HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 11th national VBP has optimized the selection of price difference control "anchor points", which is an important signal, implying that future VBP will follow the general direction of “anti-involution”.</li>
<li>As long as there’s no significant difference in pipeline data, buyers are more concerned about the speed of R&amp;D progress and may not necessarily dwell on potential advantages and disadvantages.</li>
<li>Hengrui's innovative drug revenue was slightly lower-than-expected. The Company's 2025 employee stock ownership plan has lowered the compound growth target for innovative drugs from 30% to 25%.</li>
</ul>


The 11th national VBP has optimized the selection of price difference control "anchor points", which is an important signal, implying that future VBP will follow the general direction of “anti-involution”.
As long as there’s no significant difference in pipeline data, buyers are more concerned about the speed of R&amp;D progress and may not necessarily dwell on potential advantages and disadvantages.
Hengrui's innovative drug revenue was slightly lower-than-expected. The Company's 2025 employee stock ownership plan has lowered the compound growth target for innovative drugs from 30% to 25%.


China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.12) - 11th National VBP, Future BD Trend, Hengrui Is Facing Headwinds

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 65.7% as of Dec 19th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 65.7% as of Dec 19th.
The average A-H premium changed by 2.0ppt week-on-week, led by consumer discretionary, information technology, utilities.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 19th): BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric

Global Healthcare Analyst

Tina Banerjee

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a> received conditional marketing approval for its self-developed Class 1 innovative drug, Trastuzumab Rezetecan for Injection (SHR-A1811).</li>
<li>In 1Q25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported revenue growth of 20% YoY to RMB 7.2B. Innovative drugs and Licensing should help keep this momentum in near future.</li>
<li>The near-term trigger for the stock would be a further marketing approval from the US FDA.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH) received conditional marketing approval for its self-developed Class 1 innovative drug, Trastuzumab Rezetecan for Injection (SHR-A1811).
In 1Q25, Jiangsu Hengrui reported revenue growth of 20% YoY to RMB 7.2B. Innovative drugs and Licensing should help keep this momentum in near future.
The near-term trigger for the stock would be a further marketing approval from the US FDA.


Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH): ADC Drug Approval Presents Long-Term Opportunity

Equity Capital Markets

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Trump signed an executive order aimed at lowering prescription drug prices in the US, but the specific implementation may encounter obstacles. This is good news for China's innovative drug assets. </li>
<li>Under tariff/trade war, as long as the US does not issue any bill proposing to suspend the technology exchange, licensing-out business model of China biotech will not be substantially affected.</li>
<li>Hengrui's IPO in Hong Kong is not attractive from a fundamental perspective. However, the recent strong performance of Hengrui's A-share has lifted investors' sentiment, making them "interested" in this IPO.</li>
</ul>


Trump signed an executive order aimed at lowering prescription drug prices in the US, but the specific implementation may encounter obstacles. This is good news for China's innovative drug assets. 
Under tariff/trade war, as long as the US does not issue any bill proposing to suspend the technology exchange, licensing-out business model of China biotech will not be substantially affected.
Hengrui's IPO in Hong Kong is not attractive from a fundamental perspective. However, the recent strong performance of Hengrui's A-share has lifted investors' sentiment, making them "interested" in this IPO.


China Healthcare Weekly (May.18) - Trump to Lower US Drug Prices, Thoughts on Hengrui's IPO Pricing

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jiangsu-hengrui-medicine-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14128:1" rel="noopener">Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)</a>, a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$1.3bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>JHP Has been ranked as one of the global Top 50 pharmaceutical companies by Pharm Exec for six consecutive years since 2019.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH), a China-based pharmaceutical company, aims to raise around US$1.3bn in its H-share listing.
JHP Has been ranked as one of the global Top 50 pharmaceutical companies by Pharm Exec for six consecutive years since 2019.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Jiangsu Hengrui Pharma A/H Listing - Low-End Is Probably Close to Fair Value

China

Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and markets a variety of medicines and medicine packing materials. The Company's products include anti-tumor medicines, pain-killers, anti-infection medicines, aluminum foil, and other related products.

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Jiangsu Hengrui Medicine (600276 CH)

China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.12) - 11th National VBP, Future BD Trend, Hengrui Is Facing Headwinds

The 11th national VBP signals a shift towards "anti-involution". We shared views on licensing cooperation trend. Due to declining innovative drug...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 19th): BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai Electric

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for BankComm, Anjoy Foods, Cosco Shipping Development, Shanghai...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM