Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Recently awarded "Maharatna" status, only 12 companies, FY24 is first full year for this</li>
<li>Growth is steady, with good returns, and major improvement in credit metrics</li>
<li>Its 4.77% dividend yield is incredibly high and about 3x higher than peers</li>
</ul>


Recently awarded "Maharatna" status, only 12 companies, FY24 is first full year for this
Growth is steady, with good returns, and major improvement in credit metrics
Its 4.77% dividend yield is incredibly high and about 3x higher than peers


RECL - Near Insatiable Power Credit Demand, Great NPL Trend, New Maharatna Status, 3x Avg Div Yield

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Axis Direct

Axis Direct

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Axis Direct is the flagship brand under Axis Securities Limited, a subsidiary of Axis Bank in India. 

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

IDFC First Bank Limited / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>IDFCFB reported robust loan growth momentum (up 28% YoY/ 5% QoQ) in Q4FY24 and NII growth of (24% YoY/4% QoQ).</li><li>The NIM contracted 7bps QoQ to 6.35%, largely owing to higher cost of deposits which increased by 7bps QoQ to 6.27%.</li><li>Other Income reported a healthy growth of 17/8% YoY/QoQ, largely led by growth in the fee income from the bank’s retail products. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IDFCFB reported robust loan growth momentum (up 28% YoY/ 5% QoQ) in Q4FY24 and NII growth of (24% YoY/4% QoQ).The NIM contracted 7bps QoQ to 6.35%, largely owing to higher cost of deposits which increased by 7bps QoQ to 6.27%.Other Income reported a healthy growth of 17/8% YoY/QoQ, largely led by growth in the fee income from the bank’s retail products. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IDFC First Bank - Deposit-Led Growth to Be Supported by Operating Leverage Play

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

Artoval Advisors

Art’o’val stands for Art of Valuation. Artoval Advisors LLP is a professionally run advisory firm catering to various financial advisory services including Valuation, Investment Research, Training, Accounting, CFO Services and other ancillary services.

We are passionate about what we do and strongly believe in working with our clients as their extended teams. With Artoval Advisors as their trusted partner, our clients find it easy to achieve efficiency in service delivery without compromising on quality.

True Art of Valuation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idfc-first-bank-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26934:1" rel="noopener">IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN)</a>  management has provided long-term strategic guidance along with its 3Q24 results, which lays down a clear roadmap for the bank's progress.</li>
<li>The latest results are slightly below estimates but the medium-term factors for our thesis haven’t changed – viz. a strong franchise underscored by heavy retail footprint and incrementally improving unit-economics.</li>
<li>We reiterate "Long-term Buy", with 42% upside in near-term, as the bank continues to realize the benefits of its increasing scale on its earnings profile.</li>
</ul>



IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN)  management has provided long-term strategic guidance along with its 3Q24 results, which lays down a clear roadmap for the bank's progress.
The latest results are slightly below estimates but the medium-term factors for our thesis haven’t changed – viz. a strong franchise underscored by heavy retail footprint and incrementally improving unit-economics.
We reiterate "Long-term Buy", with 42% upside in near-term, as the bank continues to realize the benefits of its increasing scale on its earnings profile.


IDFC First Bank (IDFCBK IN): Long-Term Guidance 2.0; Clarity of Thought Is a Source of Comfort

<ul><li>Outlook: Deposit growth is expected to remain healthy and continue to outpace advances growth. This will allow the bank to reduce its C/D ratio.</li><li>Margins are expected to remain stable at current levels. The management will increase interest rates on personal loans as COE has gone up.</li><li>Opex is expected to remain at elevated levels in the near term as the bank is currently building the businesses to sustain for the long term. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Outlook: Deposit growth is expected to remain healthy and continue to outpace advances growth. This will allow the bank to reduce its C/D ratio.Margins are expected to remain stable at current levels. The management will increase interest rates on personal loans as COE has gone up.Opex is expected to remain at elevated levels in the near term as the bank is currently building the businesses to sustain for the long term. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

IDFC First Bank Ltd. - Rationally Optimistic Guidance 2.0 with Operating Leverage Play

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nifty-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23617:1" rel="noopener">NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX)</a> and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nse-nifty-bank-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26811:1" rel="noopener">NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY)</a> reached all-time highs on 26 September 2024 but have since declined.</li>
<li>Most stocks in the Bank Index have fallen below their 200 and 50 day moving average,. Volatilities have gone up, but trade cheap when compared to historical levels.</li>
<li>Opportunities present themselves either in stocks that stayed resilient during the downturn (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/federal-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11784:1" rel="noopener">Federal Bank (FB IN)),</a>or fell and gained in implied volatility. A long-short strategy might also be considered.</li>
</ul>


The NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and the NSE Nifty Bank Index (NSEBANK INDEX EQUITY) reached all-time highs on 26 September 2024 but have since declined.
Most stocks in the Bank Index have fallen below their 200 and 50 day moving average,. Volatilities have gone up, but trade cheap when compared to historical levels.
Opportunities present themselves either in stocks that stayed resilient during the downturn (Federal Bank (FB IN)),or fell and gained in implied volatility. A long-short strategy might also be considered.


EQD | Nifty Banks – Single Stock Options and Relative Value Opportunities

India

IDFC First Bank Limited provides a full range of commercial banking services for retail and institutional customers. The Bank offers fixed deposits, debit cards, savings account, cash management, and other services. IDFC Bank serves its customers in India.

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IDFC First Bank Limited (IDFCBK IN)

RECL - Near Insatiable Power Credit Demand, Great NPL Trend, New Maharatna Status, 3x Avg Div Yield

High demand for power related lending can last for decades, marked improvement in credit metrics, new Maharatna status (only 12 companies have...

Daniel Tabbush

IDFC First Bank - Deposit-Led Growth to Be Supported by Operating Leverage Play

IDFCFB reported robust loan growth momentum (up 28% YoY/ 5% QoQ) in Q4FY24 and NII growth of (24% YoY/4% QoQ). The NIM contracted 7bps QoQ to...

Axis Direct

IDFC First Bank (IDFCBK IN): Long-Term Guidance 2.0; Clarity of Thought Is a Source of Comfort

IDFC First Bank's 5-year guidance, unveiled in the latest results, adds comfort to its potential long-term success story which is already in motion.

Raj S, CA, CFA

IDFC First Bank Ltd. - Rationally Optimistic Guidance 2.0 with Operating Leverage Play

Deposit growth is expected to remain healthy and continue to outpace advances growth. This will allow the bank to reduce its C/D ratio.

Axis Direct

EQD | Nifty Banks – Single Stock Options and Relative Value Opportunities

The NSE Nifty Bank Index hit a record high in September 2024 but has since dropped. Option opportunities are found in resilient or volatile bank...

Gaudenz Schneider

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