Pharmaceutical
007570
₩6.0B
207,972
1.17x


LX Holdings
383800
₩6.0B
673,401
1.77x


LOTTE Himart
071840
₩4.0B
139,616
2.12x


LX Hausys
108670
₩8.0B
108,696
1.25x

Source: KRX &amp; FnGuide



KOSPI 200 December Rebalancing: 5 Adds/Deletes & Special Considerations

<p>KRX officially announced today that it would not apply the volatility interruption on the first day of listing for newly listed stocks from <strong>October 18th</strong>.</p><p><strong>Both dynamic VI and static VI do not apply on the listing date.</strong> However, in the case of a transfer listing from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI or a transfer listing from the KOSPI to the KOSDAQ, the current VI continues to apply. However, it won't apply for a transfer from KONEX to KOSDAQ.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/232/793/original/1.png?1632975345" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="232793"></figure></section><div class="content-caption">(Source: KRX)</div><div class="content-highlight"><p>Attached below is the full version of the press release by the KRX.</p></div><p>KRX cited as the reason for this rule change that, although it is a natural phenomenon that price fluctuations accompany the process of finding a fair price on the listing date, the VI was excessively triggered in the recent listings, which undermines transaction continuity.</p><p>In particular, there has been frequent VI activation immediately after the opening, where many investors participated, caused many problems by stopping trading and delaying the discovery of a fair price. Therefore, through this measure, KRX expects to improve the process of finding a fair price for newly listed stocks by increasing transaction continuity on the listing date.</p>

KRX officially announced today that it would not apply the volatility interruption on the first day of listing for newly listed stocks from October 18th.Both dynamic VI and static VI do not apply on the listing date. However, in the case of a transfer listing from the KOSDAQ to the KOSPI or a transfer listing from the KOSPI to the KOSDAQ, the current VI continues to apply. However, it won't apply for a transfer from KONEX to KOSDAQ.(Source: KRX)Attached below is the full version of the press release by the KRX.KRX cited as the reason for this rule change that, although it is a natural phenomenon that price fluctuations accompany the process of finding a fair price on the listing date, the VI was excessively triggered in the recent listings, which undermines transaction continuity.In particular, there has been frequent VI activation immediately after the opening, where many investors participated, caused many problems by stopping trading and delaying the discovery of a fair price. Therefore, through this measure, KRX expects to improve the process of finding a fair price for newly listed stocks by increasing transaction continuity on the listing date.

No VI (Volatility Interruption) Applies to Korean IPO Stocks on the Listing Date After October 18

<h2>Key revisions</h2><p>Kakao Pay submitted a revised registration statement (prospectus) on Friday afternoon. It plans to start bookbuilding on October 20-21 and subscription on the 25th. It then plans to go public in early November (tentatively November 3rd). However, Kakao Pay did not change the offering price.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/611/original/2.png?1632487425" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231611"></figure></section><p>The grace period for the registration statement to take effect is 15 business days. During this period, the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) will undergo a final review. An issuer cannot do marketing during the grace period. After 15 business days from today (September 24th), it becomes October 20th. So, the start date of bookbuilding was decided on October 20th.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/612/original/1.png?1632487478" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231612"></figure></section><p>Contrary to expectations, Kakao Pay maintained its offering price at 60,000-90,000 won as before. The market capitalization based on the top of the indicative price band is 11.73 trillion won. The institutional allocation rate remains the same at 55-75%.</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/613/original/3.png?1632487969" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231613"></figure></section><p>Kakao Pay added government regulatory risk to this revised report. It stated that it had suspended those services that violated the Financial Consumer Protection Act (the services concluded as financial product brokerage, not advertising).</p><p>However, Kakao Pay explained that the portion of sales of the discontinued services was only 1.2% of the total sales. Therefore, Kakao Pay said it did not feel the need to change its IPO valuation (the offering price).</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/231/614/original/4.png?1632488385" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="231614"></figure></section>

Key revisionsKakao Pay submitted a revised registration statement (prospectus) on Friday afternoon. It plans to start bookbuilding on October 20-21 and subscription on the 25th. It then plans to go public in early November (tentatively November 3rd). However, Kakao Pay did not change the offering price.The grace period for the registration statement to take effect is 15 business days. During this period, the Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) will undergo a final review. An issuer cannot do marketing during the grace period. After 15 business days from today (September 24th), it becomes October 20th. So, the start date of bookbuilding was decided on October 20th.Contrary to expectations, Kakao Pay maintained its offering price at 60,000-90,000 won as before. The market capitalization based on the top of the indicative price band is 11.73 trillion won. The institutional allocation rate remains the same at 55-75%.Kakao Pay added government regulatory risk to this revised report. It stated that it had suspended those services that violated the Financial Consumer Protection Act (the services concluded as financial product brokerage, not advertising).However, Kakao Pay explained that the portion of sales of the discontinued services was only 1.2% of the total sales. Therefore, Kakao Pay said it did not feel the need to change its IPO valuation (the offering price).

Kakao Pay IPO Revised Prospectus Out: Key Revisions & Talking Points

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<p><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300 KS)</a> provided a new timeline of its IPO after the market close today.</strong> The book building for the institutional investors will now start on <strong>20 October.</strong> Previously, this was supposed to start on 29 September. Despite another delay in the IPO schedule, the company has maintained the IPO price range of 60,000 won to 90,000 won. The IPO base deal size ranges from $871 million to $1.3 billion.</p><p>According to the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of Kakao Pay is expected to range from 8.2 trillion won to 12.2 trillion won. Kakao Pay IPO is expected to start trading on <strong>3 November. </strong></p><div class="content-highlight">
<div>We maintain our base case valuation of EV of 10.1 trillion won, implied market cap of 12.2 trillion won, and target price per share of 89,739 won per share. This is based on an EV/S multiple of 10.6x using our estimated sales of 954 billion won for the company in 2022.</div>
<div></div>
<div>At the high end of the IPO price range (90,000 won), we see limited upside as compared to our base case valuation. On the other hand, at the low or mid end of the IPO price range (60,000 won to 75,000 won per share), we see a solid upside as compared to our target price. </div>
</div>

Kakao Pay (377300 KS) provided a new timeline of its IPO after the market close today. The book building for the institutional investors will now start on 20 October. Previously, this was supposed to start on 29 September. Despite another delay in the IPO schedule, the company has maintained the IPO price range of 60,000 won to 90,000 won. The IPO base deal size ranges from $871 million to $1.3 billion.According to the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of Kakao Pay is expected to range from 8.2 trillion won to 12.2 trillion won. Kakao Pay IPO is expected to start trading on 3 November. 
We maintain our base case valuation of EV of 10.1 trillion won, implied market cap of 12.2 trillion won, and target price per share of 89,739 won per share. This is based on an EV/S multiple of 10.6x using our estimated sales of 954 billion won for the company in 2022.

At the high end of the IPO price range (90,000 won), we see limited upside as compared to our base case valuation. On the other hand, at the low or mid end of the IPO price range (60,000 won to 75,000 won per share), we see a solid upside as compared to our target price. 


South Korea

Kakao Pay Corp. operates financial businesses. The Company provides online payment, currency encryption, and other services. Kakao Pay conducts businesses in South Korea.

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Kakaopay (377300 KS)

Kakao Pay IPO - Low-End Still Appear Reasonable but Stock Will More Likely Be Driven by Sentiment

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No VI (Volatility Interruption) Applies to Korean IPO Stocks on the Listing Date After October 18

The KRX made it official that no VI (volatility interruption) applies to IPO stocks on the listing date after October 18. This post details the...

Sanghyun Park

Kakao Pay IPO Revised Prospectus Out: Key Revisions & Talking Points

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Sanghyun Park

Kakao Pay - A New Timeline for Its IPO

Kakao Pay provided a new timeline of its IPO after the market close today. The book building for the institutional investors will now start on 20...

Douglas Kim

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