Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The Dec 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 17 November after the close.</li>
<li>There were no ADDs to or DELETEs from the index, in something of a surprise. </li>
<li>The "big flow" on HS TECH is the downweight on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> due to sharp capping after significant outperformance since the August review.</li>
</ul>


The Dec 23 review results for the Hang Seng Tech Index were announced on Friday 17 November after the close.
There were no ADDs to or DELETEs from the index, in something of a surprise. 
The "big flow" on HS TECH is the downweight on Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) due to sharp capping after significant outperformance since the August review.


Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>As expected, there are no constituent changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX)</a> in December. However, there are float and capping changes for a lot of stocks.</li>
<li>Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.29bn (US$679m). There are 4 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.</li>
<li>The largest selling will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK)</a> offset by buying in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


As expected, there are no constituent changes for the Hang Seng TECH Index (HSTECH INDEX) in December. However, there are float and capping changes for a lot of stocks.
Estimated one-way turnover is 4.8% leading to a one-way trade of HK$5.29bn (US$679m). There are 4 stocks with over 1 day of ADV to trade.
The largest selling will be on Xiaomi Corp (1810 HK) offset by buying in Meituan (3690 HK), JD.com (9618 HK) and Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK). 


HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Round-Trip Trade of US$1.4bn

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC</a> ended up doing well, as expected. Now <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies </a>will be another one to watch.</li>
<li>The placements continued to flow in this week as well, with both Australia and Japan deals coming relatively thick and fast, at least by 2023's pace.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, WuXi XDC ended up doing well, as expected. Now Tata Technologies will be another one to watch.
The placements continued to flow in this week as well, with both Australia and Japan deals coming relatively thick and fast, at least by 2023's pace.


ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.</li>
<li>
Macro data points: Chinese industrial production and retail sales, Malaysia GDP growth.</li>
<li>
Companies mentioned:<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>
</li>
</ul>


The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices.

Macro data points: Chinese industrial production and retail sales, Malaysia GDP growth.

Companies mentioned:Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK), JD.com (9618 HK), Tencent (700 HK)



GEMWeekly (17 Nov 2023): China, Malaysia Macro; Alibaba, JD.com, Tencent

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

JD Health International  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>JDH reported C3Q23 top line and non-IFRS operating profit that are 39% and 34% of our C2H23 estimates. We cut C2H23 top line, non-IFRS operating profit and IFRS net income.</li>
<li>We keep 2024 top line unchanged but cut non-IFRS operating profit by 31% as we believe JDH might need to invest to explore new growth opportunities;</li>
<li>We cut TP from US$65 to US$52 but maintain BUY.</li>
</ul>


JDH reported C3Q23 top line and non-IFRS operating profit that are 39% and 34% of our C2H23 estimates. We cut C2H23 top line, non-IFRS operating profit and IFRS net income.
We keep 2024 top line unchanged but cut non-IFRS operating profit by 31% as we believe JDH might need to invest to explore new growth opportunities;
We cut TP from US$65 to US$52 but maintain BUY.


[JD Health (6618 HK, BUY, TP HK$52) TP Change]: A COVID Hiccup but Environment Is Turning Positive

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

Hang Seng Index team announced the December 2023 review for the Hang Seng Tech index on 17 Nov after the close. No name changes. But several...

Travis Lundy

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Round-Trip Trade of US$1.4bn

There are no constituent changes for the HSTECH in Dec. Float and capping changes will result in a round-trip trade of US$1.4bn. There could be...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

GEMWeekly (17 Nov 2023): China, Malaysia Macro; Alibaba, JD.com, Tencent

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

[JD Health (6618 HK, BUY, TP HK$52) TP Change]: A COVID Hiccup but Environment Is Turning Positive

JDH reported lower-than-expected Q3 results, leading to reductions in profit estimates and target price, but we maintain a buy rating due to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Hang Seng Tech Dec23 Index Review/Flows - No Name Changes, Some Big Capping Flows

Hang Seng Index team announced the December 2023 review for the Hang Seng Tech index on 17 Nov after the close. No name changes. But several...

Travis Lundy

HSTECH Index Rebalance: No Constituent Changes; Round-Trip Trade of US$1.4bn

There are no constituent changes for the HSTECH in Dec. Float and capping changes will result in a round-trip trade of US$1.4bn. There could be...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (19th Nov 2023)- Asahi, Ajinomoto, Steadfast, Karoon, Wuxi, Ecopro, Zeekr, Tata Tech

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

GEMWeekly (17 Nov 2023): China, Malaysia Macro; Alibaba, JD.com, Tencent

The Global Emerging Markets Weekly provides a summary of the key news and related developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of...

Wium Malan, CFA

[JD Health (6618 HK, BUY, TP HK$52) TP Change]: A COVID Hiccup but Environment Is Turning Positive

​JDH reported lower-than-expected Q3 results, leading to reductions in profit estimates and target price, but we maintain a buy rating due to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

JDH reported lower-than-expected Q3 results, leading to reductions in profit estimates and target price, but we maintain a buy rating due to...