Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Jinxin Fertility Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Jinxin Fertility is a leading IVF service provider in China. It has done a series of M&amp;A in the past two years.</li>
<li>We examine the thesis of the company for a trade into 2023.</li>
<li>We believe the company has big potential to realize its synergy post acquisition and ramp up post expansion. More favorable policy to come.</li>
</ul>


Jinxin Fertility is a leading IVF service provider in China. It has done a series of M&amp;A in the past two years.
We examine the thesis of the company for a trade into 2023.
We believe the company has big potential to realize its synergy post acquisition and ramp up post expansion. More favorable policy to come.


Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 30th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in CSPC Pharma, Hygeia, GCL Technology, SHK Properties, Techtronic.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Sep 30th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in CSPC Pharma, Hygeia, GCL Technology, SHK Properties, Techtronic.


HK Short Interest Weekly: CSPC Pharma, Hygeia, GCL Technology, SHK Properties, Techtronic

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Hygeia Healthcare Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hygeia had good performance in 2022H1,mainly because its business layout is mostly in lower-tier cities and its medical services belong to rigid demand. So, the impact of pandemic was limited.</li>
<li>Hygeia is better than Topchoice and Aier Eye Hospital. The business model of specialized hospital is better than that of general hospital. Among for-profit hospitals, we are bullish on Hygeia.</li>
<li>We think Hygeia will keep strong growth momentum in the future due to high demand. But pandemic and policy risk would weigh on valuations/sustainable bullish sentiment. Short-term trades are recommended.</li>
</ul>


Hygeia had good performance in 2022H1,mainly because its business layout is mostly in lower-tier cities and its medical services belong to rigid demand. So, the impact of pandemic was limited.
Hygeia is better than Topchoice and Aier Eye Hospital. The business model of specialized hospital is better than that of general hospital. Among for-profit hospitals, we are bullish on Hygeia.
We think Hygeia will keep strong growth momentum in the future due to high demand. But pandemic and policy risk would weigh on valuations/sustainable bullish sentiment. Short-term trades are recommended.


Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078.HK) 22H1 - The Logic and the Outlook

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.</li>
<li>We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.</li>
<li>All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. </li>
</ul>


NHSA will set aside a certain market to provide space for innovative medical devices/consumables to explore the market in addition to centralized procurement. However, we tend to be cautiously optimistic.
We think it is important to clarify for investors what constitutes "commercialization success" – That is to generate revenue at scale and stable profitability through the sale of drugs.
All the products that covered by VBP begin to lose logic. Don't be fooled by those positive interpretations. We are bearish on the sectors with downward logic in long cycle. 


China Healthcare Weekly(Sep9)-Innovative Device Policy,Commercial Success Definition,Don't Be Fooled

<ul>
<li>The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.</li>
<li>The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.</li>
<li>In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.</li>
</ul>


The Development and Reform Commission of Shenzhen Municipality issued a document about the subsidy for VBP, which is a positive policy and is good for innovation.
The approval of Genuine Biotech’s Azvudine could greatly increase the unpredictability of the approval of domestic innovative drugs, thus greatly increasing the unpredictable risk of domestic innovative drug enterprises.
In terms of internationalization, we summarized what Chinese pharmaceutical companies could do at the current stage. But they are hard to become the mainstream in pharmaceuticals globally in short term.


China Healthcare Weekly (July.29)-Subsidy for VBP, Unpredictable NMPA, Ways for Internationalization

China

Hygeia is a China based oncology healthcare group.

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Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078 HK)

2023 High Conviction: Jinxin Fertility

Jinxin Fertility is a leading IVF service provider in China. It has done a series of M&A in the past two years. We examine the thesis of the...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: CSPC Pharma, Hygeia, GCL Technology, SHK Properties, Techtronic

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position and highlight short interest changes in CSPC Pharma, Hygeia, GCL Technology, SHK...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM