Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.</li>
<li>Following a strong listing, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mankind-pharma-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36389:1" rel="noopener">Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN)</a> should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.</li>
<li>The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.</li>
</ul>


We see 8 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap, 9 stocks moving from LargeCap to MidCap, 9 stocks from SmallCap to MidCap, and 10 stocks from MidCap to SmallCap.
Following a strong listing, Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) should be added to the Large Cap segment of the market in July.
The expected migrations from SmallCap to MidCap have outperformed the other migrations by a huge margin over the last couple of months and there could be profit taking ahead.


AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 indices in the September 2023 rebalance.</li>
<li>A couple of these names could become intra-review additions if the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/housing-development-finance" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:252:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Limited (HDFC IN)</a> - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdfc-bank-ltd-4b6b7a92-9087-468d-9dbe-ab169e77f014" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:558:1" rel="noopener">HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN)</a> Merger closes prior to the September 2023 Rebalance.</li>
<li>Apart from that, there could be five ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 100 index which by definition will also be added/deleted from the NIFTY Next 50 index.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 50 and NIFTY 100 indices in the September 2023 rebalance.
A couple of these names could become intra-review additions if the HDFC Limited (HDFC IN) - HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) Merger closes prior to the September 2023 Rebalance.
Apart from that, there could be five ADDs/DELs for the NIFTY 100 index which by definition will also be added/deleted from the NIFTY Next 50 index.


Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 23: LTIMINDTREE Could Be an Intra-Review NIFTY 50 ADD

<ul>
<li>Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.</li>
<li>Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.</li>
<li>Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.</li>
</ul>


Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, and 9 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa.
Financials are poised to be the biggest gainers in the reshuffle with 6 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and 5 stocks moving from SmallCap to MidCap.
Over the last 6 months, stocks expected to migrate upward have outperformed stocks that are expected to migrate downward., though there has been a downward drift this year.


India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

SBI Sumishin Net Bank  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/life-insurance-corp-of-india" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28829:1" rel="noopener">Life Insurance Corp of India (1248Z IN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> are the big listing still on the anvil.</li>
<li>Placement scene continues to remain quiet, with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ctos-digital-bhd-864e4e66-1924-4eaf-a112-064012e11042" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33776:1" rel="noopener">CTOS Digital Bhd (CTOS MK)</a> being the only large one.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Life Insurance Corp of India (1248Z IN) and SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) are the big listing still on the anvil.
Placement scene continues to remain quiet, with CTOS Digital Bhd (CTOS MK) being the only large one.


ECM Weekly (27th Feb 2022) - LIC, SBI Sumishin, Farm Fresh, Yunkang, Shanghai Pulse, Jinmao, IDP Edu

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

Dayamitra Telekomunikasi PT / Equity Bottom-Up

<div><div id="ember4189"><div>
<div>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-dayamitra-telekomunikasi" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34741:1" rel="noopener">Mitratel (1319Z IJ)</a> is the largest telco tower owner and operator in Indonesia based on the number of telecommunication towers owned as of 30 June 2021, according to Analysys Mason. Mitratel is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/telekomunikasi-indonesia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1051:1" rel="noopener">Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM IJ)</a>.</div>
<div></div>
<div>Mitratel has launched an IPO to raise IDR20.0-24.9 trillion ($1.4-1.8 billion) at the IPO price range of IDR775-975 per share. Bookbuilding will close on 4 November and the shares are set to list on 22 November. </div>
<div></div>
</div></div></div><div>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/mitratel-dayamitra-telekomunikasi-ipo-initiation-control-tower" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:59620" rel="noopener">Mitratel (Dayamitra Telekomunikasi) IPO Initiation: Control Tower</a>, we noted that in comparison to other major regions (US, Western Europe, China and India), the tower industry in Indonesia offers an attractive mix of high EBITDA margin, low capex, no colocation discount and no obligation to provide power in the contract. The tower industry also benefits from predictable revenue due to long-term contracts and high renewal rates. Mitratel's contracted revenue based on agreements with customers for all types of leases is IDR30.7 trillion, and the average remaining life of lease agreements is 6.3 years, as of 30 June 2021. We concluded that Mitratel's fundamentals tick all the right boxes. </p>
<div class="content-highlight"><p>Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Overall, we would participate in the IPO.</p></div>
</div>



Mitratel (1319Z IJ) is the largest telco tower owner and operator in Indonesia based on the number of telecommunication towers owned as of 30 June 2021, according to Analysys Mason. Mitratel is a subsidiary of Telekomunikasi Indonesia (TLKM IJ).

Mitratel has launched an IPO to raise IDR20.0-24.9 trillion ($1.4-1.8 billion) at the IPO price range of IDR775-975 per share. Bookbuilding will close on 4 November and the shares are set to list on 22 November. 


In Mitratel (Dayamitra Telekomunikasi) IPO Initiation: Control Tower, we noted that in comparison to other major regions (US, Western Europe, China and India), the tower industry in Indonesia offers an attractive mix of high EBITDA margin, low capex, no colocation discount and no obligation to provide power in the contract. The tower industry also benefits from predictable revenue due to long-term contracts and high renewal rates. Mitratel's contracted revenue based on agreements with customers for all types of leases is IDR30.7 trillion, and the average remaining life of lease agreements is 6.3 years, as of 30 June 2021. We concluded that Mitratel's fundamentals tick all the right boxes. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Overall, we would participate in the IPO.


