Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The revenue growth rate fell to 5% in 2Q22 due to the lockdown in Shanghai and Yangtze delta.</li>
<li>However, freezers became popular in June and July because of the experience during the lockdown.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 21% based on EBITDA, but the upside can be significant if based on sales-related ratios.</li>
</ul>


The revenue growth rate fell to 5% in 2Q22 due to the lockdown in Shanghai and Yangtze delta.
However, freezers became popular in June and July because of the experience during the lockdown.
We believe the stock has an upside of 21% based on EBITDA, but the upside can be significant if based on sales-related ratios.


JD.com (9618 HK): 2Q22, Growth Tumbled, But Lockdown Eased, 20% Upside or More

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

China Tourism Group Duty Free / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>


China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158/share.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan, CDF had 92.3% market share by retail revenue in China duty-free merchandise sales in 2020.
In this note, we talk about the deal pricing and the trading dynamics.


China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Logistics companies’ revenue grew by over 10%, which reflects the recovery of e-commerce.</li>
<li>The market size of Chinese online game continued to shrink in July.</li>
<li>Alibaba’s Ele.me sets up a mini-program on TikTok to fight Meituan.</li>
</ul>


Logistics companies’ revenue grew by over 10%, which reflects the recovery of e-commerce.
The market size of Chinese online game continued to shrink in July.
Alibaba’s Ele.me sets up a mini-program on TikTok to fight Meituan.


China Internet Weekly (22Aug22): E-Commerce, Logistics, Online Game, Food Delivery

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Hang Seng Index Team announced the index review for the Hang Seng Tech Index Friday after the close. There were no additions or deletions.</li>
<li>However, there is a 4.9% one-way turnover on reasonably heavy FAF and capping changes. Sensetime sees a huge FAF increase. Tencent, Meituan, and Kuaishou get re-capped higher. Xiaomi lower.</li>
<li>There is a fair bit of flow, but the obvious big name - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> - has potential overhang. Watch <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/haier-smart-home-co-ltd-b3ef445f-0f54-4586-8c58-9073de98d60e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31105:1" rel="noopener">Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Hang Seng Index Team announced the index review for the Hang Seng Tech Index Friday after the close. There were no additions or deletions.
However, there is a 4.9% one-way turnover on reasonably heavy FAF and capping changes. Sensetime sees a huge FAF increase. Tencent, Meituan, and Kuaishou get re-capped higher. Xiaomi lower.
There is a fair bit of flow, but the obvious big name - SenseTime Group (20 HK) - has potential overhang. Watch Haier Smart Home Co Ltd (6690 HK). 


Hang Seng Tech Rebalance - No Name Changes But Lots of Flow

<ul>
<li>On Friday the Hang Seng announced the changes to the HSCEI for the September rebalance. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime Group (20 HK)</a> is an ADD. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK)</a> a DELETE.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> see their weights re-capped upwards. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a> capped slightly lower. There are a number of FAF changes.</li>
<li>Little stands out other than the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-pacific-insurance-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6177:1" rel="noopener">China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK)</a> deletion. It runs low volatility vs Peers so could be a good buy on dip.</li>
</ul>


On Friday the Hang Seng announced the changes to the HSCEI for the September rebalance. SenseTime Group (20 HK) is an ADD. China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK) a DELETE.

Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK) see their weights re-capped upwards. Alibaba Group (9988 HK) capped slightly lower. There are a number of FAF changes.
Little stands out other than the China Pacific Insurance (2601 HK) deletion. It runs low volatility vs Peers so could be a good buy on dip.


HSCEI Rebalance - One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

JD.com (9618 HK): 2Q22, Growth Tumbled, But Lockdown Eased, 20% Upside or More

The revenue growth rate fell to 5% in 2Q22 due to the lockdown in Shanghai and Yangtze delta. However, freezers became popular in June and July...

Ming Lu

China Tourism Group A/H Trading - Decent Support from Long-Only but Minimal Retail Participation

China Tourism Group Duty Free Corporation Limited (CDF) raised around US$2.4bn in its H-share listing in Hong Kong, after pricing its IPO at HKD158...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (22Aug22): E-Commerce, Logistics, Online Game, Food Delivery

Logistics companies’ revenue grew by over 10%, which reflects the recovery of e-commerce. The market size of Chinese online game continued to...

Ming Lu

Hang Seng Tech Rebalance - No Name Changes But Lots of Flow

On Friday the the HS Tech Index review was announced. NO ADDs. NO DELETEs, but ~5% one-way turnover on capping and FAF/share flow. Sensetime is big...

Travis Lundy

HSCEI Rebalance - One In, One Out, 3.1% One-Way Flow

The HSCEI review was announced Friday. One name in - Sensetime - and one out (CPIC (2601 HK). Funding/FAF flows appear somewhat smaller. CPIC vs...

Travis Lundy

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