Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Equity Risk-off ahead of NFP; Banks hit on default risk worries and Silvergate Collapse; Bitcoin hit hard (Silverate); Aggressive GM restructuring</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today;  MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback from DNP;  Seven &amp; I Restructuring.</li>
<li>NUGGET. NISSAN, TAKING IT FROM ALL ANGLES. Nissan's bonds downgraded to junk this week; but its worse than you think..company faces serious headwinds.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Equity Risk-off ahead of NFP; Banks hit on default risk worries and Silvergate Collapse; Bitcoin hit hard (Silverate); Aggressive GM restructuring
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today;  MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback from DNP;  Seven &amp; I Restructuring.
NUGGET. NISSAN, TAKING IT FROM ALL ANGLES. Nissan's bonds downgraded to junk this week; but its worse than you think..company faces serious headwinds.


Good Morning Japan |EQUITY SELL OFF Ahead of NFP-Banks Bear Brunt; NUGGET: Nissan - Its Worse !

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Softer tone from Powell; US equities find support; BUT, Rates extend sell off; Yield Curve -1.08%..screams recession; Shocker from EU as Germany blocks legislation banning ICE sales from 2035. </li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY +0.6% vs Cash; USDJPY 137.4;  Japan set to extend rally for 5th day on weaker yen; Asahi Kasei books ¥185bn impairment loss; Another BUY call on Fanuc</li>
<li>NUGGET. Rakuten stock has been in the doldrums thanks deep losses in domestic mobile ops. Losses likely peaked. Now, Rakuten Symphony is clearly gaining traction. Time to revisit?</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Softer tone from Powell; US equities find support; BUT, Rates extend sell off; Yield Curve -1.08%..screams recession; Shocker from EU as Germany blocks legislation banning ICE sales from 2035. 
JAPAN. NKY +0.6% vs Cash; USDJPY 137.4;  Japan set to extend rally for 5th day on weaker yen; Asahi Kasei books ¥185bn impairment loss; Another BUY call on Fanuc
NUGGET. Rakuten stock has been in the doldrums thanks deep losses in domestic mobile ops. Losses likely peaked. Now, Rakuten Symphony is clearly gaining traction. Time to revisit?


Good Morning Japan | Softer Tone from Powell; EU EV Shocker; NUGGET: Rakuten Symphony - Wins Coming!

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>ANA announced their FY23-25 Mid-Term Corporate Strategy last month. In it, a plan to increase cargo. </li>
<li>Today, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ana-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5308:1" rel="noopener">Ana Holdings (9202 JP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-yusen-kk" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12285:1" rel="noopener">Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP)</a> announced ANA would take over NYK sub Nippon Cargo Airlines 1 October 2023 - price and method TBD.</li>
<li>This would add ~45-50% to ANA's cargo volume, and more to its capacity. But it means NYK sells cheap OR it means a chunk of ANA cash/stock. Overhang.</li>
</ul>


ANA announced their FY23-25 Mid-Term Corporate Strategy last month. In it, a plan to increase cargo. 
Today, Ana Holdings (9202 JP) and Nippon Yusen Kk (9101 JP) announced ANA would take over NYK sub Nippon Cargo Airlines 1 October 2023 - price and method TBD.
This would add ~45-50% to ANA's cargo volume, and more to its capacity. But it means NYK sells cheap OR it means a chunk of ANA cash/stock. Overhang.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:359:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP)</a> plans to sell around US$9bn worth of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-post-bank-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:838:1" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank (7182 JP)</a>, trimming its stake by a third.</li>
<li>We have looked at the deal in our past note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/japan-post-bank-placement-deal-structure-past-deals-index-buyback" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:96666" rel="noopener">Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at some of the past deals.</li>
</ul>



Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell around US$9bn worth of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP), trimming its stake by a third.
We have looked at the deal in our past note, Japan Post Bank Placement - Deal Structure, past Deals, Index, Buyback.
In this note, we talk about the updates since our last note and have a look at some of the past deals.


Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving - Still Has Time to Correct - A Look at past Deals

Equity Capital Markets

SBI Sumishin Net Bank  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt.</li>
<li>SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about our updated earnigns forecast and thoughts on valuations</li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt.
SBI Sumishin Net Bank is a Japanese digital bank set up as a 50-50 joint venture between Sumitomo Mitsui Trust Bank, Japan’s largest trust bank, and SBI Group.
In this note, we talk about our updated earnigns forecast and thoughts on valuations


SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO - Revised Forecast and Valuations - RoA or RoE?

Japan

Japan Airlines Co. Ltd. provides air transportation services. The Company offers a variety of scheduled  flights and unscheduled flights throughout the world as well as offers air courier services. Japan Airlines also provides tickets, resort hotels, and travel agencies services.

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Japan Airlines (9201 JP)

Good Morning Japan |EQUITY SELL OFF Ahead of NFP-Banks Bear Brunt; NUGGET: Nissan - Its Worse !

NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today; MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback...

Mark Chadwick

Good Morning Japan | Softer Tone from Powell; EU EV Shocker; NUGGET: Rakuten Symphony - Wins Coming!

NKY +0.6% vs Cash; USDJPY 137.4; Japan set to extend rally for 5th day on weaker yen; Asahi Kasei books ¥185bn impairment loss; Another BUY call...

Mark Chadwick

ANA and NYK to Trade NCA, So JAL/ANA GTG

ANA and Nippon Yusen today announced that ANA would buy NYK unit Nippon Cargo Airlines on 1 Oct 2023. Price and method TBD. This likely creates...

Travis Lundy

Japan Post Bank Placement - Misbehaving - Still Has Time to Correct - A Look at past Deals

Japan Post Holdings (6178 JP) plans to sell US$9bn of Japan Post Bank (7182 JP). The stock price hasn't been behaving particularly well in terms of...

Sumeet Singh

SBI Sumishin Net Bank Pre-IPO - Revised Forecast and Valuations - RoA or RoE?

SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) (SSNB) is now looking to raise around US$380m in its second listing attempt. In this note we talk about our revised...

Sumeet Singh

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