European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

Groupe Bruxelles Lambert Sa / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.3%; GBL, 32.3%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 7.7%; Investor B, 9.5%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.7%. </li>
<li>The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 16.8%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.</li>
<li>Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have generally tightened during April. Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.3%; GBL, 32.3%; Heineken Holding, 16.4%; Industrivärden C, 7.7%; Investor B, 9.5%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.7%. 
The spread of Rio Tinto DLC tightened to 16.8%. Rio Tinto is a candidate for an Australian top hat structure.
Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’23 Report

<ul>
<li>Since mid-March, spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe (6 have widened, 12 tightened, 1 at same level).</li>
<li>Possible trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs Petrolub, Henkel, Handelsbanken, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
<li>Possible trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Sixt, VW, Danieli, Grifols, Atlas Copco.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-March, spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe (6 have widened, 12 tightened, 1 at same level).
Possible trades long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs Petrolub, Henkel, Handelsbanken, SSAB Svenska Stal.
Possible trades long preferred / short ordinary shares: Sixt, VW, Danieli, Grifols, Atlas Copco.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: April ‘23 Report

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrivarden-ab" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22395:1" rel="noopener">Industrivarden AB (INDUA SS)</a> is resilient: NAV on 31 March was SEK 138.3 billion, or SEK 320/share, an increase q-o-q of SEK 27/share, +9%, with some minor additions to the portfolio.</li>
<li>The balance sheet is strong, with a debt/equities ratio kept at 4%. A+ rating was confirmed on 27 March. 5-year total return was 67.5% vs. 66% for the OMX30.</li>
<li>The discount to NAV of C shares is 8.1% (vs. 10.7% average over the last 8 years). During Q1 the discount has tightened from 13.6% on 31 December.</li>
</ul>



Industrivarden AB (INDUA SS) is resilient: NAV on 31 March was SEK 138.3 billion, or SEK 320/share, an increase q-o-q of SEK 27/share, +9%, with some minor additions to the portfolio.
The balance sheet is strong, with a debt/equities ratio kept at 4%. A+ rating was confirmed on 27 March. 5-year total return was 67.5% vs. 66% for the OMX30.
The discount to NAV of C shares is 8.1% (vs. 10.7% average over the last 8 years). During Q1 the discount has tightened from 13.6% on 31 December.


Industrivärden: Q1 Results and Discount to NAV

<ul>
<li>Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have shown mixed performance during March, with spreads widening until short after the UBS/CS deal, now tightening. </li>
<li>Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.2%; GBL, 35.8%; Heineken Holding, 14.6%; Industrivärden C, 11.1%; Investor B, 9.7%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.6%. The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 18.9%.</li>
<li>Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.</li>
</ul>


Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have shown mixed performance during March, with spreads widening until short after the UBS/CS deal, now tightening. 
Discounts to NAV: C.F.Alba, 51.2%; GBL, 35.8%; Heineken Holding, 14.6%; Industrivärden C, 11.1%; Investor B, 9.7%; Porsche Automobile Holding, 49.6%. The spread of Rio Tinto DLC widened to 18.9%.
Recommended trades: Heineken Holding, Investor AB (long Investor B/short main holdings) and Rio DLC.


Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'23 Report

<ul>
<li>Since mid-February, spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe (9 have widened, 10 tightened, 0 at same level).</li>
<li>Trade preferences long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs Petrolub, Henkel, Handelsbanken, SSAB Svenska Stal.</li>
<li>Trade preferences long preferred / short ordinary shares: Sixt, VW, Danieli, MFE-Media for Europe, Grifols, Atlas Copco, Ericsson.</li>
</ul>


Since mid-February, spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe (9 have widened, 10 tightened, 0 at same level).
Trade preferences long ordinary / short preferred shares: Fuchs Petrolub, Henkel, Handelsbanken, SSAB Svenska Stal.
Trade preferences long preferred / short ordinary shares: Sixt, VW, Danieli, MFE-Media for Europe, Grifols, Atlas Copco, Ericsson.


Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: March ‘23 Report

Sweden

Industrivarden AB is an investment company.  The Company's holdings consists of a portfolio of listed Nordic industrial companies.

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Industrivarden AB (INDUA SS)

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: April’23 Report

Discounts to Net Asset Value of covered holdcos generally tightened during April, although some remained at the same levels. Rio DLC tightened.

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: April ‘23 Report

Since mid-March, spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe (6 have widened, 12 tightened, 1 at same level).

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Industrivärden: Q1 Results and Discount to NAV

I think the relative share price potential is strong across the cycle, especially in difficult market conditions; overall, an appealing investment....

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Selected European HoldCos and DLC: March'23 Report

Discounts to NAV of covered holdcos have shown mixed performance during March, with spreads sharply widening until short after the UBS/CS deal, now...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Liquid Universe of European Ordinary and Preferred Shares: March ‘23 Report

Since mid-February, spreads have generally tightened across our liquid universe (9 have widened, 10 tightened, 0 at same level).

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)