Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

Meritz Fire & Marine Insurance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There is a clear correlation between the resumption of short selling and the overvaluation of stock prices, which was actively reflected when short selling resumed.</li>
<li>So, in this rebalancing as well, we need to target those who have seen a significant share price rise recently while looking at the increasing trend of the loan balance.</li>
<li>The stocks to watch are Meritz Fire and Hana Tour as their recent share price has been the most solid. In particular, Hana Tour is conducting a capital increase.</li>
</ul>


There is a clear correlation between the resumption of short selling and the overvaluation of stock prices, which was actively reflected when short selling resumed.
So, in this rebalancing as well, we need to target those who have seen a significant share price rise recently while looking at the increasing trend of the loan balance.
The stocks to watch are Meritz Fire and Hana Tour as their recent share price has been the most solid. In particular, Hana Tour is conducting a capital increase.


KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Shorting Event for Additions

<ul>
<li>The KOSPI 200 June Review will have a total of 13 float rate changes: 11 increases and 2 reductions.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakaobank-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33501:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Bank (323410)</a> will experience the biggest change, followed by <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hmm-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13494:1" rel="noopener">HMM (011200)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960)</a>. The float rate of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hdc-hyundai-development-co-engineering-construction" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27397:1" rel="noopener">HDC Hyundai Development (294870)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-infracore-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3982:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Infracore (042670)</a> will decrease.</li>
<li>
Kakao Bank and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kakao-pay-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29675:1" rel="noopener">Kakao Pay (377300)</a> have the most significant passive impact. And <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lg-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6653:1" rel="noopener">LG Corp (003550)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/woori-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27995:1" rel="noopener">Woori Financial Group (316140)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/krafton-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28956:1" rel="noopener"> Krafton Inc (259960)</a> are also worth noting.</li>
</ul>


The KOSPI 200 June Review will have a total of 13 float rate changes: 11 increases and 2 reductions.

Kakao Bank (323410) will experience the biggest change, followed by HMM (011200) and  Krafton Inc (259960). The float rate of HDC Hyundai Development (294870) and Doosan Infracore (042670) will decrease.

Kakao Bank and Kakao Pay (377300) have the most significant passive impact. And LG Corp (003550), Woori Financial Group (316140), and  Krafton Inc (259960) are also worth noting.


KOSPI 200 Constituents with a Float Rate Change: 11 Increases & 2 Reductions

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>Kakao Pay's six months end of the lock-up period comes up on 3 May, which could further put negative pressure on its share price. </li>
<li>Other factors including heightened competition, lack of margin improvement in 2021, and lifting nearly all social distancing measures in Korea are likely to further negatively impact Kakao Pay. </li>
<li>We expect additional 20 to 30%+ downside risk for Kakao Pay from current levels over the next 6-12 months. </li>
</ul>


Kakao Pay's six months end of the lock-up period comes up on 3 May, which could further put negative pressure on its share price. 
Other factors including heightened competition, lack of margin improvement in 2021, and lifting nearly all social distancing measures in Korea are likely to further negatively impact Kakao Pay. 
We expect additional 20 to 30%+ downside risk for Kakao Pay from current levels over the next 6-12 months. 


Kakao Pay: End of 6 Months Lock-Up Period Could Further Put Negative Pressure on Share Price

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via a mix of issuing primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.</li>
<li>SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the postive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>


SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via a mix of issuing primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO.
SKS is the security subsidiary of SK Square. It provides security services across four main categories: information security/Cybersecurity, convergence security, physical security, and Safety &amp; Care.
In this note, we will talk about the postive aspects of the deal.


SK Shieldus IPO - The Positives - Decent Growth, Diversifying Its Revenue Base

<ul>
<li>Nine constituents will likely face an increase in the float rate: five stocks for the sale of the majority shareholder's shares and four names for the IPO lockup release.</li>
<li>Kakao Bank (6.35x), LG Corp (003550 KS) (2.62x), Krafton (2.09x), and Woori Financial Group (316140 KS) (1.74x) are expected to have the most significant impact.</li>
<li>In general, float rate changes show price movement by passive flow similar to new changes (adds/deletes). So, we need to consider gradually building up positions two months before the rebalancing.</li>
</ul>


Nine constituents will likely face an increase in the float rate: five stocks for the sale of the majority shareholder's shares and four names for the IPO lockup release.
Kakao Bank (6.35x), LG Corp (003550 KS) (2.62x), Krafton (2.09x), and Woori Financial Group (316140 KS) (1.74x) are expected to have the most significant impact.
In general, float rate changes show price movement by passive flow similar to new changes (adds/deletes). So, we need to consider gradually building up positions two months before the rebalancing.


KOSPI 200 Index Rebalancing: Constituents Subject to Float Rate Increase

South Korea

HD Hyundai Heavy Industries Co., Ltd. operates as a shipbuilding company. The Company provides naval shipbuilding, industrial shipbuilding, crude oil tanker, bulk carrier, container carrier, and other related services. HD Hyundai Heavy Industries also offers offshore and engineering, engine and machinery, offshore, industrial, and marine plant services.

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HD Hyundai Heavy Industries (329180 KS)

KOSPI 200 Rebalancing: Shorting Event for Additions

This post investigates potential shorting opportunities on the new additions at KOSPI 200's upcoming rebalancing in June.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 Constituents with a Float Rate Change: 11 Increases & 2 Reductions

This post summarizes all the KOSPI 200 constituents, which will likely change their respective float rate in the June Review.

Sanghyun Park

SK Shieldus IPO - The Positives - Decent Growth, Diversifying Its Revenue Base

SK Shieldus (SKS) aims to raise around US$800m via a mix of issuing primary and secondary shares in its Korea IPO. In this note, we talk about the...

Sumeet Singh

KOSPI 200 Index Rebalancing: Constituents Subject to Float Rate Increase

This post investigates those among the KOSPI 200 constituents, which will face an increase in the float rate, thereby attracting a meaningful level...

Sanghyun Park

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