Be Aggressive in Q1 2016 and Be Defensive Through Rest of 2016
This is a quick note on macro views in 2016. The analysis is largely based on cycles of industrial production, inventory levels, real estate...
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2016: A Year of Reckoning, But Possibly Not as Painful For The Prepared
I've been on the road meeting clients, ex-clients and friends and will have more to report after the holidays. But wanted to flag some takeaways...
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The Outlook for Copper Prices Is Worse than Most Think
The outlook for copper prices is worse than most think. Battered copper mining stocks may now screen as cheap, but we see further...
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Lowering Long-Term Copper Forecast and Cutting Rio Tinto's Fair Value Estimate to A$38
Like its peer BHP Billiton, Rio Tinto has ridden the commodity supercycle since the early 1990s. Rio Tinto's asset portfolio is less diversified,...
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E&P Financial Health: Better Than You Think. Liquidity Reserves Will See Most Firms Through Downturn
The precipitous slide in oil prices since fall 2014 has eroded the financial health of most exploration and production, or E&P, firms. Natural...
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