IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Shinko Electric Industries / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a>'s pre-conditional tender offer from the JIC alliance is JPY5,920 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 8.3%.</li>
<li>The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly China and shareholder approval, due to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ibiden-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16630:1" rel="noopener">Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)</a>’s re-rating.</li>
<li>Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a> transaction by March is a positive for Shinko's SAMR approval. </li>
</ul>



Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)'s pre-conditional tender offer from the JIC alliance is JPY5,920 per share. Since the deal announcement, the gross spread has averaged 8.3%.
The wide gross spread reflects the risk in satisfying the pre-conditions related to country approvals, particularly China and shareholder approval, due to Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)’s re-rating.
Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the JSR Corp (4185 JP) transaction by March is a positive for Shinko's SAMR approval. 


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>The JIC Deal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> started trading wide when announced five weeks ago. It is still at 9% for perhaps 9 months.</li>
<li>There is FUD. There are Flows. Just like JSR (4185). Some of that FUD can be explained by "gap risk" on deal break.... or can it? We look at risks.</li>
<li>5 weeks ago, there was more positioning risk than fundamental risk. But now main comp Ibiden has outperformed Shinko by 17%. Gap risk is fundamentally lower now. Bump risk exists.</li>
</ul>


The JIC Deal for Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) started trading wide when announced five weeks ago. It is still at 9% for perhaps 9 months.
There is FUD. There are Flows. Just like JSR (4185). Some of that FUD can be explained by "gap risk" on deal break.... or can it? We look at risks.
5 weeks ago, there was more positioning risk than fundamental risk. But now main comp Ibiden has outperformed Shinko by 17%. Gap risk is fundamentally lower now. Bump risk exists.


Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover:  Changing Break/Gap Risk as Comps Gain

<ul>
<li>The JIC Deal for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> has been announced and is, as expected, trading wide. </li>
<li>There is <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jsr-4185-jp-takeover-why-so-wide-fud-and-flows" target="_blank" rel="noopener">FUD</a></strong>. There are <strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jsr-4185-time-to-fight-the-fud" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Flows</a></strong>. Just like JSR (4185). Some of that FUD can be explained by "gap risk" on deal break.... or can it? We look at risks.</li>
<li>There's more positioning risk than fundamental risk at this point. And the FUD and Flows have specific timing in this case which makes thing different than JSR. Worth thinking about.</li>
</ul>


The JIC Deal for Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) has been announced and is, as expected, trading wide. 
There is FUD. There are Flows. Just like JSR (4185). Some of that FUD can be explained by "gap risk" on deal break.... or can it? We look at risks.
There's more positioning risk than fundamental risk at this point. And the FUD and Flows have specific timing in this case which makes thing different than JSR. Worth thinking about.


Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover:  Initial Break/Gap Risk Analysis

<ul>
<li>After months of speculation, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shinko-electric-industries" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15066:1" rel="noopener">Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP)</a> has recommended the JIC alliance’s preconditional tender offer of JPY5,920 per share, an 18.9% premium to the undisturbed price (31 May). </li>
<li>The pre-condition relates to regulatory approvals in Japan, China, Korea, and possibly Vietnam. The offeror may waive the pre-condition. The offer is long-dated and expected to start in August 2024.</li>
<li>The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low 7.1% premium to the last close, the offer resulted from a competing bidding process. </li>
</ul>


After months of speculation, Shinko Electric Industries (6967 JP) has recommended the JIC alliance’s preconditional tender offer of JPY5,920 per share, an 18.9% premium to the undisturbed price (31 May). 
The pre-condition relates to regulatory approvals in Japan, China, Korea, and possibly Vietnam. The offeror may waive the pre-condition. The offer is long-dated and expected to start in August 2024.
The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low 7.1% premium to the last close, the offer resulted from a competing bidding process. 


Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY5,920

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Market Watch: Japanese equities flat over the week. Core inflation exceeds inflation; pressure on BoJ to normalize policy</li>
<li>Major Movers: Fujitsu stock soared by 12% this week; earnings in line; margin improvement in core Japan service solutions business.</li>
<li>Activist Watch: Murakami &amp; co has added another 1-pt to their holding in Ryosan (10.4%)</li>
</ul>


Market Watch: Japanese equities flat over the week. Core inflation exceeds inflation; pressure on BoJ to normalize policy
Major Movers: Fujitsu stock soared by 12% this week; earnings in line; margin improvement in core Japan service solutions business.
Activist Watch: Murakami &amp; co has added another 1-pt to their holding in Ryosan (10.4%)


Japan

Azbil Corporation develops, manufactures, and markets total automation equipment used in industrial and commercial buildings. The Company's products include sensors, switches, recording meters, security systems, air conditioners, pressure transmitters, and flow meters.

Taiyo Yuden Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets electronic components such as, ceramic capacitors, inductors, hybrid integrated circuits (IC), and ferrite. The Company's products include power supplies, inverters, optical disks, filters, coils, and thermistors.

YOKOGAWA ELECTRIC CORPORATION develops, manufactures, and markets information technology (IT) solutions, measuring and control equipment, semiconductors, and electronic components.  The Company's products include IT controllers, flowmeters, pressure transmitters, analyzers, data recorder, switching power supplies, and AC (alternating current) adaptors.

HIROSE ELECTRIC CO., LTD. develops and sells electronic equipment, specializing in connectors.  The Company's products include circular, rectangular and ribbon cables, printed circuit boards, integrated circuits, PC cards, nylon boards, and board connectors.

