IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/welbe-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31118:1" rel="noopener">Welbe Inc (6556 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/probiotec-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12047:1" rel="noopener">Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/genetron-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28435:1" rel="noopener">Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lithium-power-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30603:1" rel="noopener">Lithium Power International (LPI AU)</a>. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tietto-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28006:1" rel="noopener">Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/orecorp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8120:1" rel="noopener">Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qv-equities-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24284:1" rel="noopener">QV Equities Ltd (QVE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20649:1" rel="noopener">Irc Ltd (1029 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - Welbe Inc (6556 JP), Probiotec Ltd (PBP AU), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP), Genetron Holdings Ltd (GTH US), Lithium Power International (LPI AU). 
Lowest spreads - Tietto Minerals Ltd (TIE AU), Orecorp Ltd (ORR AU), QV Equities Ltd (QVE AU), Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), CPMC Holdings (906 HK), Irc Ltd (1029 HK). 


Merger Arb Mondays (12 Feb) - JSR, Benefit One, Lawson, Welbe, YSK, Hollysys, Silver Lake

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>  <a href="https://www.jsr.co.jp/jsr_e/news/2024/20240202.html" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> 2 February on its website that the Research Foundation for the State University of New York (“RF SUNY”) <a href="https://www.pacermonitor.com/public/case/52119743/The_Research_Foundation_for_the_State_University_of_New_York_v_Inpria_Corporation_et_al" target="_blank" rel="noopener">filed suit</a> against JSR subsidiary Inpria 25 January.</li>
<li>JSR claims no wrongdoing. A court order from the US District Court for the Northern District of New York denied RF SUNY's request for a hearing by 5 February.</li>
<li>This may put a short-term damper on sentiment in the name, and I expect the JICC people have been working on this for a week. </li>
</ul>



JSR Corp (4185 JP)  announced 2 February on its website that the Research Foundation for the State University of New York (“RF SUNY”) filed suit against JSR subsidiary Inpria 25 January.
JSR claims no wrongdoing. A court order from the US District Court for the Northern District of New York denied RF SUNY's request for a hearing by 5 February.
This may put a short-term damper on sentiment in the name, and I expect the JICC people have been working on this for a week. 


JSR (4185) - Possible Trouble in Arb Land as SUNY/CNSE Files Suit Against JSR Sub Inpria

<ul>
<li>The Research Foundation of the State University of New York (SUNY RF) has filed a patent infringement lawsuit against <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> and its subsidiary, Inpria.</li>
<li>SUNY RF claims the “planned tender offer will irreparably harm SUNY RF absent preliminary relief” and filed a motion for a preliminary injunction to stop JSR licensing patents to JIC.</li>
<li>JSR has yet to file a response, making it hard to judge the lawsuit’s merits. The best case is the PI is not granted, delaying the tender by a month.  </li>
</ul>


The Research Foundation of the State University of New York (SUNY RF) has filed a patent infringement lawsuit against JSR Corp (4185 JP) and its subsidiary, Inpria.
SUNY RF claims the “planned tender offer will irreparably harm SUNY RF absent preliminary relief” and filed a motion for a preliminary injunction to stop JSR licensing patents to JIC.
JSR has yet to file a response, making it hard to judge the lawsuit’s merits. The best case is the PI is not granted, delaying the tender by a month.  


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): An Unwelcome US Lawsuit as Tender Start Looms

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is JPY4,350 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 7.7%.</li>
<li>The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-condition related to China SAMR approval and potentially shareholder approval due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shin-etsu-chemical-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4481:1" rel="noopener">Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)</a>’s re-rating.</li>
<li>SAMR conditional approval would fit with the late February tender start timeline (at the earliest). Despite Shin-Etsu’s re-rating, the offer still looks reasonable.</li>
</ul>



JSR Corp (4185 JP) pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is JPY4,350 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 7.7%.
The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-condition related to China SAMR approval and potentially shareholder approval due to Shin Etsu Chemical (4063 JP)’s re-rating.
SAMR conditional approval would fit with the late February tender start timeline (at the earliest). Despite Shin-Etsu’s re-rating, the offer still looks reasonable.


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Risk/Reward in Context of Shin-Etsu’s Re-Rating and Looming Tender Start

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>We expected a blandiloquent but bletcherous bump for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>.  We got bletcherous.</li>
<li>With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, time to dust off some old school perspective with Benjamin Graham's Net Nets.</li>
<li>JIC CEO Yokoo reckons the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> deal to be done by March-end. Language is vague. If that means to start by then, that's still 30% annualised.</li>
</ul>


We expected a blandiloquent but bletcherous bump for T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP).  We got bletcherous.
With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, time to dust off some old school perspective with Benjamin Graham's Net Nets.
JIC CEO Yokoo reckons the JSR Corp (4185 JP) deal to be done by March-end. Language is vague. If that means to start by then, that's still 30% annualised.


Last Week in Event SPACE: T&K TOKA, Liquidated HK Stocks, JSR, Orecorp, Brilliance Auto, Hollysys

Japan

JSR Corporation manufactures synthetic rubber and synthetic resins.  The Company's rubber products are used mainly for auto tires.  JSR Corporation also manufactures LCD-related materials and photo-resists.

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JSR Corp (4185 JP)

Merger Arb Mondays (12 Feb) - JSR, Benefit One, Lawson, Welbe, YSK, Hollysys, Silver Lake

This week, the highest gross spreads are Welbe (10.2%), Probiotec (9.8%), JSR (9.2%), Shinko Electric (7.8%), Genetron (7.7%), Lithium Power...

Arun George

JSR (4185) - Possible Trouble in Arb Land as SUNY/CNSE Files Suit Against JSR Sub Inpria

JSR's takeover by JIC should be nearing a launch. 10 days ago, following a Lam Rsrch defense filing, the SUNY Research Foundation filed suit...

Travis Lundy

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): An Unwelcome US Lawsuit as Tender Start Looms

SUNY RF filed a patent lawsuit against JSR and a motion to prevent licensing patents to JIC. Court proceedings over the coming weeks will clarify...

Arun George

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Risk/Reward in Context of Shin-Etsu’s Re-Rating and Looming Tender Start

SAMR conditional approval would fit with the late February tender start timeline. Despite Shin-Etsu’s re-rating, the offer still looks reasonable....

Arun George

Last Week in Event SPACE: T&K TOKA, Liquidated HK Stocks, JSR, Orecorp, Brilliance Auto, Hollysys

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

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