Mitratel (Dayamitra Telekomunikasi) IPO: Valuation Insights

India

Tata Communications Limited provides telecommunications services. The Company provides international telephone, telex and telegraphy services, international maritime mobile communications, INTELSAT business service and bureau fax and t-fax services. Tata Communications also provides internet access, electronic mail and electronic data interchange services.

HFCL Ltd provides telecommunication infrastructure construction services. The Company offers optical fiber cables, microwave radios, battery management, and solar solutions. HFCL serves customers in India.

Mahanagar Telephone Nigam Limited operates a telecommunications company, which provides basic phone, Internet and cellular mobile telephony services in Delhi and Mumbai. The Company upgrades the quality of telecom services, expands the telecom network, introduces new services and raises revenue for the telecom development needs of Delhi and Mumbai.

Vodafone Idea Limited operates as a telecom service provider. The Company offers 2G, 3G, and 4G mobile services, as well as mobile payments, advanced enterprise offerings, and entertainment. Vodafone Idea serves customers in India.

Tata Teleservices Maharashtra Ltd has been licensed by the Government of India to create and maintain telephone services in the states of Maharashtra and Goa. The Group utilizes broadband wired and wireless systems to supply broadband, data and Internet services, which encompass interactive video and multimedia feeds, and web based applications.

Tata Teleservices (Maharashtra) (TTLS IN)

Quadrant Televentures Ltd. is a fixed line telecommunication service provider. The Company offers fixed line and mobile telephone service, broadband services, data and other services.

GTL Infrastructure Limited is a shared user infrastructure company. The Company provides passive telecom infrastructure and related network infrastructure for multiple service providers.

Reliance Communications Ltd. offers integrated telephone services. The Company offers fixed line and wireless voice, data and video transmission services, and Internet access.

PVR INOX Limited operates cinemas. The Company owns and manages multiplex movie theaters.

Zee Entertainment Enterprises Limited operates as an entertainment company. The Company produces and develops films, serials, game shows, and children's programs. Zee also produces and exports entertainment software for transmission on its ZEE TV channel. Zee Entertainment Enterprises serves customers in India.

Koninklijke KPN NV provides telecommunications services throughout the Netherlands.  The Company provides local, long distance, international, and mobile telecommunications services, voice-mail, call forwarding, ISDN Internet lines, faxing, and communications services for businesses and individuals.  KPN offers mobile telecommunications through E-Plus in Germany and BASE in Belgium.

Infrastrutture Wireless Italiane S.p.A. operates in the sector of infrastructure for electronic communications. The Company focuses on the constructions of radio transmission infrastructure (towers, trellises and poles), telecommunications and distribution of television and radio signals.

Telenor ASA is an international provider of tele, data and media communication services, and has mobile operations in 13 markets across the Nordic region, Central and Eastern Europe and Asia. The Group also offers fixed telephony, broadband and TV services in the Nordic region.

Telia Company AB offers telecommunication services. The Company offers mobile communications services as well as operates fixed networks throughout Eurasia.

HKT Trust and HKT Ltd trade together as a stapled security.  HKT Ltd provides telecommunications services.  The Company's business provides telecommunications products and services including local telephony services, local data and broadband services, international telecommunications services, and other services.

BT Group plc provides telecommunications services. The Company provides local and long-distance telephone call products and services in the UK, international telephone calls to and from the UK, broadband network solutions and web hosting to corporate customers, network ADSL, ISDN, and IP services to communication companies and narrowband and broadband internet access and related services.

PT Telekomunikasi Indonesia Persero Tbk is a telecommunication company that provides a variety of domestic telecommunications services such as telephone, telex, telegram, satellite, and leased lines services.  The Company also offers electronic mail, mobile communication, and cellular phone services.

KT Corporation provides telecommunication services including local, long distance, and international calling, satellite communication, data transmission, and wireless telephone services in South Korea.  The Company also offers network portal and high-speed Internet access services using asymmetric digital subscriber lines (ADSLs).

Telefonica Deutschland Holding AG provides telecommunications services in Germany. The Company offers fixed-line and mobile telephone, Internet, and data transmission services to residential and corporate customers.

Hellenic Telecommunications Organization S.A. (OTE S.A.) provides telecommunications services. The Company offers fixed-line television and mobile telecommunication services including voice, broadband, data and leased lines. OTE S.A. serves the audio-visual, communications, industrial, and residential industries as well as public customers.

Indus Towers Limited is a telecommunication infrastructure company. The company operates and provides telecommunication tower and related infrastructure services in India. Indus Towers serves customers in India.

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Indus Towers (INDUSTOW IN)

AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023): Significant Outperformance

With the review period nearing completion, there are a lot of migrations between size segments. SmallCap to MidCap migrations have outperformed....

Brian Freitas

Quiddity Leaderboard NIFTY Sep 23: LTIMINDTREE Could Be an Intra-Review NIFTY 50 ADD

LTIMindtree is currently the highest-ranked NIFTY 50 Potential ADD and is likely to be the favourite to replace HDFC in the NIFTY 50 index if the...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

India: AMFI Stock Reclassification Preview (June 2023)

Nearly halfway through the review period, we see 10 stocks moving from MidCap to LargeCap and vice versa, 9 from SmallCap to MidCap and vice versa....

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (27th Feb 2022) - LIC, SBI Sumishin, Farm Fresh, Yunkang, Shanghai Pulse, Jinmao, IDP Edu

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Mitratel (Dayamitra Telekomunikasi) IPO: Valuation Insights

Mitratel has launched an IPO to raise $1.4-1.8 billion. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is attractive. Overall, we would...

Arun George

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