IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Evergrande Property Services / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/evergrande-property-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30921:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Services (EGS HK)</a> is a Chinese property management provider. Evergrande ranked fourth in GFA under management, among the Top 100 property management companies in China in 2019, according to CIA. The controlling shareholder is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-evergrande-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:479:1" rel="noopener">Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK)</a>.</p>
<p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.50-9.75 per share, Evergrande will have a market cap of HK$91,891.9-105,405.4 million ($11.9-13.6 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total proceeds are HK$14,797 million ($1.9 billion) which is equally split between a primary and secondary raise. The selling shareholder is CEG Holdings, which is owned by China Evergrande Group. </p>
</div><div><p>21 cornerstone investors will subscribe for HK$7,207.9 million worth of the offer shares (48.68% of the offer shares at the IPO mid-point). The cornerstone investors are mostly "friends-and-family" accounts and over half have business ties with Evergrande Group. </p></div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/evergrande-property-services-ipo-initiation-standing-out" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45554" rel="noopener">Evergrande Property Services IPO Initiation: Standing Out</a>, we stated that Evergrande’s fundamentals are strong. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. </p></div></div></div>


Evergrande Services (EGS HK) is a Chinese property management provider. Evergrande ranked fourth in GFA under management, among the Top 100 property management companies in China in 2019, according to CIA. The controlling shareholder is Evergrande Real Estate Group (3333 HK).
At the proposed IPO price range of HK$8.50-9.75 per share, Evergrande will have a market cap of HK$91,891.9-105,405.4 million ($11.9-13.6 billion). At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total proceeds are HK$14,797 million ($1.9 billion) which is equally split between a primary and secondary raise. The selling shareholder is CEG Holdings, which is owned by China Evergrande Group. 
21 cornerstone investors will subscribe for HK$7,207.9 million worth of the offer shares (48.68% of the offer shares at the IPO mid-point). The cornerstone investors are mostly "friends-and-family" accounts and over half have business ties with Evergrande Group. In Evergrande Property Services IPO Initiation: Standing Out, we stated that Evergrande’s fundamentals are strong. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. 

Evergrande Property Services IPO: Valuation Insights

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.




We are close to the home stretch for IPOs this year but there are still a handful of deals that are coming to market. In Hong Kong, we are hearing that Evergrande Services (EGS HK) and China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services (CRML HK) will be opening their books on Monday and Tuesday, respectively. Blue Moon Group Holdings (BMG HK) will likely launch its bookbuild soon as well since it just won its approval to list last week whereas JD Health (JDH HK) should also hit the market soon since it has been doing its premarketing rounds this week.


Evergrande Services (恒大物业) Pre-IPO - Bad Parenting 

CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) Pre-IPO - SOE-Linked Parentage Didn’t Help 

CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) Pre-IPO - A Balance of Residential and Commercial Properties 

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - A Mixed Bag 

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - Valuation Updates 

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Updates from PHIP - Fine-Tuning Forecasts 

Other upcoming (relatively smaller deal size) IPOs which had gotten approvals this week are  POP MART (POP HK), and Harbour Biomed (HMD HK) and they will be looking to premarket this coming week. Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure (DBI AT) in Australia also completed its bookbuild on the 19th of November. We have covered them in:


Pop Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - Expanding Portfolio+Wider Distribution= Explosive Earnings Growth, and
Pop Mart Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Is It a Brand Owner or Just a Retailer?

Pop Mart Pre-IPO - Peer Set and Valuation 

HBM (和珀医药) Pre-IPO: Innovative Heavy Chain Platform to Be Tested 

HBM (和珀医药) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation 

Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure - Highly Curious Timing 

IPO debuts this week traded well, indicating that short-term momentum is still strong for now. Yatsen Holding (YSG US) traded the strongest amongst listings. It closed its first day trading (Thursday) with about 70+% gain and on Friday,  posted another 8% gain. It is now 90% above IPO price. Valuation is very stretched at this point and it would probably be a wise move to take some profits off the table.


Yatsen IPO - Pricey but It Comes with Strong Investor Backing 

Yatsen IPO Trading - A Little More Pricey Now 

Hong Kong property management services listings rush were looking weak initially due to Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)'s weak debut (broke deal price) but managed to turn for the better after Sunac Services (1516 HK) trade better on the first day (closing about 20% higher). Obviously this bodes well for CR Mixc and Evergrande Svcs but we think these listings have their own problems too which one needs to be cognizant about (Links above). 


