Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Screening US-listed China plays with negative EV and positive tailing EBITDA generates eight names. </li>
<li>Of these companies, only two are expected to be EBITDA positive in FY22. </li>
<li>They are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sohu-com-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22853:1" rel="noopener">Sohu.com (SOHU US)</a>. This insight looks at both names. </li>
</ul>


Screening US-listed China plays with negative EV and positive tailing EBITDA generates eight names. 
Of these companies, only two are expected to be EBITDA positive in FY22. 
They are JOYY (YY US) and Sohu.com (SOHU US). This insight looks at both names. 


Negative EVs: JOYY & Sohu's Steep Discount To Net Cash

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.</li>
<li>The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.</li>
</ul>


Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO was almost entirely taken up by cornerstones.
The company had also earlier obtained investments from Baidu and Alibaba, along with other mainly PE investors. These investors will be released from their lock-up on 1st Jun 2022.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates over the past few months.


Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>On 2nd Dec 2021, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) issued Final amendments to implement the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).</li>
<li>On 24th Mar 2021, SEC had issued Amendments, Seeks Public Comment on HFCAA. This was a follow up on the HFCAA.</li>
<li>In this note, we'll talk about the final amendments and its possible timelines and implications, and a possible trade setup.</li>
</ul>


On 2nd Dec 2021, Securities Exchange Commission (SEC) issued Final amendments to implement the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act (HFCAA).
On 24th Mar 2021, SEC had issued Amendments, Seeks Public Comment on HFCAA. This was a follow up on the HFCAA.
In this note, we'll talk about the final amendments and its possible timelines and implications, and a possible trade setup.


China ADRs Delisting - US Tightens and HK Loosens Requirements - Long/Short Basket Trade

Investment Advisors, JL Warren Capital

Junheng Li

Investment Advisors

JL Warren Capital

JL Warren Capital LLC is a leading independent equity research firm focused on Chinese companies and listed multinationals in China. We employ a bottom-up research approach that takes great care to avoid the acquisition of material non-public information. Through investigative due diligence including channel surveys and interviews, our research helps clients to pinpoint the dislocations in the market.

We believe that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/joyy-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:285:1" rel="noopener">JOYY (YY US)</a> is a special situation that warrants a close look from the long side.  Our recent checks in the live broadcasting broadcasters and agencies suggest that broadcasters see a surge in traffic/new viewers from BIDU in recent weeks.  BIDU traffic is of lower quality than YY as BIDU’s existing business model for live streaming is ecommerce.  YY, on the other hand, discusses tips for broadcasters.  <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a>  has opened multiple entries to YY.  For example, all viewers of Haokan Video (short video sub of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/baidu-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:179:1" rel="noopener">Baidu (BIDU US)</a> ) now have access to YY subsidiaries.  Haokan is said to have 30MM DAU through independent Haokan App, and 110 MM DAU through all apps in Baidu ecosystem in 2019.  Assuming YY can convert 1% DAU to paying users, that is 26% boost to YY existing paying users.

We believe that JOYY (YY US) is a special situation that warrants a close look from the long side.  Our recent checks in the live broadcasting broadcasters and agencies suggest that broadcasters see a surge in traffic/new viewers from BIDU in recent weeks.  BIDU traffic is of lower quality than YY as BIDU’s existing business model for live streaming is ecommerce.  YY, on the other hand, discusses tips for broadcasters.  Baidu (BIDU US)  has opened multiple entries to YY.  For example, all viewers of Haokan Video (short video sub of Baidu (BIDU US) ) now have access to YY subsidiaries.  Haokan is said to have 30MM DAU through independent Haokan App, and 110 MM DAU through all apps in Baidu ecosystem in 2019.  Assuming YY can convert 1% DAU to paying users, that is 26% boost to YY existing paying users.

BIDU-YY Live Streaming Integration Update: Unlocking Deep Value in YY

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Webtoon Entertainment / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/webtoon-entertainment-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:43652:1" rel="noopener">Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US)</a> raised around US$315m in its US IPO, after pricing the deal at the top of the range at US$21/share.</li>
<li>Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) raised around US$315m in its US IPO, after pricing the deal at the top of the range at US$21/share.
Webtoon Entertainment is a global storytelling platform where a community of creators and users discover, create and share new content.
In our previous notes, we talked about the company’s historical performance, undertook a peer comparison and shared our thoughts on valuation. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Webtoon Entertainment IPO Trading - Not Cheap Given the Lack of Growth

United States

TrueCar, Inc. develops and publishes an online automotive information and communication platform. The Company provides data and price reports for cars both online and over the phone for consumers and a communications platform for automobile dealers to communicate with consumers. TrueCar serves customers throughout the United States.

Tucows Inc. provides wholesale digital products to Internet service providers and Web hosting companies.  The Company distributes electronic business services and applications on the Internet.  The Company provides wholesale domain name registration.

