Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Last Week in Event SPACE: Haier, Tokyo Dome, Cowell, Infratil, Link Admin, Sapporo/Asahi, Mcdonald's

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A day after <a href="http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-website-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/attachments/IFT/364532/336831.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announcing</a> a strategic review of its 65.5% shareholding in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tilt-renewables-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24371:1" rel="noopener">Tilt Renewables (TLT NZ)</a>, renewable energy specialist <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infratil-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:596:1" rel="noopener">Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ)</a> has received a non-binding Offer, by way of Scheme, from AustralianSuper, Australia's largest superannuation fund.
The NZ$7.43/share Offer is a 22.2% premium to Infratil's last close, and a lifetime high.
The proposal includes a cash consideration of NZ$5.79/share and the distribution of 0.22 shares of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/trustpower-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11489:1" rel="noopener">Trustpower Ltd (TPW NZ)</a>, in which Infratil is a 50.76% shareholder, for each Infratil share.
The stakes in TPW and TLT are both worth ~NZ$1.2bn each - together accounting for 54% of Infratil's market cap.
The Offer values Infratil at NZ$5.4bn. In its June <a href="http://nzx-prod-s7fsd7f98s.s3-website-ap-southeast-2.amazonaws.com/attachments/IFT/354332/324068.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">presentation booklet</a> accompanying a NZ$300mn capital raising, Infratil assessed a fair value for its investments at between NZ$5.67bn-NZ$6.3bn. That placement was done at NZ$4.76/share, an 8% discount to last close. 
More below the fold.
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A day after announcing a strategic review of its 65.5% shareholding in Tilt Renewables (TLT NZ), renewable energy specialist Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ) has received a non-binding Offer, by way of Scheme, from AustralianSuper, Australia's largest superannuation fund.
The NZ$7.43/share Offer is a 22.2% premium to Infratil's last close, and a lifetime high.
The proposal includes a cash consideration of NZ$5.79/share and the distribution of 0.22 shares of Trustpower Ltd (TPW NZ), in which Infratil is a 50.76% shareholder, for each Infratil share.
The stakes in TPW and TLT are both worth ~NZ$1.2bn each - together accounting for 54% of Infratil's market cap.
The Offer values Infratil at NZ$5.4bn. In its June presentation booklet accompanying a NZ$300mn capital raising, Infratil assessed a fair value for its investments at between NZ$5.67bn-NZ$6.3bn. That placement was done at NZ$4.76/share, an 8% discount to last close. 
More below the fold.





Infratil (IFT NZ): Big Super's Infrastructure Grab

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

We continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, &amp; EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish.  In this report we show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, but still have plenty of attractive stocks. The stocks highlighted hail from a variety of countries. Sectors covered include Services, Communications, Staples, Financials, and Utilities.

We continue to be encouraged by market dynamics that are supportive of an ongoing equity bull market. Additionally, there continues to be an absence of breakdowns on the major global indexes (MSCI ACWI, ACWI ex-US, EM, &amp; EAFE). As a result, our outlook remains bullish.  In this report we show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, but still have plenty of attractive stocks. The stocks highlighted hail from a variety of countries. Sectors covered include Services, Communications, Staples, Financials, and Utilities.

Global Equity Strategy: Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infratil-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:596:1" rel="noopener">Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ)</a> is looking to raise US$197m (A$300m) in its fully underwritten institutional placement to strengthen its balance sheet.In this note, we will look at the placement details, impact of the equity raise, and pipeline assets. We will also run the deal through our framework.

Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ) is looking to raise US$197m (A$300m) in its fully underwritten institutional placement to strengthen its balance sheet.In this note, we will look at the placement details, impact of the equity raise, and pipeline assets. We will also run the deal through our framework. 

Infratil Placement - Better Balance Sheet Flexibility with Focus on Existing Assets

Leading Independent Investment Research, Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar

Leading Independent Investment Research

Morningstar, Inc.

Morningstar, Inc. is a leading provider of independent investment research in North America, Europe, Australia, and Asia. We offer an extensive line of products and services for individual investors, financial advisors, asset managers, and retirement plan providers and sponsors. 

Morningstar provides data on more than 500,000 investment offerings, including stocks, mutual funds, and similar vehicles, along with real-time global market data on more than 16 million equities, indexes, futures, options, commodities, and precious metals, in addition to foreign exchange and Treasury markets. Morningstar also offers investment management services through its investment advisory subsidiaries, with more than $180 billion in assets under advisement or management as of June 30, 2015. We have operations in 27 countries.

Download the Morningstar Fact Sheet : http://corporate.morningstar.com/US/documents/MarketingFactSheets/AboutMorningstarFactsheet.pdf

Equity Bottom-Up

Infratil sold its 20% stake in Metlifecare for NZD 238 million, booking a tidy profit of around NZD 90 million (NZD 16 cents per share) and collecting dividends along the way. All up, the firm made 15% per year since buying the stake in October 2013, an excellent return. While positive on the outlook for the retirement sector, we're happy to see the firm free up more capital to invest in its core businesses.We adjust our forecasts but maintain our NZD 3.30 per share fair value estimate. At the current stock price of NZD 3.00, Infratil is modestly undervalued. There is no change to the firm's narrow economic moat rating, which is underpinned by investments in good-quality underlying assets.Analysts: Adrian Atkins and Daniel Ragonese

Infratil sold its 20% stake in Metlifecare for NZD 238 million, booking a tidy profit of around NZD 90 million (NZD 16 cents per share) and collecting dividends along the way. All up, the firm made 15% per year since buying the stake in October 2013, an excellent return. While positive on the outlook for the retirement sector, we're happy to see the firm free up more capital to invest in its core businesses.We adjust our forecasts but maintain our NZD 3.30 per share fair value estimate. At the current stock price of NZD 3.00, Infratil is modestly undervalued. There is no change to the firm's narrow economic moat rating, which is underpinned by investments in good-quality underlying assets.Analysts: Adrian Atkins and Daniel Ragonese

Infratil Sells Stake in Metlifecare for Tidy Profit

New Zealand

Infratil Limited is an infrastructure investment company. The Company invests in airports, energy such as renewable and waste-energy, and public transportation.

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Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Haier, Tokyo Dome, Cowell, Infratil, Link Admin, Sapporo/Asahi, Mcdonald's

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Infratil (IFT NZ): Big Super's Infrastructure Grab

The Aussie line closed at $6.80 or ~NZ$7.21/share, a 3%/7.5 gross/annualised spread, assuming five months to complete. Get involved around that...

David Blennerhassett

Global Equity Strategy: Market Dynamics Remain Positive, And So Are We

We show some love to various Sectors that have not been big attention-grabbers for us in recent months, including Services, Communications,...

Vermilion Research

Infratil Placement - Better Balance Sheet Flexibility with Focus on Existing Assets

Infratil Ltd (IFT NZ) is looking to raise US$197m (A$300m) in its fully underwritten institutional placement to strengthen its balance sheet.In...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

Infratil Sells Stake in Metlifecare for Tidy Profit

Infratil sold its 20% stake in Metlifecare for NZD 238 million, booking a tidy profit of around NZD 90 million (NZD 16 cents per share) and...

Morningstar, Inc.

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