Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 29th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Smoore (6969 HK), Jd Health (6618 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Apr 29th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Aia (1299 HK), Smoore (6969 HK), Jd Health (6618 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Xiaomi (1810 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks: AIA, Smoore, JD Health

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The revenue YoY growth, net profit YoY growth and net profit margin reached a new low in 2021. The performance of Medlive cannot meet the market's expectations of high growth.</li>
<li>The medical knowledge solutions is the cornerstone business and vital to the attractiveness of platform for users. However, this business is not strong enough to make the outlook certain.</li>
<li>In the fierce competition, more efforts are needed on how to convert physician resources into business value continuously. Due to unreliable logic, we are conservative about Medlive at current stage.</li>
</ul>


The revenue YoY growth, net profit YoY growth and net profit margin reached a new low in 2021. The performance of Medlive cannot meet the market's expectations of high growth.
The medical knowledge solutions is the cornerstone business and vital to the attractiveness of platform for users. However, this business is not strong enough to make the outlook certain.
In the fierce competition, more efforts are needed on how to convert physician resources into business value continuously. Due to unreliable logic, we are conservative about Medlive at current stage.


Medlive Technology (2192.HK) - The Logic Has Shaken

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Orient Overseas International / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI INDEX</a> constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.</li>
<li>We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.</li>
</ul>


Current at 66 constituents, we expect to reach 80 HSI INDEX constituents by the end of the year before moving higher towards 100 index members in 2023.
We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index in June - with one-way turnover close to 6%, the actual number of inclusions will be lower.
We also list out another 8 stocks that could possibly be added in June, though the probability of a September/ December inclusion is higher.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

JD Health International  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The 2021 performance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a> beat market expectation. The scale of annual active users, commodity SKU, warehouse, logistics, medical resources, etc. all had breakthroughs.</li>
<li>The growth rate and gross margin of service revenue were higher than that of product revenue. So, the performance of service sector can better determine JD Health’s future outlook.</li>
<li>The outlook of online healthcare service is uncertain.Whether successful or not, JD Health still has other businesses to support future development, and is therefore our top pick in this sector.</li>
</ul>


The 2021 performance of JD Health (6618 HK) beat market expectation. The scale of annual active users, commodity SKU, warehouse, logistics, medical resources, etc. all had breakthroughs.
The growth rate and gross margin of service revenue were higher than that of product revenue. So, the performance of service sector can better determine JD Health’s future outlook.
The outlook of online healthcare service is uncertain.Whether successful or not, JD Health still has other businesses to support future development, and is therefore our top pick in this sector.


JD Health (6618.HK) 2021 Results - The Logic and the Outlook

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>The YoY growth rate of product revenue accelerated in 2H21, compared to 1H21.</li>
<li>In China, many cities are locked down; therefore, we believe people need online medical shopping.</li>
<li>However, the stock is overvalued compared with other online and offline medical stores.</li>
</ul>


The YoY growth rate of product revenue accelerated in 2H21, compared to 1H21.
In China, many cities are locked down; therefore, we believe people need online medical shopping.
However, the stock is overvalued compared with other online and offline medical stores.


JD Health (6618 HK): Revenue Accelerated in 2H21, Demand from Lockdown, But Overvalued

China

JD Health International Inc. operates drug stores. The Company retails Chinese and Western medicines, nutrition products, health care products, and other products. JD Health International markets its products throughout China.

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JD Health International (6618 HK)

Hong Kong Buybacks: AIA, Smoore, JD Health

We highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market last week were Aia (1299 HK), Smoore (6969 HK), Jd Health (6618 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Medlive Technology (2192.HK) - The Logic Has Shaken

The medical knowledge solutions is the key cornerstone business but it's still weak. Together with fierce competition and healthcare “rational...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Will The Pace of Inclusions Pick Up?

There could be 5-6 inclusions to the HSI in June as part of the move to 80 members. We list 10 stocks that could be added to the index, and another...

Brian Freitas

JD Health (6618.HK) 2021 Results - The Logic and the Outlook

The service revenue has larger potential and is complementary to product revenue.Due to the essence of medical attributes,even if JD Health's...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

JD Health (6618 HK): Revenue Accelerated in 2H21, Demand from Lockdown, But Overvalued

The growth rate of revenue accelerated in 2H21. In China, many cities are locked down, so we believe people need online medical shopping. However,...

Ming Lu

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