Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

First Trust Dj Internet Ind / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Last week (8/22/23) we discussed our expectations for an oversold bounce due to an overwhelming number of indexes/Sectors/industries testing multi-month supports, combined with Treasury yields and the DXY testing resistance.</li>
<li>The bounce has begun with the SPP ending higher last week for the first time in a month, and it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback.</li>
<li>A meaningful correction cannot happen if the SPX is above 4300-4325, but we would not be surprised to see another month or more of consolidation between 4300 and 4600.</li>
</ul>


Last week (8/22/23) we discussed our expectations for an oversold bounce due to an overwhelming number of indexes/Sectors/industries testing multi-month supports, combined with Treasury yields and the DXY testing resistance.
The bounce has begun with the SPP ending higher last week for the first time in a month, and it is possible we have seen the lows for this pause/pullback.
A meaningful correction cannot happen if the SPX is above 4300-4325, but we would not be surprised to see another month or more of consolidation between 4300 and 4600.


Oversold Bounce Underway Amid Consolidation Phase; Buys in IT Consulting, Uranium, Technology

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay, Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Research Firm with a Qualitative Overlay

Quantitative fund & research firm with a qualitative overlay. 

Our coverage: General U.S. with a skew towards the primary sector. 

Methods: Smart Beta/Factor Pricing, Neural Networks, Street Gossip, and Common Sense.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>The SPDR® S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.</li>
<li>However, a broad-based analysis suggests that the S&amp;R 500 and the SPDR S &amp;P 500ETF Trust are potentially undervalued.</li>
<li>The S&amp;P 500's (SP500) year-to-date surge might have surprised many, as the talk of the town at the turn of the year was geared toward a sustained market drawdown until an interest rate pivot occurred.</li>
</ul>


The SPDR® S&amp;P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.
However, a broad-based analysis suggests that the S&amp;R 500 and the SPDR S &amp;P 500ETF Trust are potentially undervalued.
The S&amp;P 500's (SP500) year-to-date surge might have surprised many, as the talk of the town at the turn of the year was geared toward a sustained market drawdown until an interest rate pivot occurred.


Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist, Trudence Capital Advisors

Pranav Bhavsar

Consumer Analyst / Channel Surveillance Specialist

Trudence Capital Advisors

Trudence Capital Advisors Private Limited is a SEBI-registered Research Analyst, holding SEBI registration number INH000015747. Our firm is dedicated to providing independent and unbiased research on Indian mid to large-cap companies. Trudence Capital is known for its counter-consensus views, with a focus on forensic research and on-ground primary investigations. Our research approach is thorough, involving detailed analysis of accounting practices and governance, alongside extensive channel checks.

Independent & Unbiased Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Over the last week, we engaged in fruitful interactions with fellow analysts and portfolio managers in Hong Kong and Singapore.</li>
<li>In this insight, we share perspectives we picked up on India as a market, along with regional market dynamics.</li>
<li>The way ahead involves embracing a glass well approach, combining our deep focus on Indian equities with a broader understanding of regional markets and consumer trends.</li>
</ul>


Over the last week, we engaged in fruitful interactions with fellow analysts and portfolio managers in Hong Kong and Singapore.
In this insight, we share perspectives we picked up on India as a market, along with regional market dynamics.
The way ahead involves embracing a glass well approach, combining our deep focus on Indian equities with a broader understanding of regional markets and consumer trends.


Postcard from HK <> SG | "The Frog in the Well"

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds, Fund Newsletters

Fund Newsletters

Selected Quarterly & Annual Newsletters from Funds

Invesco DB US Dollar Index Bul / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Equity investors in countries with overvalued currencies have two ways to lose and those with undervalued currencies have two ways to win.</li><li>Today’s strong USD looks, in the end, to be our currency and our problem.</li><li>Keep an eye out for dangerously destructive economic policies, but don’t use that as an excuse to avoid the asset class entirely.</li><li>The yen and euro are at their cheapest levels in decades and hedging emerging market equities would be an expensive proposition even if the currencies weren’t generally cheap versus the USD.</li></ul>

Equity investors in countries with overvalued currencies have two ways to lose and those with undervalued currencies have two ways to win.Today’s strong USD looks, in the end, to be our currency and our problem.Keep an eye out for dangerously destructive economic policies, but don’t use that as an excuse to avoid the asset class entirely.The yen and euro are at their cheapest levels in decades and hedging emerging market equities would be an expensive proposition even if the currencies weren’t generally cheap versus the USD.

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The FOMC hiked its policy Fed Funds rate by 75bp on 15 Jun'22, the sharpest single hike in 28 years, taking the central rate to 1.625% (official range of 1.5-1.75%).</li>
<li>With headline CPI inflation at 8.6%YoY in May'22, and wage inflation at 5.2%, inflationary expectations needed to be nipped in the bud, and the Fed has finally taken decisive action.</li>
<li>We expect the FF rate to reach 3% by Sep'22, then rise more sedately. This will induce a shallow recession by Mar'24. We are bullish on a 6-month view.</li>
</ul>


The FOMC hiked its policy Fed Funds rate by 75bp on 15 Jun'22, the sharpest single hike in 28 years, taking the central rate to 1.625% (official range of 1.5-1.75%).
With headline CPI inflation at 8.6%YoY in May'22, and wage inflation at 5.2%, inflationary expectations needed to be nipped in the bud, and the Fed has finally taken decisive action.
We expect the FF rate to reach 3% by Sep'22, then rise more sedately. This will induce a shallow recession by Mar'24. We are bullish on a 6-month view.


Tight Labour Market Obliges the Fed to Quickly Reverse Its Policy Error

United States

iShares Core S&P 500 ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the performance of the S&P 500 Index. It invests in all 500 stocks that  comprise the index. The ETF holds predominantly large-cap stocks from U.S. companies. It weights the holdings using a market capitalization methodology and rebalances quarterly.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

iShares Core S&P 500 ETF (IVV US)

Oversold Bounce Underway Amid Consolidation Phase; Buys in IT Consulting, Uranium, Technology

Our 8/22 expectations for oversold bounce coming to fruition as major multi-month supports hold $SPX $DJI $XLK $ACWI, & Treasury yields $TNX $TYX...

Vermilion Research

SPY: Moderate Gains In Store?

The SPDR® S&P 500 ETF Trust is primed to receive support from lower implied risk premiums amid an interest rate slowdown from the Federal Reserve.

Pearl Gray Equity and Research

Postcard from HK <> SG | "The Frog in the Well"

Engaged in valuable interactions with analysts and portfolio managers with an objective to understand views on India & grasp regional markets.

Pranav Bhavsar

GMO Q2 2022 Quarterly Letter

Equity investors in countries with overvalued currencies have two ways to lose and those with undervalued currencies have two ways to win. Today’s...

Fund Newsletters

Tight Labour Market Obliges the Fed to Quickly Reverse Its Policy Error

75bp hike & Powell's commitment to fight inflationary expectations should take FF rate to 3% by Sep'22. A shallow recession likely by Mar'24, but...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)