Sunac Services (融创服务) IPO Trading - Subscription Rate Similar to Jinke Svcs 

Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) IPO Trading - Demand and Valuation = Muted Near-Term Performance 

Other than these, Gland Pharma (7172753Z IN) in India, traded well on debut too closing about 20% higher than IPO price on Friday but Antengene (6996 HK) in Hong Kong opened high but closed just 1% above.


Antengene (德琪医药) IPO Trading: Ample Potential for the Management 

Gland Pharma IPO Trading - Squeezed Through, Now for the Real Test 

Placement activity was not as busy as last week but there were two notable ADR/ADS placements by Pinduoduo (PDD US) and KE Holdings Inc (BEKE US). Both have traded well above their respective deal prices post-pricing but PDD's performance was the most outstanding as it has already returned 14% from deal price as of Friday's close. In India, Embassy Office Parks REIT (EOP IN) is looking to partially fund the acquisition of assets via an institutional placement.


KE Holdings/​​​​​Beike Placement - Too Much, Too Soon. Front Running the Lock-Up Expiry 

Pinduoduo Placement - Should Do Well If, It Corrects Beforehand 

Embassy Office Parks REIT Placement - Early Look - Big Deal but Will Come with Ample Warning 

Last, but not least, Hong Kong Exchange came up with plans to shorten the settlement period for IPO shares to as short as one day, hoping to bring HKEX in line with other major markets and stay competitive.




Accuracy Rate:



Our overall accuracy rate is 73.5% for IPOs and 66.2% for Placements 


(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)







No new IPO filings this week  




Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.







News on Upcoming IPOs  





Hong Kong stock exchange aims to modernise IPO process
Sebi’s public float plan to aid LIC IPO
JD Health Passes Hong Kong Stock Exchange Hearing En Route to IPO




Analysis on Upcoming IPOs







Name
Insight


Hong Kong


Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Dominant Market Share, Strong Online Sales 



Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Flagging Offline Sales, Not Really a Primary Raising 



Blue Moon

Blue Moon: No. 1 But No Exclusive Advantage, Observation on the Ground 



Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - Online Reviews and Peer Comparison 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: How Has It Done in 1H? 



ByteDance

ByteDance: The Unlisted Company’s Video Apps Leading the Market and Threatening Internet Giants 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO - Globally the Most Downloaded App for Jan 2020 Driven by India 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Global Ambition Meets Regulatory Challenges 



Dida

Dida Pre-IPO - Making Hay While Big Brother Retreats 



E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Better Disclosure in New Prospectus 



E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Still Largely Reliant on Galaxy, Poor Disclosure Doesn’t Help 



Jiayuan Svcs

Jiayuan Services (佳源服务) Pre-IPO - Another Small Property Management Company 



JD Health

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Well-Positioned to Ride China’s Healthcare Digitalization 



JD Health

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - It's a Close Fight and Competition Is Intensifying 



JD Health

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Assumptions and Valuations 



Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - Rapid Earnings Growth on the Back of Margin Improvement 



Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - A Lot of Things Still Remain Unexplained 



Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, Fast Growth 



Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ample Doubts Remain 



Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Remarkable Growth (Part 1) 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - A Bet on the Future - Segments, Revenue Drivers and Growth Potential 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - The Real Race Is in Research - Founders' Profile and Talent 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Competitive Landscape and Peer Analysis 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO -  Initial Thoughts on Valuation 


Ocumension

Ocumension (欧康维视) Pre-IPO: All Ready for a Great Listing Except a Block Buster 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Is It a Brand Owner or Just a Retailer? 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - Expanding Portfolio+Wider Distribution= Explosive Earnings Growth 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO - Peer Set and Valuation 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO Quick Note - On the Ground - Pop-Up Stores Are Effective 


RemeGen

RemeGen (荣昌生物) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation of RC18 and RC48 


Toplist

Toplist China Pre-IPO - Overwhelmingly More Negatives than Positives 


Tasly

Tasly Biopharm (天士力生物) IPO: Visible Growth from Approved Drug but Lacks Blockbusters 


WeDoctor

WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More 


WeDoctor

WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor 


India


ASK

ASK Investment Managers Pre-IPO - Riding on a Wave of Wealth 


Anmol Ind
Anmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders


Bharat Hotel

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers 



Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Has Been Growing Fast and Plans to Grow Even Faster 



Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison Yields Interesting Nuggets on Profitability and Capex 



