Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight inflows into Tencent (700 HK), and Li Auto (2015 HK). </li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of October 14th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight inflows into Tencent (700 HK), and Li Auto (2015 HK). 


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 14th): Tencent, Li Auto

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Equity Bottom-Up

Dingdang Health Technology Gro / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Dingdang has formed a system integrating front-end consultation, self-built pharmacies and back-end distribution. The “heavy asset model” leads to large liabilities, negative equity balance, cash flow pressure and poor profitability.</li>
<li>Dingdang lacks core competitiveness in introducing customer flow or rapidly expanding user base. Together with fierce competition, the gap between the Company and JD Health/Alibaba Health will become bigger.</li>
<li>It’s difficult to achieve high profits based on the business model when break-even is barely achieved. Dingdang has it hard to successfully run through its ecosystem.We’re bearish on the outlook.</li>
</ul>


Dingdang has formed a system integrating front-end consultation, self-built pharmacies and back-end distribution. The “heavy asset model” leads to large liabilities, negative equity balance, cash flow pressure and poor profitability.
Dingdang lacks core competitiveness in introducing customer flow or rapidly expanding user base. Together with fierce competition, the gap between the Company and JD Health/Alibaba Health will become bigger.
It’s difficult to achieve high profits based on the business model when break-even is barely achieved. Dingdang has it hard to successfully run through its ecosystem.We’re bearish on the outlook.


Dingdang Health Technology (9886HK)-Business Model Face Test; Hard to Run the Ecosystem Successfully

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.</li>
<li>We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.</li>
<li>Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.</li>
</ul>


Currently at 69 index members, we just could reach 80 constituents at the December rebalance. That would leave the index committee to plan the move to 100 constituents in 2023.
We list 10 potential inclusions to the index in December. One-way turnover is just under 4% and inclusions of all stocks will increase index market cap coverage significantly.
Shorts are more than 3% of free float on five of the potential inclusions and these stocks could see some short covering ahead of the announcement of the changes.


HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

<ul>
<li>We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 30th based on HKEx daily reports.</li>
<li>In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).</li>
<li>In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze statistics on top repurchases over one week, one month, one quarter and one year periods ended on Sep 30th based on HKEx daily reports.
In the past 7 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).
In the past 30 days, the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares from the market were Tencent (700 HK), Aia (1299 HK), Ck Asset (1113 HK).


Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 30th): Once More One Year High

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>Tencent known to outspend its peers on strategic investments, has made only around 80 investments and acquisitions so far this year compared to more than 200 deals done in 2021.</li>
<li>Tencent’s vast investment portfolio has attracted regulatory scrutiny and it’s the market’s belief that Tencent was asked to divest some of its stake in other leading tech players in China.</li>
<li>However, over the last few months, Tencent has been increasingly investing on companies operating in the medical field.</li>
</ul>


Tencent known to outspend its peers on strategic investments, has made only around 80 investments and acquisitions so far this year compared to more than 200 deals done in 2021.
Tencent’s vast investment portfolio has attracted regulatory scrutiny and it’s the market’s belief that Tencent was asked to divest some of its stake in other leading tech players in China.
However, over the last few months, Tencent has been increasingly investing on companies operating in the medical field.


Tencent Increases Its Investment in Medical and Healthcare

China

JD Health International Inc. operates drug stores. The Company retails Chinese and Western medicines, nutrition products, health care products, and other products. JD Health International markets its products throughout China.

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JD Health International (6618 HK)

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Oct 14th): Tencent, Li Auto

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Tencent Holding (700 HK), and Li Auto (2015 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Dingdang Health Technology (9886HK)-Business Model Face Test; Hard to Run the Ecosystem Successfully

Dingdang's "heavy asset model" leads to large liabilities/negative equity balance/cash flow pressure/poor profitability. Dingdang is hard to...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

HSI Index Rebalance Preview: Small Step or Giant Leap?

Currently at 73 constituents, we could get to 80 stocks at the Dec rebalance. That would leave the slate clean to plan the move to 100 stocks in...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Buybacks Weekly (Sep 30th): Once More One Year High

We analyzed the Hong Kong buyback data in the past week and highlight the top 3 companies that repurchased the most shares were Tencent (700 HK),...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Tencent Increases Its Investment in Medical and Healthcare

While all eyes are on possible stake sale of its investments, Tencent is quietly investing on medical and healthcare fields, should help minimise...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

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