Blue Lotus Non US Internet research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Ying Pan

Blue Lotus Non US Internet research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) </li>
<li>However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;</li>
<li>We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.</li>
</ul>


We view both Weixin Video Account (WVA) and Douyin China as secondary assets to their respective parents, which in our view, may lead to them forming...(TBC) 
However, rising competition in the short-play (短剧) market may put the two businesses in more direct confrontation, which may delay or diminish the chance for two to work together;
We view Tencent as the likely winner in the continuing evolution of short video as it considers various options to maximize the value of WVA traffic.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Atour Lifestyle Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atour-lifestyle-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33481:1" rel="noopener">Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US)</a>, is looking to raise around US$124m through a secondary selldown. </li>
<li>The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 22.6 days of three month ADV and 5.5% of current mcap.  </li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.</li>
</ul>


Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US), is looking to raise around US$124m through a secondary selldown. 
The deal is a large one to digest, at approximately 22.6 days of three month ADV and 5.5% of current mcap.  
In this note, we will talk about the placement and run the deal through our ECM framework.


Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

<ul>
<li>Trip.com's domestic hotel bookings increased by 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19.</li>
<li>Xiaomi's revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters.</li>
<li>China home appliance export surged in October, for example, fridge export amount growing by 42% YoY.</li>
</ul>


Trip.com's domestic hotel bookings increased by 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19.
Xiaomi's revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters.
China home appliance export surged in October, for example, fridge export amount growing by 42% YoY.


China Consumption Weekly (27 Nov 2023): Trip.com, Xiaomi, IQiyi, Full Truck, Home Appliance Export

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vertex-technology-acquisition-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35394:1" rel="noopener">Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP)</a> agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with 17LIVE, the top pure-play live streaming platform (by revenue) in Japan and Taiwan combined.</li>
<li>Industry data and the financials suggest that 17LIVE does not have a sustainable competitive advantage to translate its position into high earnings quality. </li>
<li>The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million (US$682.2 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this consideration is full.</li>
</ul>



Vertex Technology Acquisition Corporation (VTAC SP) agreed to a De-SPAC transaction with 17LIVE, the top pure-play live streaming platform (by revenue) in Japan and Taiwan combined.
Industry data and the financials suggest that 17LIVE does not have a sustainable competitive advantage to translate its position into high earnings quality. 
The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million (US$682.2 million). Our valuation analysis suggests that this consideration is full.


Vertex Technology Acquisition (VTAC SP)/17LIVE: Turn Off

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Blue Lotus expects Huawei’s smartphone shipment market share to grow 5ppt in 2024, of which 2ppt from Apple and 1.5ppt from Honor;</li>
<li>The impacts are mainly two: (1) Huawei Appstore’s unique revenue share for games and apps, (2) Opportunity to recommend new games and apps through preinstallation;</li>
<li>We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in iQIYI.</li>
</ul>


Blue Lotus expects Huawei’s smartphone shipment market share to grow 5ppt in 2024, of which 2ppt from Apple and 1.5ppt from Honor;
The impacts are mainly two: (1) Huawei Appstore’s unique revenue share for games and apps, (2) Opportunity to recommend new games and apps through preinstallation;
We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in iQIYI.


[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: What Change Can Mate 60 Bring to Games and Apps

China

iQIYI, Inc. offers video entertainment services. The Company provides movies, television dramas, variety shows, and other video contents. iQIYI offers services worldwide.

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iQIYI Inc (IQ US)

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US) , is looking to raise around US$124m through a...

Ethan Aw

China Consumption Weekly (27 Nov 2023): Trip.com, Xiaomi, IQiyi, Full Truck, Home Appliance Export

Trip.com’s domestic hotel bookings increased 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19. Xiaomi’s revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters....

Ming Lu

Vertex Technology Acquisition (VTAC SP)/17LIVE: Turn Off

Industry data and the financials suggest caution is warranted. The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million...

Arun George

[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: What Change Can Mate 60 Bring to Games and Apps

We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: Latest Developments in Short Video Point to Possibilities

​The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Atour Lifestyle Holdings Placement - Coming Back for Round Two This Year

Legend Capital (LC), one of the principal shareholders of Atour Lifestyle Holdings (ATAT US) , is looking to raise around US$124m through a...

Ethan Aw

China Consumption Weekly (27 Nov 2023): Trip.com, Xiaomi, IQiyi, Full Truck, Home Appliance Export

Trip.com’s domestic hotel bookings increased 70% over pre-COVID 3Q19. Xiaomi’s revenue began to grow in 3Q23 after decreasing for five quarters....

Ming Lu

Vertex Technology Acquisition (VTAC SP)/17LIVE: Turn Off

Industry data and the financials suggest caution is warranted. The purchase consideration of 17LIVE in the De-SPAC transaction is S$925.1 million...

Arun George

[Blue Lotus Entertainment Sector Update]: What Change Can Mate 60 Bring to Games and Apps

We see the biggest positive impact on subscription-based video apps and the biggest negative impact on mobile games. We reiterate our Top Pick in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

The competition in the short-play market may hinder the collaboration between Weixin Video Account and Douyin China, but Tencent is expected to...