Bajaj En

Bajaj Energy Pre-IPO - Supposed to Deliver Steady Performance if Only Its Sole Client Would Let It 



CMS Info
CMS Info Systems Pre-IPO - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right


Crystal Crop
Crystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers


ESAF SFB

ESAF Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Remains Highly Dependant on a Related Party 


Flemingo 
Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country


Emami Cem

Emami Cement Pre-IPO - Still in Ramp Up Phase but Shares Pledge Might Lead to an Early IPO 


IRFC

Indian Railway Finance Pre-IPO - Low Risk, Low Margin Business 


NSE
NSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive


NSE
National Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some


Mrs. Bector
Mrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta



LIC


Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Early Take on India's Largest IPO 



Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable


Lodha
Lodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt


Penna Cem

Penna Cement - Aggressive Expansion Plans Even Though Past Performance Has Been Tepid 


PNB Met
PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take - Doesn't Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers


Samhi Hotels

Samhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Assets and Borrowings Are Growing, but Earnings Haven’t Kept Pace 


Malaysia


QSR
QSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food


Thailand


PTTOR

PTT Oil and Retail IPO - F&amp;B Business Is the Profit Driver 


The U.S


CDP

CDP Holdings Pre-IPO Review - Highly Reliant on Best Inc. 


CloudMinds
CloudMinds Inc Early Thoughts - Still Nascent






ECM Weekly (22 November 2020) - Evergrande Svcs, CR Mixc Svcs, Blue Moon, HBM, Yatsen

Sunac Services Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sunac-services-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29239:1" rel="noopener">Sunac Services (1516 HK)</a> (SSH) raised about US$1bn by pricing its IPO at HK$11.60 per share, exactly at the midpoint of the price range. </p><div><p>SSH is the property management arm of Sunac China. As of 31st May, 2020, SSH has a total contracted GFA of 226.8m sqm which covers 126 cities across 29 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities. The company has a focus on properties located in first and second-tier cities which make up about 86.2% of total GFA under management.</p></div><div>
<p>In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.</p>
<p>Our previous coverage of the IPO:</p>
</div><div><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunac-services-pre-ipo-promising-growth-diversifying-away-from-sunac-via-acquisitions" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Sunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO - Promising growth and diversifying away from Sunac China via acquisition </a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunac-services-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-and-phip-updates" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44638" rel="noopener">Sunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO -   Peer Comparison and PHIP Updates</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunac-services-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44916" rel="noopener">Sunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sunac-services-ipo-better-towards-the-low-end" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44968" rel="noopener">Sunac Services (融创服务) IPO - Better Towards the Low-End</a> </li>
</ul></div>

Sunac Services (1516 HK) (SSH) raised about US$1bn by pricing its IPO at HK$11.60 per share, exactly at the midpoint of the price range. SSH is the property management arm of Sunac China. As of 31st May, 2020, SSH has a total contracted GFA of 226.8m sqm which covers 126 cities across 29 provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities. The company has a focus on properties located in first and second-tier cities which make up about 86.2% of total GFA under management.
In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.
Our previous coverage of the IPO:

Sunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO - Promising growth and diversifying away from Sunac China via acquisition 

Sunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO -   Peer Comparison and PHIP Updates 

Sunac Services (融创服务) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation 

Sunac Services (融创服务) IPO - Better Towards the Low-End 


Sunac Services (融创服务) IPO Trading - Subscription Rate Similar to Jinke Svcs

Jinke Smart Services / Equity Capital Markets

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jinke-smart-services" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29214:1" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)</a> raised about US$767m by pricing its IPO at HK$44.70 per share, exactly at the midpoint of the price range. </p>
<p>JKS is the property management arm of Jinke Property Group. As of December 2019, JKS has 754 property management projects with a total contracted GFA of 248.6m sqm. Out of that, 417 projects are currently under management which is about 120.5m sqm. </p>
<p>In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.</p>
<div>
<p>Our previous coverage of the IPO:</p>
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jinke-smart-services-pre-ipo-gfa-growth-at-the-expense-of-fees" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) Pre-IPO - GFA growth at the expense of fees </a></li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jinke-smart-services-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-and-early-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) Pre-IPO - Peer comparison and early thoughts on valuation</a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jinke-smart-services-ipo-more-palatable-valuation-but-look-out-for-pre-ipo-investors" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44927" rel="noopener">Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) IPO - More Palatable Valuation but Look Out for Pre-IPO Investors</a> </li>
</ul>
</div>

Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK) raised about US$767m by pricing its IPO at HK$44.70 per share, exactly at the midpoint of the price range. 
JKS is the property management arm of Jinke Property Group. As of December 2019, JKS has 754 property management projects with a total contracted GFA of 248.6m sqm. Out of that, 417 projects are currently under management which is about 120.5m sqm. 
In this note, we will look at the deal dynamics and provide a table with implied valuation at different share price levels.

