Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a> was effectively re-IPOed in March when <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> offered more than a BILLION shares against the 400mm shares then in float. </li>
<li>It was a huge offering. A huge increase in float. Lots of immediate liquidity. A PERFECT opportunity for the TSE to do an ad hoc FFW change. But they didn't. </li>
<li>Then in June they lowered the FFW (on a technicality). That leaves a big upweight in October. In this insight we measure the opportunity.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Bank (7182 JP) was effectively re-IPOed in March when Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) offered more than a BILLION shares against the 400mm shares then in float. 
It was a huge offering. A huge increase in float. Lots of immediate liquidity. A PERFECT opportunity for the TSE to do an ad hoc FFW change. But they didn't. 
Then in June they lowered the FFW (on a technicality). That leaves a big upweight in October. In this insight we measure the opportunity.


Japan Post Bank (7182) - The October TOPIX FFW Adjustment

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Invincible Investment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/invincible-investment-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3617:1" rel="noopener">Invincible Investment (8963 JP)</a> plans to raise around US$230m to fund the acquisition of six hotel assets in Japan.</li>
<li>The stock has done well over the past year and so have most of its deals which we have covered in the past.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>



Invincible Investment (8963 JP) plans to raise around US$230m to fund the acquisition of six hotel assets in Japan.
The stock has done well over the past year and so have most of its deals which we have covered in the past.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Invincible Investment Corp Placement - Decent Accretion Despite the Large Dilution

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Since the announcement of the US$1.9 billion secondary placement, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a>’s shares are down -25.0% from the undisturbed price of JPY21,950 per share (5 July).</li>
<li>So far, Socionext’s shares have mostly followed the pattern of previous large placements. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.</li>
<li>The offering will likely be priced on 11 July. Due to the steep share price decline, Socionext is trading at an undemanding multiple compared to global SoC peers.  </li>
</ul>


Since the announcement of the US$1.9 billion secondary placement, Socionext (6526 JP)’s shares are down -25.0% from the undisturbed price of JPY21,950 per share (5 July).
So far, Socionext’s shares have mostly followed the pattern of previous large placements. Investors participating in previous large Japanese placements tend to secure positive returns.
The offering will likely be priced on 11 July. Due to the steep share price decline, Socionext is trading at an undemanding multiple compared to global SoC peers.  


Socionext (6526 JP): The Current Playbook

Plus Alpha Consulting / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Three shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/plus-alpha-consulting-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33441:1" rel="noopener">Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP)</a> (PAC) aim to raise around US$230m via selling over 26% of the company.</li>
<li>PAC was listed in 2021 and after a somewhat tepid initial performance it has been doing well over the past year.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework</li>
</ul>


Three shareholders of Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) (PAC) aim to raise around US$230m via selling over 26% of the company.
PAC was listed in 2021 and after a somewhat tepid initial performance it has been doing well over the past year.
In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics and run the deal through our ECM framework


Plus Alpha Consulting Placement - Pulling Out All Stops for Deal Success as Insiders Are Selling

<ul>
<li>Three shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> aim to raise around US$1.4bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext.</li>
<li>We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/socionext-placement-a-us-1-8bn-cleanup-will-have-to-give-up-some-of-its-6x-listing-gains" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106206" rel="noopener">Socionext Placement - A US$1.8bn Cleanup, Will Have to Give up Some of Its 6x Listing Gains</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates and look at the performance of some of the past Japan deals.</li>
</ul>


Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.4bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext.
We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, Socionext Placement - A US$1.8bn Cleanup, Will Have to Give up Some of Its 6x Listing Gains.
In this note, we talk about the updates and look at the performance of some of the past Japan deals.


Socionext Placement - Valuation More Reasonable but past Secondary Offerings Have a Mixed Record

Japan

Japan Post Insurance Co. Ltd. operates life insurance business. The Company offers whole life insurance, education endowment, ordinary endowment, medical insurance, and special endowment insurance. Japan Post Insurance provides services for individuals and businesses throughout Japan.

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Japan Post Insurance (7181 JP)

Japan Post Bank (7182) - The October TOPIX FFW Adjustment

Japan Post Bank will have a JPY 200bn+ TOPIX upweight in October about 10 weeks from now. That will be about 20% of Real World Float. JPB is rich...

Travis Lundy

Invincible Investment Corp Placement - Decent Accretion Despite the Large Dilution

Invincible Investment plans to raise around US$230m to fund the acquisition of six hotel assets in Japan. In this note, we talk about the deal...

Sumeet Singh

Socionext (6526 JP): The Current Playbook

So far, Socionext’s shares have mostly followed the pattern of previous large placements. Investors participating in previous large Japanese...

Arun George

Plus Alpha Consulting Placement - Pulling Out All Stops for Deal Success as Insiders Are Selling

Three shareholders of Plus Alpha Consulting (4071 JP) (PAC) aim to raise around US$230m via selling over 26% of the company.

Sumeet Singh

Socionext Placement - Valuation More Reasonable but past Secondary Offerings Have a Mixed Record

Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.4bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

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