Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<div><p>Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.</p></div><div><p>As of 1H21, KP had a total of 36m users and around 20m monthly active users (MAU). It processed a total GMV of KRW66.9tn in 2020 and it had already generated KRW47.9tn GMV in 1H21 itself. As of the end of 1H21, it had dealings with more than 610,000 affiliated stores and 100 financial institutions.</p></div><div><p>Since spinning out from Kakao in 2017, the number of MAUs have grown 14x from 2Q17 to 2Q21, while the quarterly transaction amount grew 61x from KRW0.4tn in 2Q17 to KRW24.5tn in 2Q21. </p></div><div><p>Over the past few years the company has been expanding its offering beyond payment processing to include other financial products. On the back of this, its revenue has been growing faster than its GMV.</p></div><div>
<p>We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier notes, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-pay-ipo-guided-by-ant-financial-to-be-a-mini-ant" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to be a mini Ant </a>and  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/kakao-pay-ipo-peer-comparison-local-and-international" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay IPO - Peer comparison - local and international</a>.</p>
<p>In this note we will talk about valuations and the latest announcement by the regulators.</p>
</div>

Kakao Pay (KP), one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55% stake prior to listing, with Ant Financial holding the balance 45% stake.As of 1H21, KP had a total of 36m users and around 20m monthly active users (MAU). It processed a total GMV of KRW66.9tn in 2020 and it had already generated KRW47.9tn GMV in 1H21 itself. As of the end of 1H21, it had dealings with more than 610,000 affiliated stores and 100 financial institutions.Since spinning out from Kakao in 2017, the number of MAUs have grown 14x from 2Q17 to 2Q21, while the quarterly transaction amount grew 61x from KRW0.4tn in 2Q17 to KRW24.5tn in 2Q21. Over the past few years the company has been expanding its offering beyond payment processing to include other financial products. On the back of this, its revenue has been growing faster than its GMV.
We have covered most aspects of the deal in our earlier notes, Kakao Pay IPO - Guided by Ant Financial to be a mini Ant and  Kakao Pay IPO - Peer comparison - local and international.
In this note we will talk about valuations and the latest announcement by the regulators.


Kakao Pay IPO - Valuation and Likely Impact of Latest Announcement

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

Equity Bottom-Up

JD Health International  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul class="">
<li>We believe JD Health will follow the accounting of JD.com, which Amazon originated.</li>
<li>We believe service is the main business, although product accounts for a large proportion in the nominal revenue.</li>
<li>The product plays a cornerstone role; therefore, it is fine to value the company by nominal revenue.</li>
<li>Service revenue growth is the important signal for the short-term stock price.</li>
</ul>


We believe JD Health will follow the accounting of JD.com, which Amazon originated.
We believe service is the main business, although product accounts for a large proportion in the nominal revenue.
The product plays a cornerstone role; therefore, it is fine to value the company by nominal revenue.
Service revenue growth is the important signal for the short-term stock price.


JD Health (6618 HK): Be Careful of Amazon Style Accounting

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<p>Hong Kong SFC reported aggregate short position as of Aug 27. The aggregate short value for equities increased by $3,407m (+5.3%) WoW but decreased by $11m (-0.0%) over the preceding four weeks.</p><p>Most shorted stocks by aggregate short value of positions are Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd./2318 HK($4,417m, -2.3% WoW), China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd./3968 HK($2,477m, +10.9% WoW), Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited/881 HK($1,962m, +5.1% WoW), Anta Sports Products Limited/2020 HK($1,501m, -10.0% WoW), Tencent Holdings Limited/700 HK($1,403m, -6.8% WoW).</p><section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/227/774/original/Hong_Kong_Market_Short_Position_Value_%28line%29_and_1W_Changes_%28bar%29_%28%24m%292021-09-04+10_09_03.png?1630721631" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="227774"></figure></section>

Hong Kong SFC reported aggregate short position as of Aug 27. The aggregate short value for equities increased by $3,407m (+5.3%) WoW but decreased by $11m (-0.0%) over the preceding four weeks.Most shorted stocks by aggregate short value of positions are Ping An Insurance (Group) Company Of China, Ltd./2318 HK($4,417m, -2.3% WoW), China Merchants Bank Co., Ltd./3968 HK($2,477m, +10.9% WoW), Zhongsheng Group Holdings Limited/881 HK($1,962m, +5.1% WoW), Anta Sports Products Limited/2020 HK($1,501m, -10.0% WoW), Tencent Holdings Limited/700 HK($1,403m, -6.8% WoW).

HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for Baba & JD

Global Emerging Market Equities, Propitious Research

Wium Malan, CFA

Global Emerging Market Equities

Independent, Fundamental Quantitative Research

Propitious Research

Fully independent, fundamental and quantitative equity research, focused on companies in the Telecommunication, Media, Technology, Internet and Healthcare sectors in the Global Emerging Markets. Idea generation focused on Quality stocks, trading below their intrinsic Value, with sound Corporate Governance.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices. </p><p><strong><em>Companies mentioned this week:</em></strong></p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase (9999 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yandex-nv-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:414:1" rel="noopener">Yandex (YNDX US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/naspers-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21085:1" rel="noopener">Naspers (NPN SJ)</a>, Ant Financial, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (NIO US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba Group (9988 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/semiconductor-manufacturing-international-corp-smic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14231:1" rel="noopener">Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)</a> </p>

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity indices. Companies mentioned this week:Tencent (700 HK), NetEase (9999 HK), Yandex (YNDX US), Prosus (PRX NA), Naspers (NPN SJ), Ant Financial, NIO Inc (NIO US), DiDi Global (DIDI US), JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), Alibaba Group (9988 HK), Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK) 

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 3 September 2021

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Logistics Property Holdings / Event-Driven

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a> (CLPH) has <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2021/0903/2021090300814.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> its chairman, Li Shifa, has entered into an S&amp;P Agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc. (9618 HK)</a>, to sell his 26.38% stake in CLPH at a price of $4.35/share.</p>
<p>Provided conditions to the S&amp;P are fulfilled, and with JD.com currently holding 10.64%, it would be obligated to make a Mandatory General Offer (MGO) - also at HK$4.35/share.</p>
<p>The key S&amp;P condition is approval from China's AML (Anti-Monopoly Law) Authority.</p>
<p>The key condition to the MGO becoming unconditional is JD.com holding 50% of the voting rights in CLPH. RRJ Capital, Joy Orient, and Dajia Baoxian have given irrevocables to tender in their 21.94%, 3.3%, and 4.14% respective stakes.</p>
<p>This all looks pretty clean.</p>
<p>The pushback is that when CLPH <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2020/1229/2020122901322.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> on the 29 December 2020 Li and RRJ Capital were "<em>conducting a preliminary strategic review of their stakes</em>", indicating a possible change of control for the company, the pre-announcement share price was HK$3.90. Therefore the Offer Price is an 11.5% premium to the undisturbed price. Many investors thought a $4.50+ handle was more in keeping with this space which has been garnering significant attention.</p>
<p>The Offer price will not be increased. </p>
<p>Still, as one reader put it, they're just happy to get this slow-burning deal off their books.</p>
<p>More below the fold.</p>
</div>


China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK) (CLPH) has announced its chairman, Li Shifa, has entered into an S&amp;P Agreement with JD.com Inc. (9618 HK), to sell his 26.38% stake in CLPH at a price of $4.35/share.
Provided conditions to the S&amp;P are fulfilled, and with JD.com currently holding 10.64%, it would be obligated to make a Mandatory General Offer (MGO) - also at HK$4.35/share.
The key S&amp;P condition is approval from China's AML (Anti-Monopoly Law) Authority.
The key condition to the MGO becoming unconditional is JD.com holding 50% of the voting rights in CLPH. RRJ Capital, Joy Orient, and Dajia Baoxian have given irrevocables to tender in their 21.94%, 3.3%, and 4.14% respective stakes.
This all looks pretty clean.
The pushback is that when CLPH announced on the 29 December 2020 Li and RRJ Capital were "conducting a preliminary strategic review of their stakes", indicating a possible change of control for the company, the pre-announcement share price was HK$3.90. Therefore the Offer Price is an 11.5% premium to the undisturbed price. Many investors thought a $4.50+ handle was more in keeping with this space which has been garnering significant attention.
The Offer price will not be increased. 
Still, as one reader put it, they're just happy to get this slow-burning deal off their books.
More below the fold.


China Logistics (1589 HK): JD.com's Offer Comes Up Short

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Kakao Pay IPO - Valuation and Likely Impact of Latest Announcement

Kakao Pay, one of South Korea’s largest payment and financial services apps, aims to raise up to US$1.3bn in its South Korean IPO. Kakao held a 55%...

Sumeet Singh

JD Health (6618 HK): Be Careful of Amazon Style Accounting

We believe JD Health will follow the accounting of JDc.om, which is the originated by Amazon. We believe service is the main business, although...

Ming Lu

HK Short Interest: Short Spiked for Baba & JD

We highlight short spikes in Alibaba (9988 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) based on the latest short aggregate position report released by Hong Kong SFC.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Global Emerging Markets Weekly: 3 September 2021

This insight provides a summary of the key news developments impacting the largest countries and constituents of the Global Emerging Markets equity...

Wium Malan, CFA

China Logistics (1589 HK): JD.com's Offer Comes Up Short

The price is widely viewed as a disappointment. But this should trade relatively tight to terms - perhaps around HK$4.25, or 2.4%/16.0% gross...

David Blennerhassett

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