Our previous coverage of the IPO:



Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) Pre-IPO - GFA growth at the expense of fees 
Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) Pre-IPO - Peer comparison and early thoughts on valuation

Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) IPO - More Palatable Valuation but Look Out for Pre-IPO Investors 



Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) IPO Trading - Demand and Valuation = Muted Near-Term Performance

JD Health International  / Equity Capital Markets


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that have been covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.




Much has happened since Ant Group (6688 HK)'s IPO got pulled so this will be a lengthy weekly note.
Thanks to The Wall Street Journal (WSJ), we now know that Xi Jinping personally cancelled Ant's IPO due to Jack Ma's brazen comments a few weeks earlier. This doesn't look good, especially with news of China’s antitrust watchdogs publishing draft rules targeting monopolistic practices of digital platforms.
The draft rules aim to prevent anti-competitive behavior among online platforms, collaboration on customer data, eliminating smaller payers, and etc. It also mentioned greater regulatory oversight of VIE which will obviously impact upcoming China IPOs and listed companies alike since most of them are built upon VIE structure to raise capital from foreign investors. The Chinese government has not officially legalized such a structure and could use this chance to reign in their control over these companies.
Well, it's 2020, just when you think the bad news end here, there's more. 



Hong Kong's Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) was said to be planning new code of conduct for equity and debt deals. This may see the introduction of framework to calculate fees for bookrunners. Companies looking to list may also need to secure underwriting syndicates earlier to limit non-bookrunners from pitching shares to investors to show they have demand in a bid to secure the bookrunner role. There are also potential changes to allocation rules, specifically, regarding the cornerstone structure in HK IPOs where cornerstone investors can secure guaranteed (usually larger) allocation in an IPO in exchange for a six-month lock-up period. For now, nothing is set in stone and, to be fair, this isn't necessarily bad since the goal here is to tighten supervision. 
Aside from Ant's IPO "hiccup" earlier, Hong Kong IPO activity is still looking strong, for now. JD Health (JDH HK), Blue Moon Group Holdings (BMG HK), and Evergrande Services was said to have gotten their approval this week and will start premarketing in the coming week. Netjoy (NETJOY HK) was also said to be seeking approval this week but we have yet to get confirmation of its approval.


JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - It's a Close Fight and Competition Is Intensifying 

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Assumptions and Valuations 

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation 
Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Dominant Market Share, Strong Online Sales

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Flagging Offline Sales, Not Really a Primary Raising   
Blue Moon: No. 1 But No Exclusive Advantage, Observation on the Ground

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - Online Reviews and Peer Comparison   

Netjoy (云想科技) Pre-IPO: Growth Stalled for the Short Video Marketer 

CR Mixc Lifestyle Services (华润万象生活) Pre-IPO - SOE-Linked Parentage Didn’t Help 

Antengene (6996 HK) launched its IPO this week and Ke Yan, CFA, FRM shared his thoughts on valuation.


Antengene (德琪医药) IPO: Buy the Team 

We also covered recently filed Beijing Kuaishou Technology Co Ltd (1496219D CH) which is expected to raise US$5bn.


Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, Fast Growth 

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ample Doubts Remain 

In Australia, it's a rare treat to get two IPOs almost at the same time. Dalrymple Bay Infrastructure and Nuix have set their terms for IPO and will begin their bookbuild process soon.
There will also be a few trading debuts next week. Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK), Shinsun Holdings (2599 HK), and Sunac Services (1516 HK) will debut in Hong Kong on Tuesday, Wednesday, and Thursday, respectively, followed by Gland Pharma (7172753Z IN) on Friday in India. 
Last but not least, for placements, there were deals across different countries and they were mostly secondary share sale. There is Ascendas Real Estate Investment Trust (AREIT SP) private and preferential placement in Singapore to buy office properties and data centres, Japan Airlines (9201 JP) primary placement to shore up balance sheet, selldowns by shareholders in Jiumaojiu (9922 HK), Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK), BDO Unibank Inc (BDO PM) and VGI PCL (VGI TB).
Out of these, the one that stood out (which happened to be the only one we chose to avoid) was VGI's placement which closed higher the day after its done despite its massive deal size (relative to ADV) and deep discount (11%) to last close. The deal was said to be driven by reverse enquiries and was well covered by institutional investors.


