Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of February, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in February was ~36%.</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of February, 12 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$16bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in February was ~36%.
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 33%, 31%, and 31.5% respectively.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sbi-sumishin-net-bank" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34572:1" rel="noopener">SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP)</a> is likely to be a hot IPO. One small problem is the lack of dividends. </li>
<li>Andrew Forrest's Wyloo Metals pivots to a back-end JV with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a> after recently paying through terms on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a> enters into a Scheme with Blackstone as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/star-entertainment-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:926:1" rel="noopener">Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU)</a> bows out. </li>
</ul>



SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP) is likely to be a hot IPO. One small problem is the lack of dividends. 
Andrew Forrest's Wyloo Metals pivots to a back-end JV with IGO Ltd (IGO AU) after recently paying through terms on Western Areas (WSA AU).

Crown Resorts (CWN AU) enters into a Scheme with Blackstone as Star Entertainment Group (SGR AU) bows out. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: SBI Sumishin Net Bank, Western Areas, Keisei Electric, Crown Resorts

<ul>
<li>There are currently 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.</li>
<li>One new deal this week: the unconditional Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hock-seng-lee-berhad" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19887:1" rel="noopener">Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK)</a>.</li>
<li>Key updates took place for: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/crown-resorts-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:808:1" rel="noopener">Crown Resorts (CWN AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/australian-pharmaceutical-industries-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19399:1" rel="noopener">Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU)</a>, True/DTAC, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/g-j-steel-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14759:1" rel="noopener">G J Steel PCL (GJS TB)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are currently 43 - mostly firm - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma.
One new deal this week: the unconditional Offer for Hock Seng Lee (HSL MK).
Key updates took place for: Crown Resorts (CWN AU), Western Areas (WSA AU), Australian Pharmaceutical Industries (API AU), True/DTAC, and G J Steel PCL (GJS TB).


Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Crown Resorts, GJ Steel, Western Areas, Aussie Pharma, DTAC/True

<ul>
<li>Andrew Forrest's Wyloo Consolidated, with 9.8% of shares out, will now support the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a> / <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/western-areas-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15497:1" rel="noopener">Western Areas (WSA AU)</a>, just three weeks after paying through terms. </li>
<li>That pledge pivots off a newly-inked side agreement between IGO and Wyloo to jointly evaluate opportunities for nickel downstream processing in Australia.</li>
<li>This removes the immediate prospect of a competing Offer from Wyloo, and in turn, IGO's need to bump terms. Yet <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> still waits in the wings.</li>
</ul>


Andrew Forrest's Wyloo Consolidated, with 9.8% of shares out, will now support the IGO Ltd (IGO AU) / Western Areas (WSA AU), just three weeks after paying through terms. 
That pledge pivots off a newly-inked side agreement between IGO and Wyloo to jointly evaluate opportunities for nickel downstream processing in Australia.
This removes the immediate prospect of a competing Offer from Wyloo, and in turn, IGO's need to bump terms. Yet BHP Group (BHP AU) still waits in the wings.


Investors Caught Out As Twiggy Backs IGO's Offer For Western Areas

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a> declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of JD.com.  That interim dividend is ~ 3.0%. Not phenomenally large, but hints at possibilities to come. </li>
<li>Dye &amp; Durham come over the top with an all-cash bid for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a> as Carlyle remains silent after five weeks of due diligence.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-mobile-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27:1" rel="noopener">China Mobile (941 HK)</a> has priced its A-share IPO at RMB 57.58/share which is slightly disappointing in terms of premium to the H-share.  The "reasoning" is basically hogwash. </li>
</ul>



Tencent (700 HK) declared an interim dividend by way of in-specie distribution of JD.com.  That interim dividend is ~ 3.0%. Not phenomenally large, but hints at possibilities to come. 
Dye &amp; Durham come over the top with an all-cash bid for Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU) as Carlyle remains silent after five weeks of due diligence.

China Mobile (941 HK) has priced its A-share IPO at RMB 57.58/share which is slightly disappointing in terms of premium to the H-share.  The "reasoning" is basically hogwash. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Tencent /JD.com, Link Admin, China Mobile, Sydney Airport, Katakura

Australia

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

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IGO Ltd (IGO AU)

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