Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We believe the revenue growth rate would still be low at 8.5% YoY in 4Q22, even lower than 11.4% YoY in 3Q22.</li>
<li>However, we believe the growth rate of total revenue will be 10% in 2022, 15% in 2023, and 18% in 2024.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 47% for year end 2023.</li>
</ul>


We believe the revenue growth rate would still be low at 8.5% YoY in 4Q22, even lower than 11.4% YoY in 3Q22.
However, we believe the growth rate of total revenue will be 10% in 2022, 15% in 2023, and 18% in 2024.
We believe the stock has an upside of 47% for year end 2023.


JD.com (9618 HK) Earnings Preview: Weak Q4, But Strong 2023

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>China Vanke aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share primary placement.</li>
<li>Vanke had recently stated that it aimed to raise around US$2bn via an A-share private placement, so a placement was expected for sure.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


China Vanke aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share primary placement.
Vanke had recently stated that it aimed to raise around US$2bn via an A-share private placement, so a placement was expected for sure.
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


China Vanke Placement - A Placement Was Expected, Unclear if It Was This One

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> plans to sell around US$9bn worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, trimming its stake by a third.</li>
<li>Initial news of the deal broke last week, and we had a look in, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-possible-placement-here-we-go-again-with-the-us-9bn-overhang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:96295" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Possible Placement - Here We Go Again with the US$9bn Overhang</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal structure and impact.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third.
Initial news of the deal broke last week, and we had a look in, Japan Post Bank Possible Placement - Here We Go Again with the US$9bn Overhang.
In this note, we talk about the deal structure and impact.


Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback

<ul>
<li>Meituan has been hiring delivery workers in Hong Kong since February 20.</li>
<li>JD will provide a subsidy of RMB1.5 billion to customers to compete with Pinduoduo (PDD) in early March.</li>
<li>Four companies released financial performance for 4Q22, including Baidu, iQiyi, NetEase, and Sohu.</li>
</ul>


Meituan has been hiring delivery workers in Hong Kong since February 20.
JD will provide a subsidy of RMB1.5 billion to customers to compete with Pinduoduo (PDD) in early March.
Four companies released financial performance for 4Q22, including Baidu, iQiyi, NetEase, and Sohu.


China Internet Weekly (2023Feb27): Meituan, JD, Baidu, IQiyi, NetEase, and Sohu

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On Friday 24 February 2023, the Hang Seng Index Committee announced changes for the HSTECH Index - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/weibo-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35280:1" rel="noopener">Weibo Corp (9898 HK)</a> IN, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)</a> OUT.</li>
<li>Notably, the changes in FAF due to the new treatment for Dual Primary Companies means decent boosts in weight for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto (2015 HK)</a>. </li>
<li>Of the three "major" indices, this one produces the most fun - US$900mm+ and 8.7% flow one-way. And the big flows are additive to the other indices.</li>
</ul>


On Friday 24 February 2023, the Hang Seng Index Committee announced changes for the HSTECH Index - Weibo Corp (9898 HK) IN, Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK) OUT.
Notably, the changes in FAF due to the new treatment for Dual Primary Companies means decent boosts in weight for XPeng (9868 HK) and Li Auto (2015 HK). 
Of the three "major" indices, this one produces the most fun - US$900mm+ and 8.7% flow one-way. And the big flows are additive to the other indices.


HSTECH Mar23 Index Review/​Flows - Weibo IN, Ming Yuan Cloud OUT, BIGLY Flows on Li Auto & Xpeng

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

JD.com (9618 HK) Earnings Preview: Weak Q4, But Strong 2023

We believe the revenue growth rate would be still low at 8.5% YoY in 4Q22,. However, the growth rate of total revenue will improve to 15% in 2023...

Ming Lu

China Vanke Placement - A Placement Was Expected, Unclear if It Was This One

China Vanke aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share primary placement. In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback

Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (2023Feb27): Meituan, JD, Baidu, IQiyi, NetEase, and Sohu

Meituan is hiring delivery workers in Hong Kong. JD will provide a subsidy of RMB1.5 bn to customers to compete with Pinduoduo (PDD). Baidu, iQiyi,...

Ming Lu

HSTECH Mar23 Index Review/Flows - Weibo IN, Ming Yuan Cloud OUT, BIGLY Flows on Li Auto & Xpeng

HSTECH is the most interesting of the 3 major Hang Seng indices. There is one inclusion worth 0.04% but the index sees 8.7% one-way turnover on...

Travis Lundy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

JD.com (9618 HK) Earnings Preview: Weak Q4, But Strong 2023

We believe the revenue growth rate would be still low at 8.5% YoY in 4Q22,. However, the growth rate of total revenue will improve to 15% in 2023...

Ming Lu

China Vanke Placement - A Placement Was Expected, Unclear if It Was This One

China Vanke aims to raise around US$500m in its H-share primary placement. In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through...

Sumeet Singh

Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback

Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

China Internet Weekly (2023Feb27): Meituan, JD, Baidu, IQiyi, NetEase, and Sohu

Meituan is hiring delivery workers in Hong Kong. JD will provide a subsidy of RMB1.5 bn to customers to compete with Pinduoduo (PDD). Baidu, iQiyi,...

Ming Lu

HSTECH Mar23 Index Review/​Flows - Weibo IN, Ming Yuan Cloud OUT, BIGLY Flows on Li Auto & Xpeng

HSTECH is the most interesting of the 3 major Hang Seng indices. There is one inclusion worth 0.04% but the index sees 8.7% one-way turnover on...

Travis Lundy

HSTECH Mar23 Index Review/Flows - Weibo IN, Ming Yuan Cloud OUT, BIGLY Flows on Li Auto & Xpeng