IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>’s pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is conditional on several regulatory approvals, notably China SAMR approval. JIC can waive the conditions precedent.</li>
<li>A takeaway from the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/broadcom-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:998:1" rel="noopener">Broadcom (AVGO US)</a>/<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vmware-inc-class-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:756:1" rel="noopener">VMware Inc Class A (VMW US)</a> SAMR clearance is that if JIC is willing to commit to restrictive conditions, SAMR approval can be obtained.</li>
<li>On 6 November, JSR reiterated a late December tender start. However, with time fast running out, the likely scenario is SAMR conditional approval with a delayed tender start.</li>
</ul>



JSR Corp (4185 JP)’s pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is conditional on several regulatory approvals, notably China SAMR approval. JIC can waive the conditions precedent.
A takeaway from the Broadcom (AVGO US)/VMware Inc Class A (VMW US) SAMR clearance is that if JIC is willing to commit to restrictive conditions, SAMR approval can be obtained.
On 6 November, JSR reiterated a late December tender start. However, with time fast running out, the likely scenario is SAMR conditional approval with a delayed tender start.


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Risk/Reward as SAMR Approves Broadcom/VMware

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>'s pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is JPY4,350 per share. Since the deal announcement on 26 June, the gross spread has averaged 6.4%.</li>
<li>The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly in China. JIC, unusually can waive all or part of the conditions precedent.</li>
<li>The wild card is geopolitical developments. There are three China approval scenarios. The likely scenario is the deal approval under a normal procedure with a delay to the tender start.</li>
</ul>



JSR Corp (4185 JP)'s pre-conditional tender offer from JIC is JPY4,350 per share. Since the deal announcement on 26 June, the gross spread has averaged 6.4%.
The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly in China. JIC, unusually can waive all or part of the conditions precedent.
The wild card is geopolitical developments. There are three China approval scenarios. The likely scenario is the deal approval under a normal procedure with a delay to the tender start.


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> has recommended JIC’s pre-conditional tender offer of JPY4,350 per share, a 34.5% and 10.6% premium to the undisturbed price and last close, respectively.</li>
<li>The pre-conditions relate to various country approvals. China's approval should be challenging due to Japan’s recent curbs on Chinese exports of chipmaking equipment.</li>
<li>The offer is long-dated and opens in late December. The offer price is attractive compared to peer multiples and just a touch below the all-time share price high.</li>
</ul>



JSR Corp (4185 JP) has recommended JIC’s pre-conditional tender offer of JPY4,350 per share, a 34.5% and 10.6% premium to the undisturbed price and last close, respectively.
The pre-conditions relate to various country approvals. China's approval should be challenging due to Japan’s recent curbs on Chinese exports of chipmaking equipment.
The offer is long-dated and opens in late December. The offer price is attractive compared to peer multiples and just a touch below the all-time share price high.


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY4,350

<ul>
<li>Nikkei <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/Business-deals/Japan-state-backed-fund-looks-to-buy-top-photoresist-maker-JSR" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reports</a> that Japan Investment Corporation (JIC) is in talks to acquire <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> for around JPY1 trillion (US$7 billion) through a tender offer.</li>
<li>JSR responded, "No decision has been made at this moment, although JSR is considering this matter.” The Board will discuss the proposal on Monday.</li>
<li>Minorities will be supportive as the JPY1 trillion valuation implies a tender price of JPY4,850 per share, a 50% premium to the last close and an all-time share price high.   </li>
</ul>


Nikkei reports that Japan Investment Corporation (JIC) is in talks to acquire JSR Corp (4185 JP) for around JPY1 trillion (US$7 billion) through a tender offer.
JSR responded, "No decision has been made at this moment, although JSR is considering this matter.” The Board will discuss the proposal on Monday.
Minorities will be supportive as the JPY1 trillion valuation implies a tender price of JPY4,850 per share, a 50% premium to the last close and an all-time share price high.   


JSR Corporation (4185 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer Looming?