Quotient Technology Inc. operates a promotion platform. The Company offers online printable, social, and mobile coupons in apparel, automotive, beverages, books, entertainment, food, healthcare, household, office supplies, pet, photography, professional services, and restaurants.

DHI Group, Inc. is a provider that specialize in career sites and career fairs for high growth vertical sectors. The Company provides services to help recruiters, consultants and businesses hire and train highly qualified professionals.

Travelzoo Inc. provides online marketing solutions to the travel industry.  The Company publishes deals from travel, entertainment, and local companies. Travelzoo researches, evaluates, and tests numerous deals and recommends deals whose accuracy and availability can be confirmed.

Brightcove Inc. provides video hosting and publishing services. The Company operates a video platform whose services include uploading and encoding, content management, players and styling, delivery, and live streaming. Brightcove offers its services globally.

Veritone, Inc. operates as a cloud-based artificial intelligence media technology company. The Company develops a cloud-based ecosystem that enables real-time audio and video processing, audience analytics, search, retrieval, replay, and share capabilities. Veritone offers visual and audio discovery applications.

LivePerson, Inc. provides technology that facilitates real-time sales and customer service for companies doing business on the Internet.  The Company, an application service provider, offers its real-time interaction technology as an outsourced service.  The LivePerson service enables its clients to communicate directly with Internet users via text-based chat.

Marchex, Inc. provides Internet advertising services.  The Company offers call-based advertising and related services, pay-per-click advertising and related services and proprietary traffic sources.  Marchex also offers a suite of marketing products to resellers.  The Company serves business customers of all sizes.

comScore Inc provides data-based Internet infrastructure services to the Internet electronic economy.

Xiamen 35.com Technology Co., Ltd. researches and develops application software, provides corporate email hosting services, electronic business homepage building services.  The Company also provides domain name, office automation system (OA), and customer relationship management system (CRM).

Trade-Van Information Services Co., Ltd. provides custom filing services for importers and exporters through EDI (Electronic Data Interchange).  The Company's services include EDI, interactive EDI, file transfer, electronic mail, database inquiry, and archiving.

ACCESS CO., LTD. develops browser software for the Internet.  The Company designs custom browsers for manufacturers of electronics such as cellular phones, portable e-mail devices, handheld PCs, video game consoles, and car navigation systems.

ADDCN Technology Co., Ltd. operates an Internet trading platform and online apparel retail businesses. The Company's platforms trades in virtual treasures, housing for tenants and buyers, car sales and apparel retail.

Serko Ltd operates as an online corporate travel booking and expense management company.

MiX Telematics Limited is a leading global provider of fleet and mobile asset management solutions delivered as SaaS to customers in various countries. The company's products and services provide enterprise fleets, small fleets and consumers with solutions for safety, efficiency and security.

MarkLines Co., Ltd. is specialized in offering information about automobile industry on the Internet.  The Company also offers consulting and temporary staffing services.

Softbank Technology Corp. provides electronic commerce (EC) related services. The Company mainly provides Internet systems integration, web site management, marketing consulting, and technical support services.

Feelingk Co., Ltd. provides end-to-end solutions for the wireless Internet system.  The Company's products includes WAP gateway, Short Messaging Service Center (SMSC), and Push Proxy Gateway (PPG).  Feelingk provides wireless solution to major mobile telecom service providers such as SK and LG telecom.

Carta Holdings, Inc. provides on-line information retrieval services on a contract or fee basis.

HUYA Inc. operates as a game live streaming platform. The Company offers interactive video broadcast services including e-sports, music, reality show, entertainment genres, talent shows, and anime and outdoor activities. HUYA serves customers in China.

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HUYA (HUYA US)

Negative EVs: JOYY & Sohu's Steep Discount To Net Cash

I'd tilt slightly towards Sohu. It did successfully sell Sogou; whereas Joyy failed to sell YY live. That may provide some insight as to how the...

David Blennerhassett

Cloud Village IPO Lock-Up - Selling the PE Stock (US$350m) Might Solve the Liquidity Issues

Cloud Village Inc. (CVI), also known as NetEase Music, raised around US$420m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. Investors will be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

China ADRs Delisting - US Tightens and HK Loosens Requirements - Long/Short Basket Trade

On 2nd Dec 2021, SEC issued Final amendments to implement the Holding Foreign Companies Accountable Act. In this note we will talk about the final...

Sumeet Singh

BIDU-YY Live Streaming Integration Update: Unlocking Deep Value in YY

YY to broadcaster on May 21: “YY and Baidu live streaming channels will start sharing data. We asked our live broadcasters to welcome the new...

JL Warren Capital

Webtoon Entertainment IPO Trading - Not Cheap Given the Lack of Growth

Webtoon Entertainment (WBTN US) raised around US$315m in its US IPO, after pricing the deal at the top of the range at US$21/share.

Ethan Aw

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