Japan Airlines Placement - Given the Uncertain Outlook, Might Need Further Correction 

Ascendas REIT Placement - Multiple Acquisitions to Be Made, Starting From US Office Properties 

Shenzhou International Placement - Conditioned for Selldowns 

Jiumaojiu (九毛九) Placement - Founder and Employees Selling 

BDO Unibank Placement - Wide Discount to Account for the Large Deal Size 

VGI Global Placement - Biggest Block Ever by BTS 





Accuracy Rate:



Our overall accuracy rate is 73.4% for IPOs and 66.1% for Placements 


(Performance measurement criteria is explained at the end of the note)





New IPO filings this week  




New Horizon Health (Hong Kong, ~US$300m)
Central China Management (Hong Kong, &gt;US$100m)

Below is a snippet of our IPO tool showing upcoming events for the next week. The IPO tool is designed to provide readers with timely information on all IPO related events (Book open/closing, listing, initiation, lock-up expiry, etc) for all the deals that we have worked on. You can access the tool here or through the tools menu.





News on Upcoming IPOs  





Australian port IPO seeks at least $477 million in test of appetite for coal assets
Nuix seeks to raise $705m in year’s biggest Australian IPO
Brookfield pushing ahead with India Reit IPO by year-end
Warburg Pincus-backed ESR plans REIT IPO of South Korean assets to raise $321m




Analysis on Upcoming IPOs






Name
Insight


Hong Kong


Antengene

Antengene (德琪医药) Pre-IPO: Proven R&amp;D Track Record by Founder Matters 


Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Dominant Market Share, Strong Online Sales 



Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Flagging Offline Sales, Not Really a Primary Raising 



Blue Moon

Blue Moon: No. 1 But No Exclusive Advantage, Observation on the Ground 



Blue Moon

Blue Moon Group Pre-IPO - Online Reviews and Peer Comparison 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: How Jinri Toutiao Paves The Way for a Bigger Empire (Part 1)



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) IPO: Tiktok the No.1 Short Video App for a Good Reason (Part 2)



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: How Has It Done in 1H? 



ByteDance

ByteDance: The Unlisted Company’s Video Apps Leading the Market and Threatening Internet Giants 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Why Facebook Should Worry About TikTok 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO - Globally the Most Downloaded App for Jan 2020 Driven by India 



ByteDance

ByteDance (字节跳动) Pre-IPO: Global Ambition Meets Regulatory Challenges 



Dida

Dida Pre-IPO - Making Hay While Big Brother Retreats 



E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Better Disclosure in New Prospectus 



E-Star Comm

E-Star Commercial Management Pre-IPO - Still Largely Reliant on Galaxy, Poor Disclosure Doesn’t Help 



Jiayuan Svcs

Jiayuan Services (佳源服务) Pre-IPO - Another Small Property Management Company 



JD Health

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Well-Positioned to Ride China’s Healthcare Digitalization 



JD Health

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - It's a Close Fight and Competition Is Intensifying 



JD Health

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Assumptions and Valuations 



Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - Rapid Earnings Growth on the Back of Margin Improvement 



Kilcoy

Kilcoy Global Foods Pre-IPO - A Lot of Things Still Remain Unexplained 



Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - Hot Segment, Fast Growth 



Kuaishou

Kuaishou Technology Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Ample Doubts Remain 



Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Remarkable Growth (Part 1) 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - A Bet on the Future - Segments, Revenue Drivers and Growth Potential 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - The Real Race Is in Research - Founders' Profile and Talent 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO - Competitive Landscape and Peer Analysis 


Megvii

Megvii (旷视) Pre-IPO -  Initial Thoughts on Valuation 


Ocumension

Ocumension (欧康维视) Pre-IPO: All Ready for a Great Listing Except a Block Buster 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO - The Negatives - Is It a Brand Owner or Just a Retailer? 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO - The Positives - Expanding Portfolio+Wider Distribution= Explosive Earnings Growth 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO - Peer Set and Valuation 


Pop Mart

Pop Mart Pre-IPO Quick Note - On the Ground - Pop-Up Stores Are Effective 


RemeGen

RemeGen (荣昌生物) Pre-IPO: Thoughts on Valuation of RC18 and RC48 


Toplist

Toplist China Pre-IPO - Overwhelmingly More Negatives than Positives 


Tasly

Tasly Biopharm (天士力生物) IPO: Visible Growth from Approved Drug but Lacks Blockbusters 


