Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>GoTo’s share price lost more than 75% last year following its weaker-than-expected performance and lock-up expiry despite the company entering into a coordinated secondary offering of shares with pre-IPO shareholders.</li>
<li>The company’s share price has moved up 24% YTD partially driven by cost cutting measures that is expected to improve the company’s profitability.</li>
<li>Nevertheless, we expect this share price rebound to be temporary with e-commerce and food delivery market in Indonesia slowing down.</li>
</ul>


GoTo’s share price lost more than 75% last year following its weaker-than-expected performance and lock-up expiry despite the company entering into a coordinated secondary offering of shares with pre-IPO shareholders.
The company’s share price has moved up 24% YTD partially driven by cost cutting measures that is expected to improve the company’s profitability.
Nevertheless, we expect this share price rebound to be temporary with e-commerce and food delivery market in Indonesia slowing down.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hesai-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36743:1" rel="noopener">Hesai Group (HSAI US)</a> is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO.</li>
<li>HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Hesai Group (HSAI US) is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO.
HSAI is a manufacturer of three-dimensional light detection and ranging (Lidar) solutions. It has shipped over 103,000 Lidar units from 2017 to the end of 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Hesai Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has a Lot of Potential

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning, Copley Fund Research

Steven Holden

Asset Allocation & Fund Positioning

Copley Fund Research

Copley Fund Research provide research and data on asset allocation among Global and Emerging Market equity funds.  The analysis details absolute and relative positioning across countries, sectors and industries together with highly granular data on single stock and single fund allocations.  The data is updated monthly with time series going back to January 2011.

Global Research - Analysis of 165 prominent Global equity funds, combined AUM $335bn
GEM Research - Analysis of 127 prominent global EM equity funds, combined AUM $250bn

Asset Allocation - Global and GEM Equity

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Active funds head in to 2023 overweight Industrials and Staples versus underweight Financials and Communication Services</li>
<li>Energy stocks are still only owned by 51% of funds yet captured the largest increase in ownership through 2022.  </li>
<li>China Banks are a key underweight.  Only 11% of funds are positioned ahead of the iShares MSCI China ETF benchmark.  Airlines, Casinos/Gaming and Airfreight/Couriers were the winners in 2022.</li>
</ul>


Active funds head in to 2023 overweight Industrials and Staples versus underweight Financials and Communication Services
Energy stocks are still only owned by 51% of funds yet captured the largest increase in ownership through 2022.  
China Banks are a key underweight.  Only 11% of funds are positioned ahead of the iShares MSCI China ETF benchmark.  Airlines, Casinos/Gaming and Airfreight/Couriers were the winners in 2022.


Active China Funds:  Top-Down Positioning Update, 2023

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

Tencent Music Entertainment Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in March 2023.</li>
<li>According to our estimation, there could be two changes for the HSTECH in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$365mn.</li>
<li>The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes and the resultant capping flows for the Hang Seng Tech Index (HSTECH INDEX) in March 2023.
According to our estimation, there could be two changes for the HSTECH in March 2023 and there could be one-way index flows of US$365mn.
The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.


Quiddity Flow Expectations HSTECH Mar 23: Two Index Changes Possible

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this note, we will take a look at bookrunner performance for ASEAN IPOs from 2019-2022. </li>
<li>The following dataset includes all ASEAN IPOs above US$100m for the period of Calendar Years 2019-2022, which amounted to a total of <strong>41 deals.</strong>
</li>
<li>The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on any of these IPOs.</li>
</ul>


In this note, we will take a look at bookrunner performance for ASEAN IPOs from 2019-2022. 
The following dataset includes all ASEAN IPOs above US$100m for the period of Calendar Years 2019-2022, which amounted to a total of 41 deals.

The deals you see in this note are based on our historical IPO tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on any of these IPOs.


Aequitas ASEAN IPOs Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)

China

JD.com, Inc. is an online direct sales company in China. The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications. JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com (9618 HK)

GoTo: Going Gets Tough

GoTo's share price has moved up 24% YTD, however, we think it could fall as much as it rose with food deliveries and e-commerce markets slowing...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Hesai Group Pre-IPO - The Positives - Has a Lot of Potential

Hesai Group (HSAI US), a China based Lidar solutions provider, is looking to raise at least US$100m in its upcoming US IPO. In this note, we will...

Sumeet Singh

Active China Funds: Top-Down Positioning Update, 2023

Our analysis of 119 active China strategies reveals the key sector and industry positions among China equity managers for the upcoming year.

Steven Holden

Quiddity Flow Expectations HSTECH Mar 23: Two Index Changes Possible

I see Tencent Music Entertainment (1698 HK) and Weibo Corp (9898 HK) as ADDs and Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) and AAC Technologies Holdings (2018...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Aequitas ASEAN IPOs Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)

In this note, we will take a look at bookrunner performance for ASEAN IPOs from 2019-2022 which includes all ASEAN IPOs above US$100m, amounting...

Ethan Aw

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