Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li><a href="https://www.reuters.com/technology/us-curbs-chip-tools-china-nearly-finalized-posting-2023-10-05/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Reuters</a> reported on Monday that a new round of export controls just hit the Office of Management and Budget office.</li><li>That means it’s already been finalized by the Departments of State, Defense, Commerce, and Energy.</li><li>We are almost at the one-year anniversary of the October 7th export controls that tanked semiconductor stocks last year; this time, the stocks are looking way more sanguine.</li></ul>

Reuters reported on Monday that a new round of export controls just hit the Office of Management and Budget office.That means it’s already been finalized by the Departments of State, Defense, Commerce, and Energy.We are almost at the one-year anniversary of the October 7th export controls that tanked semiconductor stocks last year; this time, the stocks are looking way more sanguine.

October Restrictions, AEHR Earnings, TSMC Monthly Revenue, and Intel's PSG Spin

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>TSMC reported revenues for September 2023 of ~NT$180.43 billion, a decrease of 4.4% MoM and a decrease of 13.4 % YoY.</li>
<li>Intel announces intent to spin out its Altera division, its latest endeavour to unlock greater shareholder value</li>
<li>Anthropic seeks yet further billions in funding after just closing an AWS deal worth up to $4 billion</li>
</ul>


TSMC reported revenues for September 2023 of ~NT$180.43 billion, a decrease of 4.4% MoM and a decrease of 13.4 % YoY.
Intel announces intent to spin out its Altera division, its latest endeavour to unlock greater shareholder value
Anthropic seeks yet further billions in funding after just closing an AWS deal worth up to $4 billion


Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @7/10/23

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Kokusai Electric  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations.


Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kokusai-electric-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40152:1" rel="noopener">Kokusai Electric (6525 JP)</a> (KE) in its Japan IPO.</li>
<li>KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.</li>
<li>In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>


KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO.
KE main business activities consist of the manufacturing, sales and maintenance service of semiconductor manufacturing equipment.
In our previous notes we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we will undertake a peer comparison.


Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) / Equity Bottom-Up

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

<ul>
<li>The latest Mate 60 Kirin SOC is a major accomplishment for the Huawei, SMIC combo</li>
<li>SMIC will likely continue to refine their N+2 node and develop a 5nm-like process within 2-3 years, even without the use of EUV</li>
<li>SMIC's accomplishment is not reflected in its share price which lies midways between 52 week highs &amp; lows</li>
</ul>


The latest Mate 60 Kirin SOC is a major accomplishment for the Huawei, SMIC combo
SMIC will likely continue to refine their N+2 node and develop a 5nm-like process within 2-3 years, even without the use of EUV
SMIC's accomplishment is not reflected in its share price which lies midways between 52 week highs &amp; lows


United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

October Restrictions, AEHR Earnings, TSMC Monthly Revenue, and Intel's PSG Spin

October restrictions redux, Intel's PSG is worth $4-5 a share, and AEHR has a blowup quarter. Reuters reported on Monday that a new round of export...

Fabricated Knowledge

Semiconductor Events Deserving Your Attention @7/10/23

TSMC revenues for September 2023 ~NT$180.43 billion, a decrease of 4.4% MoM and a decrease of 13.4 % YoY. Intel announces intent to spin out its...

William Keating

Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation

KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO. In this note we talk about valuations.

Sumeet Singh

Kokusai Electric Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

KKR is looking to raise around US$750m via selling a stake in Kokusai Electric (6525 JP) (KE) in its Japan IPO. In this note we undertake a peer...

Sumeet Singh

SMIC's Semi Shocker

SMIC will likely continue to refine their N+2 node and develop a 5nm-like process within 2-3 years, even without the use of EUV. The implications...

William Keating

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