Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Rakuten Securities / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-securities-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39933:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP)</a>, the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.</li>
<li>It is the largest online securities firm in Japan with a 33.7% market share. In FY22, it had over 8.64m accounts, with around JPY18.2tn (US$131bn) of assets under custody.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP), the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.
It is the largest online securities firm in Japan with a 33.7% market share. In FY22, it had over 8.64m accounts, with around JPY18.2tn (US$131bn) of assets under custody.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Rakuten Securities IPO Early Look - The Positives - Has Been Gaining Market Share

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets, JapanConsuming

Michael Causton

Expert on Japan Retail and Consumer Markets

Real Insight on Japanese Consumer Markets

JapanConsuming

JapanConsuming is a specialist research firm producing intelligence on Japanese retail and consumer markets. Founded in 2000, JapanConsuming has become the leading provider of insights on Japanese retailers and consumer trends to retailers, brands, government agencies and investors. As well as a highly regarded monthly report on the market, JapanConsuming produces in-depth reports on retail sectors, seminars on key trends and telephone consulting to investors on trends and retailers.

JapanConsuming was founded by Michael Causton and Roy Larke. 

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Shopping may be a tiny fraction of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/japan-airlines-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1184:1" rel="noopener">Japan Airlines (9201 JP)</a> business but every little helps.</li>
<li>JAL has long offered a popular mail order catalogue selling premium products but has now converted its catalogues into an online mall. </li>
<li>This means it can offer many more and new types of merchant and product, and create more connection with its customers.</li>
</ul>


Shopping may be a tiny fraction of Japan Airlines (9201 JP) business but every little helps.
JAL has long offered a popular mail order catalogue selling premium products but has now converted its catalogues into an online mall. 
This means it can offer many more and new types of merchant and product, and create more connection with its customers.


JAL Aims for ¥12 Billion from New Online Mall

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Three shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/socionext-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36351:1" rel="noopener">Socionext (6526 JP)</a> aim to raise around US$1.4bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext.</li>
<li>We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/socionext-placement-a-us-1-8bn-cleanup-will-have-to-give-up-some-of-its-6x-listing-gains" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:106206" rel="noopener">Socionext Placement - A US$1.8bn Cleanup, Will Have to Give up Some of Its 6x Listing Gains</a>.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the updates and look at the performance of some of the past Japan deals.</li>
</ul>


Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.4bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext.
We have covered the background of the deal in our earlier note, Socionext Placement - A US$1.8bn Cleanup, Will Have to Give up Some of Its 6x Listing Gains.
In this note, we talk about the updates and look at the performance of some of the past Japan deals.


Socionext Placement - Valuation More Reasonable but past Secondary Offerings Have a Mixed Record

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.</li>
<li>In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.</li>
<li>We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.</li>
</ul>


Global equities (MSCI ACWI) have marginally broken above the top-end of our anticipated 2023 trading range of $93 on ACWI-US.
In our 4/18/23 Int’l MacroVision we acknowledged that a break above $93 and a reach to $96-$97 was also possible – and so far, this is what has played out.
We will continue to watch the $93 level for a potential false breakout, but as long as the ACWI-US is above $90.50, we cannot be bearish.


MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport, Tracking Traffic

Daniel Hellberg

Asian Equities Analyst, Logistics & Transport

Tracking Traffic

Focusing on Asian logistics, transportation, and travel companies

<ul>
<li>Q123 Net Revenue was strong, exceeding Q119 (pre-Covid) levels by over 12%</li>
<li>Almost six months into recovery, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trip-com-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:180:1" rel="noopener">Trip.com (TCOM US)</a> has also managed SG&amp;A expenses well</li>
<li>A good result for the company, but we see no reason to alter our long-term view</li>
</ul>


Q123 Net Revenue was strong, exceeding Q119 (pre-Covid) levels by over 12%
Almost six months into recovery, Trip.com (TCOM US) has also managed SG&amp;A expenses well
A good result for the company, but we see no reason to alter our long-term view


Trip.com Q123 | Revenue Surges Past Q119 Level | Decade-High Margin | But Our Thesis Is Unchanged

Japan

Japan Airlines Co. Ltd. provides air transportation services. The Company offers a variety of scheduled  flights and unscheduled flights throughout the world as well as offers air courier services. Japan Airlines also provides tickets, resort hotels, and travel agencies services.

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Japan Airlines (9201 JP)

JAL Aims for ¥12 Billion from New Online Mall

Shopping is a tiny part of JAL's business but it is a key part of its branding and a window into the wishes and desires of its customers. The new...

Michael Causton

Socionext Placement - Valuation More Reasonable but past Secondary Offerings Have a Mixed Record

Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.4bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

Trip.com Q123 | Revenue Surges Past Q119 Level | Decade-High Margin | But Our Thesis Is Unchanged

Trip.com posted a strong result in Q123, with Revenue finally above pre-Covid levels and core margins at a decade-high. But management seemed to...

Tracking Traffic

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Rakuten Securities IPO Early Look - The Positives - Has Been Gaining Market Share

Rakuten Securities, the online securities arm of Rakuten, aims to raise around US$500m (estimated) in its Japan listing.

Sumeet Singh

JAL Aims for ¥12 Billion from New Online Mall

Shopping is a tiny part of JAL's business but it is a key part of its branding and a window into the wishes and desires of its customers. The new...

Michael Causton

Socionext Placement - Valuation More Reasonable but past Secondary Offerings Have a Mixed Record

Three shareholders of Socionext (6526 JP) aim to raise around US$1.4bn via selling all of their shares in Socionext. In this note, we look at the...

Sumeet Singh

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece

MSCI EM Improving; Buys in Value & Large-Cap EM $TSM #Samsung $BABA; Remain Overweight Japan, India, Taiwan, and Greece. $ACWI break above $93 and...

Vermilion Research

Trip.com Q123 | Revenue Surges Past Q119 Level | Decade-High Margin | But Our Thesis Is Unchanged

Trip.com posted a strong result in Q123, with Revenue finally above pre-Covid levels and core margins at a decade-high. But management seemed to...

Tracking Traffic