External broker reports(aggregated public sources), MNC Sekuritas

MNC Sekuritas

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

MNC Sekuritas, the first wholly-owned subsidiary established by the Group back in 1989, provides a complete range of services, from equity, fixed income, investment banking to providing research to optimize clients’ investments. Thus far, the company has more than 140 points of sales with over 100,000 clients. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Residential sales grew by +31.2% YoY in 1Q24, meanwhile the ASP was relatively stable with +1.9% YoY growth.</li><li>Developers recorded an average increase in marketing sales of 13.1% YoY in 1Q24, with approximately ~46-47% marketing sales resulting from the VAT incentive, in line with the 100% VAT allowance in 1H24 and 50% in 2H24.</li><li>According to the survey from Rumah123, Tangerang became the most popular location reaching 15.6%, followed by South Jakarta (11.4%) and West Jakarta (10.8%), with a price range of IDR1-3billion/unit. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Residential sales grew by +31.2% YoY in 1Q24, meanwhile the ASP was relatively stable with +1.9% YoY growth.Developers recorded an average increase in marketing sales of 13.1% YoY in 1Q24, with approximately ~46-47% marketing sales resulting from the VAT incentive, in line with the 100% VAT allowance in 1H24 and 50% in 2H24.According to the survey from Rumah123, Tangerang became the most popular location reaching 15.6%, followed by South Jakarta (11.4%) and West Jakarta (10.8%), with a price range of IDR1-3billion/unit. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Property Sector - The Dawn of a Promising Upsurge

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), BRI Danareksa Research

BRI Danareksa Research

As a one-stop financial solution with the vision to be the most valuable securities house, BRI Danareksa Sekuritas (BRIDS) has maintained an excellent track record and extensive experience in the capital market as an underwriter, broker, and financial advisor for individual, institutional, foreign and domestic, private and government clients. Established in 1992, PT Danareksa Sekuritas is a securities company that performs activities as a securities broker, underwriter, or arranger and financial advisor.

<ul><li>We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)</li><li>We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).</li><li>We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq)We see limited catalysts for 3Q24, aside from rev growth from export markets (for ICBP and MYOR).We maintain OW rating on the sector; ICBP (TP of Rp12,900) and MYOR (TP of Rp3,200) remain as our top picks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Consumer: 2Q24 Preview: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins

<ul><li>The global crude oil prices showed a hike in Apr-2024 with average Brent spot price stood at USD89.0/BBL and WTI at USD84.4/BBL, respectively increasing from USD84.7/BBL and USD80.4/BBL.</li><li>This climb was mainly driven by the easing global oil inventories following OPEC’s decision to implement voluntary production cuts until 1H24, resulting in an average of 0.3mbpd global oil stocks reduction.</li><li>Concurrently, the heating geopolitical friction in Middle East amid Iran and Israel, also contributed to the global oil prices. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

The global crude oil prices showed a hike in Apr-2024 with average Brent spot price stood at USD89.0/BBL and WTI at USD84.4/BBL, respectively increasing from USD84.7/BBL and USD80.4/BBL.This climb was mainly driven by the easing global oil inventories following OPEC’s decision to implement voluntary production cuts until 1H24, resulting in an average of 0.3mbpd global oil stocks reduction.Concurrently, the heating geopolitical friction in Middle East amid Iran and Israel, also contributed to the global oil prices. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Oil and Gas: Fragile Recovery: Not Out of the Red Yet

<ul><li>JCI’s 13x PE implies room for a rerating if growth improves, while Indonesia’s resilient economic growth offers downside protection.</li><li>Despite our 5% FY24 EPS growth forecast, we see support from more social aid, better liquidity and the next govt’s growth policies.</li><li>We retain our FY24-end JCI target of 7,830 (+12% upside from the FY23 target); our stock picks are ICBP, MYOR, ISAT, HEAL, BBCA and BMRI.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

JCI’s 13x PE implies room for a rerating if growth improves, while Indonesia’s resilient economic growth offers downside protection.Despite our 5% FY24 EPS growth forecast, we see support from more social aid, better liquidity and the next govt’s growth policies.We retain our FY24-end JCI target of 7,830 (+12% upside from the FY23 target); our stock picks are ICBP, MYOR, ISAT, HEAL, BBCA and BMRI.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: FY24 Outlook: The Road to JCI 8,000

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>3Q23 results recap: growth recovered, but negative surprises prevailed</li><li>The market’s overall earnings improved in 3Q23 with operating profits growth rebounding to -4% yoy/+13% yoy ex-mining vs. 2Q23’s -6%/+11% yoy, hence driving 9M23 growth to -5% yoy/ +5% ex-mining (based on our coverage universe that has reported results).</li><li>While the 9M23 earnings were also broadly in-line with expectations (53%/ 43% of the companies’ results were in-line with our FY23F/the consensus), surprises skewed to the downside with 28%/ 34% missing (vs. 19%/23% beating estimates). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

3Q23 results recap: growth recovered, but negative surprises prevailedThe market’s overall earnings improved in 3Q23 with operating profits growth rebounding to -4% yoy/+13% yoy ex-mining vs. 2Q23’s -6%/+11% yoy, hence driving 9M23 growth to -5% yoy/ +5% ex-mining (based on our coverage universe that has reported results).While the 9M23 earnings were also broadly in-line with expectations (53%/ 43% of the companies’ results were in-line with our FY23F/the consensus), surprises skewed to the downside with 28%/ 34% missing (vs. 19%/23% beating estimates). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Equity Strategy: 3Q23 EPS growth improved, expect more growth catalysts in 4Q23

Indonesia

The Jakarta Stock Price Index is a modified capitalization-weighted index of all stocks listed on the regular board of the Indonesia Stock Exchange. The index was developed with a base index value of 100 as of August 10, 1982. Please look at CDR JA<GO> for exchange trading days.

Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index (JCI INDEX)

Jakarta Stock Exchange Composite Index (JCI INDEX)

Property Sector - The Dawn of a Promising Upsurge

Meanwhile, the strength of the property market in Bali was primarily supported by the tourism sector and several policies and incentives that allow...

MNC Sekuritas

Consumer: 2Q24 Preview: Expect Solid Core Profit Growth on Better Margins

We estimate sector’s 2Q24 core profit to grow at a healthy doubledigit rate, but expect weak rev. growth (2.8% yoy/ -15.8% qoq). We see limited...

BRI Danareksa Research

Oil and Gas: Fragile Recovery: Not Out of the Red Yet

The global crude oil prices showed a hike in Apr-2024 with average Brent spot price stood at USD89.0/BBL and WTI at USD84.4/BBL, respectively...

MNC Sekuritas

Equity Strategy: FY24 Outlook: The Road to JCI 8,000

JCI’s 13x PE implies room for a rerating if growth improves, while Indonesia’s resilient economic growth offers downside protection.

BRI Danareksa Research

Equity Strategy: 3Q23 EPS growth improved, expect more growth catalysts in 4Q23

The market’s overall earnings improved in 3Q23 with operating profits growth rebounding to -4% yoy/+13% yoy ex-mining vs. 2Q23’s -6%/+11% yoy

BRI Danareksa Research