Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK)</a> is looking to raise up to HK$4.07bn (US$521m) in its IPO by selling 197.6m shares at HK$20.6/share, valuing the company at HK$24.67bn (US$3.16bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-xdc-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39917:1" rel="noopener">WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK)</a> will not get Fast Entry to any indices but should be added to the HSCI and to Southbound Stock Connect in March.</li>
<li>Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion starting in September 2024.</li>
</ul>



WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK) is looking to raise up to HK$4.07bn (US$521m) in its IPO by selling 197.6m shares at HK$20.6/share, valuing the company at HK$24.67bn (US$3.16bn).

WuXi XDC Cayman (1877628D HK) will not get Fast Entry to any indices but should be added to the HSCI and to Southbound Stock Connect in March.
Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion starting in September 2024.


WuXi XDC (2268 HK): Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36929:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW US)</a>/ <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/light-wonder-inc-7e7d040f-e811-4fb9-9710-796a39af299e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40171:1" rel="noopener">Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU)</a> replaced <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a> in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-p-asx-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22901:1" rel="noopener">S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX)</a> last week.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> stops trading this week and should be replaced by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> CDIs in the ASX indices.</li>
<li>Another week of ETF outflows for China with the largest outflows from trackers benchmarked to the CSI 1000 Index.</li>
</ul>



Light &amp; Wonder (LNW US)/ Light &amp; Wonder (LNW AU) replaced United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU) in the S&amp;P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) last week.

Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) stops trading this week and should be replaced by Newmont Mining (NEM US) CDIs in the ASX indices.
Another week of ETF outflows for China with the largest outflows from trackers benchmarked to the CSI 1000 Index.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, Liontown, J&T Express, JP/IN Positioning, IndusInd Bank

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a> is looking to raise HK$3.92bn (US$501m) in its IPO by selling 326.55m shares at HK$12/share, valuing the company at HK$105.75bn (US$13.52bn).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/j-t-global-express-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36819:1" rel="noopener">J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH)</a> will not get Fast Entry to any indices but should be added to the HSCI in March. Inclusion to Southbound Stock Connect will take longer.</li>
<li>Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion in September 2024. </li>
</ul>



J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH) is looking to raise HK$3.92bn (US$501m) in its IPO by selling 326.55m shares at HK$12/share, valuing the company at HK$105.75bn (US$13.52bn).

J&amp;T Global Express (1936374D CH) will not get Fast Entry to any indices but should be added to the HSCI in March. Inclusion to Southbound Stock Connect will take longer.
Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion in September 2024. 


J&T Global Express (1519 HK): Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

Cheng Shin Rubber Ind Co., Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> rebalance was implemented last week and there were interesting moves at the close on implementation day.</li>
<li>The focus this week will be on pre-positioning for a global index rebalance where the review period commences next week.</li>
<li>Units outstanding on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets-223f5da3-7054-4e4f-bc55-b7f0852c2581" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31998:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US)</a> are at a new high while there continue to be redemptions in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-msci-emerging-markets" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:438:1" rel="noopener">iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US)</a>. </li>
</ul>


The Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) rebalance was implemented last week and there were interesting moves at the close on implementation day.
The focus this week will be on pre-positioning for a global index rebalance where the review period commences next week.
Units outstanding on iShares Emerging Markets (EMXC US) are at a new high while there continue to be redemptions in iShares Emerging Markets (EEM US). 


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Taiwan Div+, Nifty50, Cainiao IPO, Delta Electronics

Cainiao Smart Logistics Network / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK)</a> has filed an application proof to list on the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a> and could raise US$1bn at a valuation between US$15bn-20bn.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cainiao-smart-logistics-network-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36859:1" rel="noopener">Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK)</a> could get Fast Entry to the HSCI and be included in Southbound Stock Connect once the price stabilisation period is complete.</li>
<li>Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion in June. Earlier inclusion will depend on the IPO timing, size and allocation to strategic/cornerstone investors.</li>
</ul>



Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) has filed an application proof to list on the HKEX (388 HK) and could raise US$1bn at a valuation between US$15bn-20bn.

Cainiao Smart Logistics (1437124D HK) could get Fast Entry to the HSCI and be included in Southbound Stock Connect once the price stabilisation period is complete.
Inclusion in other indices will take longer with the highest probability of index inclusion in June. Earlier inclusion will depend on the IPO timing, size and allocation to strategic/cornerstone investors.


China

iShares China Large-Cap ETF is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the FTSE China 50 Index, investing in large cap stocks. Its investments are focused in the financial, oil and gas, technology and communications sectors. The ETF uses a representative sampling indexing strategy, investing at least 90% of its assets in the securities of the underlying index.

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iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)

WuXi XDC (2268 HK): Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

WuXi XDC is looking to raise up to US$521m in its IPO. A large chunk is being taken by cornerstone investors. HSCI and Stock Connect inclusion...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: NKY, ASX, Liontown, J&T Express, JP/IN Positioning, IndusInd Bank

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

J&T Global Express (1519 HK): Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

J&T Global Express is looking to raise HK$3.92bn (US$501m) in its IPO, valuing the company at HK$105.75bn (US$13.52bn). HSCI inclusion should be in...

Brian Freitas

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: Taiwan Div+, Nifty50, Cainiao IPO, Delta Electronics

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Cainiao IPO: Index Inclusion Timeline

Cainiao has filed an application proof and could list later this year/early next yr. HSCI Fast Entry and addition to Stock Connect possible soon...

Brian Freitas

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

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