External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus; non-GAAP net income was RMB14.5bn, ahead of our forecast/consensus estimates at RMB9.9bn/9.6bn, thanks to stronger-than-expected GPM expansion aided by scale effect, as well as better-than-expected generation from other income.</li><li>Guided by stringent ROI target and benefited from the increasing economies of scale, we remain positive on JD’s earnings growth trajectory in 2H24.</li><li>However, apart from the additional benefits brought by nationwide home appliance trade-in activities, since the current share repurchase program has been largely utilized, JD needs to convince the market with its ability in retaining market share in core electronics and home appliance (E&amp;HA) category, in order to drive for further valuation rerating amid current market environment, in our view. Our DCF-based TP was unchanged at US$51.9. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus; non-GAAP net income was RMB14.5bn, ahead of our forecast/consensus estimates at RMB9.9bn/9.6bn, thanks to stronger-than-expected GPM expansion aided by scale effect, as well as better-than-expected generation from other income.Guided by stringent ROI target and benefited from the increasing economies of scale, we remain positive on JD’s earnings growth trajectory in 2H24.However, apart from the additional benefits brought by nationwide home appliance trade-in activities, since the current share repurchase program has been largely utilized, JD needs to convince the market with its ability in retaining market share in core electronics and home appliance (E&amp;HA) category, in order to drive for further valuation rerating amid current market environment, in our view. Our DCF-based TP was unchanged at US$51.9. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Stringent ROI Target on Investments Brings Better-Than-Expected 2Q Earnings Growth

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Gaming Sector Update/NTES US: NPPA Releases November Domestic and Imported Game Approvals(+)</li>
<li>3690 HK/Douyin:Douyin Local Life’s Double 11 Sales Increase by 53% YoY, Indicating Rising Consumer Spending in China, Bodes Well for Meituan.(+)</li>
<li>BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Taobao/Tmall launches “Go Bargain” feature (+/+/+)</li>
</ul>


Gaming Sector Update/NTES US: NPPA Releases November Domestic and Imported Game Approvals(+)
3690 HK/Douyin:Douyin Local Life’s Double 11 Sales Increase by 53% YoY, Indicating Rising Consumer Spending in China, Bodes Well for Meituan.(+)
BABA US/PDD US/JD US: Taobao/Tmall launches “Go Bargain” feature (+/+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:Gaming Sector Update/NTES US/3690 HK/Douyin/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/700HK

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The announcement of the changes to the Hang Seng indices is on 22 November, the capping will use the close on 3 December and implemented at the close 6 December.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>'s outperformance over the last couple of months will result in capping of the stock weight in all major indices and passives will sell stock.</li>
<li>We estimate passive trackers will need to sell 35m shares (US$866m; 0.64x ADV) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and that number will change over the next 3 weeks depending on performance.</li>
</ul>


The announcement of the changes to the Hang Seng indices is on 22 November, the capping will use the close on 3 December and implemented at the close 6 December.

Meituan (3690 HK)'s outperformance over the last couple of months will result in capping of the stock weight in all major indices and passives will sell stock.
We estimate passive trackers will need to sell 35m shares (US$866m; 0.64x ADV) of Meituan (3690 HK) and that number will change over the next 3 weeks depending on performance.


Meituan (3690 HK): Big Passive Selling in December

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).</li>
<li>The indicative weights for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced later this week on Friday 22nd November 2024.</li>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at our updated flow estimates for December 2024. Separately, we have also presented our latest March 2025 index review predictions.</li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Internet &amp; IT (HSIII) index represents the top 30 stocks related to internet and information technology businesses listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
The indicative weights for the December 2024 index rebal event will be announced later this week on Friday 22nd November 2024.
In this insight, we take a look at our updated flow estimates for December 2024. Separately, we have also presented our latest March 2025 index review predictions.


Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII: ~US$160mn One-Way Flows in Dec 24; 3 ADDs/DELs in Mar 25 Likely

<ul><li>Although the high base in air conditioner category and industrywide soft performance of PC category are likely to weigh on JD’s revenue growth on electronic and home appliance (E&amp;HA) in 2Q24E, its strategies to focus on ROI and quality growth may drive a beat on earnings.</li><li>We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin of 3.4% and was 16% better than Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>With a normalization in revenue growth of both E&amp;HA and platform business, we expect YoY revenue growth for JD to reaccelerate in 3Q24E, and the GMV growth of JD Retail (JDR) can still outperform that of total retail sales in 2024E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Although the high base in air conditioner category and industrywide soft performance of PC category are likely to weigh on JD’s revenue growth on electronic and home appliance (E&amp;HA) in 2Q24E, its strategies to focus on ROI and quality growth may drive a beat on earnings.We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin of 3.4% and was 16% better than Bloomberg consensus.With a normalization in revenue growth of both E&amp;HA and platform business, we expect YoY revenue growth for JD to reaccelerate in 3Q24E, and the GMV growth of JD Retail (JDR) can still outperform that of total retail sales in 2024E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

JD.com (JD US) - Stringent ROI Target on Investments Brings Better-Than-Expected 2Q Earnings Growth

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:Gaming Sector Update/NTES US/3690 HK/Douyin/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/700HK

China's gaming sector sees growth in domestic and imported game approvals, Douyin's Double 11 sales surge indicates higher consumer spending, and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): Big Passive Selling in December

Meituan's recent underperformance will result in smaller passive selling than originally forecast. Passive trackers are now estimated to sell 27.4m...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII: ~US$160mn One-Way Flows in Dec 24; 3 ADDs/DELs in Mar 25 Likely

Easou Technology Holdings (2550 HK) has dropped 80%+ in the last few trading days and is on the verge of missing out on HSIII addition in March 2025.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin...

CMB International

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JD.com (JD US) - Stringent ROI Target on Investments Brings Better-Than-Expected 2Q Earnings Growth

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Daily-TMT Update]:Gaming Sector Update/NTES US/3690 HK/Douyin/BABA US/PDD US/JD US/700HK

​China's gaming sector sees growth in domestic and imported game approvals, Douyin's Double 11 sales surge indicates higher consumer spending, and...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Meituan (3690 HK): Big Passive Selling in December

Meituan's recent underperformance will result in smaller passive selling than originally forecast. Passive trackers are now estimated to sell 27.4m...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard HSIII: ~US$160mn One-Way Flows in Dec 24; 3 ADDs/DELs in Mar 25 Likely

Easou Technology Holdings (2550 HK) has dropped 80%+ in the last few trading days and is on the verge of missing out on HSIII addition in March 2025.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin...

CMB International

China's gaming sector sees growth in domestic and imported game approvals, Douyin's Double 11 sales surge indicates higher consumer spending, and...