HAMAMATSU PHOTONICS K.K. manufactures electron tubes, semiconductors, and image processors.  The Company's products include photosensitive electronic tubes, optical/image sensors, X-ray related products, laser related products, photodiodes, light-emitting diodes (LED) and video camera used for measuring equipment.

OMRON Corporation manufactures electronic components, equipment and systems used for factory automation. The Company provides products and services in a variety of fields including industrial automation, electronic components, automotive electronics, social systems such as ticket gate machines and traffic control, and healthcare.

Shimadzu Corporation is a precision tools and equipment maker.  The Company develops, manufactures, and sells analytical and measuring instruments, medical systems, and  aircraft and industrial equipment.  Shimadzu researches, develops, and markets the products through its related companies in Japan, the US, the UK, and China.

YASKAWA Electric Corporation manufactures and markets servomotors, controllers, inverters, and industrial robots.  The Company's products include spindle controllers, computerized numerical control (CNC) systems, and system engineering.

MARUWA CO., LTD. develops, manufactures, and sells electronic ceramic components, resistors, and hybrid integrated circuits (IC).  The Company operates production facilities in Malaysia.

HORIBA, Ltd., manufactures and markets measuring instruments and analyzers.  The Company's main product lines are scientific analyzers, environment monitoring, medical analyzers, engine emission analyzers, and semiconductor test equipment. Horiba operates worldwide.

Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co., Ltd. researches, designs and manufactures security and surveillance equipments. It also modular-designs both hardware and software with flexibility for different configurations, various scales of applications and future expansion.

Jentech Precision Industrial Company Ltd. provides tooling, precision metal stamping, custom insert molding, injection molding, and assembly solutions for medical, consumer electronics, semiconductor, automotive, appliance, and micro electronic markets to a wide variety of industries.

Huagong Tech Co., Ltd. manufactures laser equipment, laser false-proof products, sensitive electronic components, optical telecommunication products, and biopharmaceuticals.  The Company also develops computer software and provides computer system integration services.

Insight Enterprises, Inc. offers information technology hardware, software, and services to large enterprises, small to medium sized businesses, and public sector institutions in North America, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and Asia-Pacific.

FPT Corp is an information and communication technology company. The Company provides services in mobile distribution, systems integration, software outsourcing and development, Internet and e-media content, and computer assembly.

Dolby Laboratories Inc. develops audio signal processing systems for the motion picture, broadcasting, and music recording industries, as well as the consumer market.

Innolux Corporation manufactures TFT-LCD, LCD models and LCD monitors. The company also provides research, development, manufacturing and retails business.

LOTES Co., Ltd specialize in design and manufacture of connectors, CPU Socket, Coolers and Antenna for Notebook Computer, Personal Computer, Mobile electronic device and Ditial Video.

Synnex Technology International Corporation markets personal computers, computer peripherals, multi-media products, network products, computer application software, electronic parts, and telecommunication products.

Synnex Technology International (2347 TT)

Arrow Electronics, Inc. distributes electronic components and computer products to industrial and commercial customers.  The Company distributes a variety of products including computer systems, peripherals, software, and mass storage products to original equipment manufacturers and commercial customers worldwide.

IBIDEN CO, LTD. develops, produces, and markets ceramics, housing materials, and electronics.  The Company's products include printed circuit boards (PCB), graphite specialties, integrated circuit (IC) packages, ceramic fibers, melamine decorative high-pressure laminates, and pre-cut structural materials.

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Ibiden Co Ltd (4062 JP)

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the JSR transaction by March is a positive for...

Arun George

Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover: Changing Break/Gap Risk as Comps Gain

Five weeks ago when the JIC deal was announced, Shinko traded wide. Since then, Shinko is up about 1%, Ibiden is up 17%. The minimal gap risk in...

Travis Lundy

Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover: Initial Break/Gap Risk Analysis

JIC's announced deal for Shinko Electric (6967 JP) is now trading wide, as expected. But the FUD and Flows have a different timeline than JSR's. So...

Travis Lundy

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY5,920

The offer is long-dated. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low premium to the last close, the...

Arun George

Japan Weekly | Fujitsu, Nidec, Ibiden

Japanese equities remain flat as core inflation surpasses inflation, increasing pressure on the Bank of Japan to normalize policy. Fujitsu stock...

Mark Chadwick

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): Tender Offer Risk/Reward

Ibiden’s re-rating is not necessarily an issue. JIC’s confidence in securing SAMR approval for the JSR transaction by March is a positive for...

Arun George

Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover: Changing Break/Gap Risk as Comps Gain

Five weeks ago when the JIC deal was announced, Shinko traded wide. Since then, Shinko is up about 1%, Ibiden is up 17%. The minimal gap risk in...

Travis Lundy

Shinko Electric (6967) Takeover: Initial Break/Gap Risk Analysis

JIC's announced deal for Shinko Electric (6967 JP) is now trading wide, as expected. But the FUD and Flows have a different timeline than JSR's. So...

Travis Lundy

Shinko Electric (6967 JP): JIC’s Pre-Conditional Tender Offer at JPY5,920

The offer is long-dated. The minimum acceptance condition requires a 33.3% minority acceptance rate. Despite the low premium to the last close, the...

Arun George

Japan Weekly | Fujitsu, Nidec, Ibiden

​Japanese equities remain flat as core inflation surpasses inflation, increasing pressure on the Bank of Japan to normalize policy. Fujitsu stock...

Mark Chadwick

Japanese equities remain flat as core inflation surpasses inflation, increasing pressure on the Bank of Japan to normalize policy. Fujitsu stock...