Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>We expect one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes during the regular rebalance event.</li>
<li>For the ASX 200 index, there could be two intra-review changes in the month of June 2024 and one of those names could be a surprise.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
We expect one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes during the regular rebalance event.
For the ASX 200 index, there could be two intra-review changes in the month of June 2024 and one of those names could be a surprise.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period complete, there could be a bunch of changes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in June.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/red-5-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7940:1" rel="noopener">Red 5 Ltd (RED AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU)</a> merger could lead to an ad hoc change prior to the implementation of the June rebalance.</li>
<li>There will be 1.6-25 days of ADV to buy from passives in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.8-11 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period complete, there could be a bunch of changes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in June.
The Red 5 Ltd (RED AU) / Silver Lake Resources (SLR AU) merger could lead to an ad hoc change prior to the implementation of the June rebalance.
There will be 1.6-25 days of ADV to buy from passives in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.8-11 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.</li>
<li>There are up to two intra-review changes possible between now and the June 2024 review which could triggered by the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silver-lake-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6529:1" rel="noopener">Silver Lake (SLR AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/boral-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1487:1" rel="noopener">Boral (BLD AU)</a> deals.</li>
<li>Separately, I see one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes for the regular rebalance in June 2024.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the run-up to the June 2024 index rebal event.
There are up to two intra-review changes possible between now and the June 2024 review which could triggered by the Silver Lake (SLR AU) and Boral (BLD AU) deals.
Separately, I see one ASX 20 change and two ASX 100 changes for the regular rebalance in June 2024.


Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: A Couple of Intra-Review Changes Likely

<ul>
<li>With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>There is nearly A$1bn to sell in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40416:1" rel="noopener">Newmont (NEM AU)</a> due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.</li>
<li>There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
There is nearly A$1bn to sell in Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

<ul>
<li>With over 80% of the review period complete, there could be 26 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.</li>
<li>The largest flow will be on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40416:1" rel="noopener">Newmont (NEM AU)</a> due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.</li>
<li>There will be 1.2-38 days of ADV to buy in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 1-21 days of ADV.</li>
</ul>


With over 80% of the review period complete, there could be 26 adds/deletes across the S&amp;P/ASX family of indices in March.
The largest flow will be on Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&amp;P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
There will be 1.2-38 days of ADV to buy in the inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 1-21 days of ADV.


S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

Australia

James Hardie Industries Plc manufactures building products for new home construction and remodeling.  The Company's products include fiber cement siding, backerboard, and pipe. James Hardie Industries operates in the United States, Australia and New Zealand.

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James Hardie Industries Plc (JHX AU)

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

There is an important correction to the expectations presented in this insight. Please see the discussion point below for the details and the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Performance has been mixed across the various indices but could start moving the right way as we near the end of the review period and there is...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: A Couple of Intra-Review Changes Likely

I would be LONG Codan (CDA AU) vs the ASX 200 index because I see that as the top potential replacement name for the next ASX 200 change.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

There could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March. Newmont will have around A$1bn to sell. Shorts have been soaring on...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

CGC's privatisation could lead to an adhoc change in Feb. Then there could be 26 changes at the March rebalance. Newmont could be deleted from the...

Brian Freitas

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Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: Intra-Review Replacement Surprise Possible

There is an important correction to the expectations presented in this insight. Please see the discussion point below for the details and the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

Performance has been mixed across the various indices but could start moving the right way as we near the end of the review period and there is...

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Jun 24: A Couple of Intra-Review Changes Likely

I would be LONG Codan (CDA AU) vs the ASX 200 index because I see that as the top potential replacement name for the next ASX 200 change.

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

There could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March. Newmont will have around A$1bn to sell. Shorts have been soaring on...

Brian Freitas

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont

CGC's privatisation could lead to an adhoc change in Feb. Then there could be 26 changes at the March rebalance. Newmont could be deleted from the...

Brian Freitas

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes from Now to June

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

S&P/ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes; A$1bn to Sell in Newmont