External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus; non-GAAP net income was RMB14.5bn, ahead of our forecast/consensus estimates at RMB9.9bn/9.6bn, thanks to stronger-than-expected GPM expansion aided by scale effect, as well as better-than-expected generation from other income.</li><li>Guided by stringent ROI target and benefited from the increasing economies of scale, we remain positive on JD’s earnings growth trajectory in 2H24.</li><li>However, apart from the additional benefits brought by nationwide home appliance trade-in activities, since the current share repurchase program has been largely utilized, JD needs to convince the market with its ability in retaining market share in core electronics and home appliance (E&amp;HA) category, in order to drive for further valuation rerating amid current market environment, in our view. Our DCF-based TP was unchanged at US$51.9. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus; non-GAAP net income was RMB14.5bn, ahead of our forecast/consensus estimates at RMB9.9bn/9.6bn, thanks to stronger-than-expected GPM expansion aided by scale effect, as well as better-than-expected generation from other income.Guided by stringent ROI target and benefited from the increasing economies of scale, we remain positive on JD’s earnings growth trajectory in 2H24.However, apart from the additional benefits brought by nationwide home appliance trade-in activities, since the current share repurchase program has been largely utilized, JD needs to convince the market with its ability in retaining market share in core electronics and home appliance (E&amp;HA) category, in order to drive for further valuation rerating amid current market environment, in our view. Our DCF-based TP was unchanged at US$51.9. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Stringent ROI Target on Investments Brings Better-Than-Expected 2Q Earnings Growth

Co-Founder & CEO, Newmark Risk

Nicholas Pezolano

Co-Founder & CEO

Option analytics for institutional investors

Newmark Risk

Fin-tech company focused on providing option derived analytics for institutional investors.

We handle the complexity of options data so you don't have to.

- Data and Analytics available all in one place so you can focus on Strategy Development
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Knowledge is something that was meant to be shared and we provide insights to our clients and to the community via posting about our research findings.

Event-Driven

TSE Tokyo Price Index TOPIX / Event-Driven

<ul><li>A cross-country study on the post earning announcement drift effect.</li><li>We explore the use of various options-implied analytics to systematically view returns around earnings announcements.  </li><li>Options-Implied Analytics can provide empowering information to better inform investment decisions.</li></ul>

A cross-country study on the post earning announcement drift effect.We explore the use of various options-implied analytics to systematically view returns around earnings announcements.  Options-Implied Analytics can provide empowering information to better inform investment decisions.

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

<ul><li>Although the high base in air conditioner category and industrywide soft performance of PC category are likely to weigh on JD’s revenue growth on electronic and home appliance (E&amp;HA) in 2Q24E, its strategies to focus on ROI and quality growth may drive a beat on earnings.</li><li>We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin of 3.4% and was 16% better than Bloomberg consensus.</li><li>With a normalization in revenue growth of both E&amp;HA and platform business, we expect YoY revenue growth for JD to reaccelerate in 3Q24E, and the GMV growth of JD Retail (JDR) can still outperform that of total retail sales in 2024E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Although the high base in air conditioner category and industrywide soft performance of PC category are likely to weigh on JD’s revenue growth on electronic and home appliance (E&amp;HA) in 2Q24E, its strategies to focus on ROI and quality growth may drive a beat on earnings.We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin of 3.4% and was 16% better than Bloomberg consensus.With a normalization in revenue growth of both E&amp;HA and platform business, we expect YoY revenue growth for JD to reaccelerate in 3Q24E, and the GMV growth of JD Retail (JDR) can still outperform that of total retail sales in 2024E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>Travel and box office data in the past three-day Dragonboat Holiday showed worrying weakness despite sharp price cuts by hotel and airlines. </li>
<li>Removing travellers from Hong Kong, inbound travel was also quite bad; </li>
<li>E-Commerce sales backed by trade-in stimulus outperformed regular merchandises, indicating consumer confidence is still low. We believe the weak travel data boded ill for consumption throughout the year.</li>
</ul>


Travel and box office data in the past three-day Dragonboat Holiday showed worrying weakness despite sharp price cuts by hotel and airlines. 
Removing travellers from Hong Kong, inbound travel was also quite bad; 
E-Commerce sales backed by trade-in stimulus outperformed regular merchandises, indicating consumer confidence is still low. We believe the weak travel data boded ill for consumption throughout the year.


[Blue Lotus Multi-Sector Sector Update]: Consumer Spending Weakened During Dragon Boat

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>The June rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI INDEX</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This will lead to large flows.</li>
<li>The round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$32bn (US$4.1bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc-3dbe6187-544f-40dd-b9f9-72fba9c0110e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33811:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/alibaba-group-holding-ltd-d7b798e2-202d-4e01-9a1e-799e2ae8f0c7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28434:1" rel="noopener">Alibaba</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/netease-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29030:1" rel="noopener">NetEase</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zijin-mining-group-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6358:1" rel="noopener">Zijin Mining</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sensetime-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34319:1" rel="noopener">SenseTime</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-electronic-international-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1927:1" rel="noopener">BYD Electronics</a> are the largest buys while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xiaomi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24409:1" rel="noopener">Xiaomi</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hsbc-holdings-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:516:1" rel="noopener">HSBC Holdings</a> are the largest sells.</li>
</ul>


The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI INDEX, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices to cap the index constituent weights at 8%/12%. This will lead to large flows.
The round-trip trade across all stocks across the four indices is estimated at HK$32bn (US$4.1bn).

Li Auto, Alibaba, NetEase, Zijin Mining, SenseTime and BYD Electronics are the largest buys while Tencent, Meituan, JD.com, Kuaishou Technology, Xiaomi and HSBC Holdings are the largest sells.


HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

JD.com (JD US) - Stringent ROI Target on Investments Brings Better-Than-Expected 2Q Earnings Growth

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus

CMB International

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

We leverage a few analytics from NewMark Risk's proprietary Options Implied Analytics library to enhance common strategies to trade earnings...

Nicholas Pezolano

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Multi-Sector Sector Update]: Consumer Spending Weakened During Dragon Boat

Weak travel data during Dragonboat Holiday despite price cuts by hotels and airlines suggests low consumer confidence, impacting consumption for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

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JD.com (JD US) - Stringent ROI Target on Investments Brings Better-Than-Expected 2Q Earnings Growth

JD.com (JD) reported (15 Aug) better-than-expected 2Q24 results: revenue was RMB291.4bn, up 1% YoY, in line with our forecast and Bloomberg consensus

CMB International

EQD | A Systematic Look at the Post Earnings Announcement Drift Across Asia

We leverage a few analytics from NewMark Risk's proprietary Options Implied Analytics library to enhance common strategies to trade earnings...

Nicholas Pezolano

JD.com (JD US) - Expecting an Upbeat Bottom Line for 2Q Results

We forecast JD has logged 2Q24E revenue of RMB290.9bn (up 1.0% YoY), and non-GAAP net income of RMB9.9bn, which translates into non-GAAP net margin...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Multi-Sector Sector Update]: Consumer Spending Weakened During Dragon Boat

​Weak travel data during Dragonboat Holiday despite price cuts by hotels and airlines suggests low consumer confidence, impacting consumption for...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH, HSIII: Rebalance Flows Post Capping (June 2024)

The June rebalance of the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSIII indices will use today's closing prices for capping. The round-trip trade across the four...

Brian Freitas

Weak travel data during Dragonboat Holiday despite price cuts by hotels and airlines suggests low consumer confidence, impacting consumption for...