WeDoctor

WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO -App Walk Through - The Online Medical Directory and More 


WeDoctor

WeDoctor (微医) Pre-IPO - A More Focused Online Medical Svc Provider than Ping An Good Doctor 


India


ASK

ASK Investment Managers Pre-IPO - Riding on a Wave of Wealth 


Anmol Ind
Anmol Industries Pre-IPO Quick Take - No Growth, Generous Payments to Founders


Bharat Hotel

Bharat Hotels Pre-IPO - Catching up with Peers 



Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Has Been Growing Fast and Plans to Grow Even Faster 



Burger King

Burger King India Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison Yields Interesting Nuggets on Profitability and Capex 



Bajaj En

Bajaj Energy Pre-IPO - Supposed to Deliver Steady Performance if Only Its Sole Client Would Let It 



CMS Info
CMS Info Systems Pre-IPO - When a PE Sells to Another PE... Only One Gets the Timing Right


Crystal Crop
Crystal Crop Protection Pre-IPO - DRHP Raises More Questions than in Answers


ESAF SFB

ESAF Small Finance Bank Pre-IPO - Growing Fast but Remains Highly Dependant on a Related Party 


Flemingo 
Flemingo Travel Retail Pre-IPO - Its a Different Business in Every Country


Emami Cem

Emami Cement Pre-IPO - Still in Ramp Up Phase but Shares Pledge Might Lead to an Early IPO 


IRFC

Indian Railway Finance Pre-IPO - Low Risk, Low Margin Business 


NSE
NSE IPO Preview- Not Only Fast..its Risky and Expensive


NSE
National Stock Exchange Pre-IPO Review - Bigger, Better, Stronger but a Little Too Fast for Some


Mrs. Bector
Mrs. Bectors Food Specialities Pre-IPO Quick Take - Sales for Its Main Segment Have Been Sta



LIC


Life Insurance Corporation of India Pre-IPO - Early Take on India's Largest IPO 



Lodha

Lodha Developers Pre-IPO - Second Time Lucky but Not Really that Much Affordable


Lodha
Lodha Developers IPO: Presence in Affordable Segment Saves Lodha the Blushes in a Sluggish Mkt


Penna Cem

Penna Cement - Aggressive Expansion Plans Even Though Past Performance Has Been Tepid 


PNB Met
PNB Metlife Pre-IPO Quick Take - Doesn't Stack up Well Versus Its Larger Peers


Samhi Hotels

Samhi Hotels Pre-IPO - Assets and Borrowings Are Growing, but Earnings Haven’t Kept Pace 


Malaysia


QSR
QSR Brands Pre-IPO - As Healthy as Fast Food


Thailand


PTTOR

PTT Oil and Retail IPO - F&amp;B Business Is the Profit Driver 


The U.S


CDP

CDP Holdings Pre-IPO Review - Highly Reliant on Best Inc. 


CloudMinds
CloudMinds Inc Early Thoughts - Still Nascent





ECM Weekly (15 November 2020) - JD Health, Kuaishou, CR Mixc Life, Antengene, and Placements!

China

Jinke Smart Services Group Co., Ltd. provides property management services.

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Jinke Smart Services (9666 HK)

Evergrande Property Services IPO: Valuation Insights

Evergrande has launched its IPO to raise total proceeds of $1.9 billion at the mid-point. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (22 November 2020) - Evergrande Svcs, CR Mixc Svcs, Blue Moon, HBM, Yatsen

We are close to the home stretch for IPOs this year but there are still handful of deals that are coming to market such as Evergrande Svcs, CR Mixc...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Sunac Services (融创服务) IPO Trading - Subscription Rate Similar to Jinke Svcs

As per our valuation note, we thought that the IPO would only be attractive if it comes at the low-end and we still think so. At the IPO price,...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Jinke Smart Services (金科智慧服务) IPO Trading - Demand and Valuation = Muted Near-Term Performance

Jinke Smart Services was priced at HK$44.70 per share, the midpoint of its IPO price range. Demand was lacklustre even relative to Shimao Services,...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

ECM Weekly (15 November 2020) - JD Health, Kuaishou, CR Mixc Life, Antengene, and Placements!

Much has happened since Ant's IPO got pulled. VIE structure may be at risk and HK ECM practices could get a squeeze from new code of conduct for...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

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