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the June 2021 review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kosdaq-150-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31077:1" rel="noopener">KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)</a>  in May with the changes becoming effective after the close of trading on 10 June.We see 14 potential changes to the index in the June review and we are less than a third of the way through the review period. The end of the short sell ban in March could bring a lot more changes to the index.The potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesna-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8792:1" rel="noopener">Tesna Inc (131970 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/unison-co-ltd-south-korea" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18617:1" rel="noopener">Unison Co Ltd (018000 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tse-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17821:1" rel="noopener">Tse Co Ltd (131290 KS)</a>, ABPro Bio (195990 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/icure-pharm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27142:1" rel="noopener">Icure Pharm Inc (175250 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sam-kang-m-t-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:7263:1" rel="noopener">Sam Kang M&amp;T (100090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/simmtech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28871:1" rel="noopener">SIMMTECH Co Ltd (222800 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/binex-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1949:1" rel="noopener">Binex Co Ltd (053030 KS)</a>, Vaxcell Bio (323990 KS), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kmh-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18525:1" rel="noopener">Kmh Co Ltd (122450 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/solid-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14701:1" rel="noopener">Solid Inc (050890 KS)</a>, PSK Inc (319660 KS), AJu IB Investment (027360 KS) and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kpm-tech-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15948:1" rel="noopener">Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS)</a>. The potential exclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stcube" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4872:1" rel="noopener">Stcube (052020 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/daea-ti-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1473:1" rel="noopener">Daea Ti Co Ltd (045390 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/spigen-korea-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:9852:1" rel="noopener">Spigen Korea (192440 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jusung-engineering-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12277:1" rel="noopener">Jusung Engineering (036930 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/advanced-process-systems-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24087:1" rel="noopener">Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/saraminhr-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8494:1" rel="noopener">Saraminhr (143240 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vt-gmp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8056:1" rel="noopener">Gmp Co Ltd (018290 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/iriver-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13005:1" rel="noopener">Iriver Ltd (060570 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/innox-advanced-materials-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24223:1" rel="noopener">Innox Advanced Materials Co,Ltd. (272290 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ebest-investment-securitie" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18895:1" rel="noopener">Ebest Investment &amp; Securitie (078020 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sangsangin-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10494:1" rel="noopener">Sangsangin Co., Ltd. (038540 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinheung-sec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24426:1" rel="noopener">Shin Heung Energy &amp; Electronics Co (243840 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/neopharm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10273:1" rel="noopener">Neopharm Co Ltd (092730 KS)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hlscience-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23629:1" rel="noopener">HLSCIENCE Co. (239610 KS)</a>.One-way turnover is estimated at 5.44%. While the impact of passive funds is not high on the expected inclusions, the impact on the expected exclusions is much higher.

The Korea Exchange (KRX) will announce the results of the June 2021 review of the KOSDAQ 150 Index (KOSDQ150 INDEX)  in May with the changes becoming effective after the close of trading on 10 June.We see 14 potential changes to the index in the June review and we are less than a third of the way through the review period. The end of the short sell ban in March could bring a lot more changes to the index.The potential inclusions are Tesna Inc (131970 KS), Unison Co Ltd (018000 KS), Tse Co Ltd (131290 KS), ABPro Bio (195990 KS), Icure Pharm Inc (175250 KS), Sam Kang M&amp;T (100090 KS), SIMMTECH Co Ltd (222800 KS), Binex Co Ltd (053030 KS), Vaxcell Bio (323990 KS), Kmh Co Ltd (122450 KS), Solid Inc (050890 KS), PSK Inc (319660 KS), AJu IB Investment (027360 KS) and Kpm Tech Co Ltd (042040 KS). The potential exclusions are Stcube (052020 KS), Daea Ti Co Ltd (045390 KS), Spigen Korea (192440 KS), Jusung Engineering (036930 KS), Advanced Process Systems (265520 KS), Saraminhr (143240 KS), Gmp Co Ltd (018290 KS), Iriver Ltd (060570 KS), Innox Advanced Materials Co,Ltd. (272290 KS), Ebest Investment &amp; Securitie (078020 KS), Sangsangin Co., Ltd. (038540 KS), Shin Heung Energy &amp; Electronics Co (243840 KS), Neopharm Co Ltd (092730 KS) and HLSCIENCE Co. (239610 KS).One-way turnover is estimated at 5.44%. While the impact of passive funds is not high on the expected inclusions, the impact on the expected exclusions is much higher.

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes Expected Already; More to Come

South Korea

Innox Advanced Materials Co.,Ltd. operates as an IT material company. The Company manufactures semiconductor PKG material, flexible circuit board material, and OLED material. Innox Advanced Materials develops material used for smartphones, tablets, laptops, and vehicles.

Innox Advanced Materials Co,Ltd. (272290 KS)

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Innox Advanced Materials Co,Ltd. (272290 KS)

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Risk/Reward as SAMR Approves Broadcom/VMware

JSR has postponed the tender start date from late December to late February 2024 (at the earliest) due to additional time required for SAMR...

Arun George

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly in China. In this note, we...

Arun George

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY4,350

The offer is long-dated and opens in late December. The offer price is attractive. Pre-conditions which require various country approvals are a risk.

Arun George

JSR Corporation (4185 JP): JIC’s Tender Offer Looming?

Nikkei reports the JIC is in talks to acquire JSR for around JPY1 trillion. The rumoured offer implies a 50% premium to the last close and an all...

Arun George

KOSDAQ150 Index Rebalance Preview: Lots of Changes Expected Already; More to Come

Less than a third of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential inclusions and exclusions from the KOSDAQ150 index. The resumption of...

Brian Freitas

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