Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Foundry segment is on track to decline 15% YoY with no prospects of a meaningful H2 recovery</li>
<li>Inventory levels across smartphone, PC and consumer electronic supply chains remain elevated, plagued by lack-lustre end user demand. </li>
<li>At least some of the key players appear to be lowering prices but this is highly unlikely to stimulate end user demand and may actually make things worse</li>
</ul>


Foundry segment is on track to decline 15% YoY with no prospects of a meaningful H2 recovery
Inventory levels across smartphone, PC and consumer electronic supply chains remain elevated, plagued by lack-lustre end user demand. 
At least some of the key players appear to be lowering prices but this is highly unlikely to stimulate end user demand and may actually make things worse


Q2'23 Foundry Flounders As Inventory Stubbornly Lingers

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.</li><li>Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.</li><li>Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Lam Research and KLA reported in-line 2Q23 results but better GPM on improved product mix.Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.Both stayed cautious on low UTR in memory market (guidance of 40% to mid-40% YoY decline), but positive on AI demand to boost packaging business in FY23E. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

<ul><li>TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.</li><li>Mgmt. guided down FY23E revenue to 10% YoY decline from prior low to mid-single digit decline on macro headwinds, slower China recovery and demand weakness.</li><li>As such, we believe market will turn more conservative on 3Q inventory correction and 4Q demand recovery. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.Mgmt. guided down FY23E revenue to 10% YoY decline from prior low to mid-single digit decline on macro headwinds, slower China recovery and demand weakness.As such, we believe market will turn more conservative on 3Q inventory correction and 4Q demand recovery. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 2Q23: Slower 3Q and China Recovery

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

Hua Hong Semiconductor / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hua Hong reported C1Q23 top-line, IFRS EBIT, and non-IFRS net income in-line, (15.3%), and 13.3% vs. our est., and in-line, (3.4%), and 34.9% vs. cons., respectively. </li>
<li>Hua Hong reported 1Q23 utilization rate of 103%, higher than peers, which we believe is due to (1) large EV and new energy exposure, and (2) 8” price cuts. </li>
<li>Despite near-term margin deterioration, we maintain Hua Hong’s BUY and HK$ 35 TP due to auto IC exposure and localization, implying 11x FY24 PE.</li>
</ul>


Hua Hong reported C1Q23 top-line, IFRS EBIT, and non-IFRS net income in-line, (15.3%), and 13.3% vs. our est., and in-line, (3.4%), and 34.9% vs. cons., respectively. 
Hua Hong reported 1Q23 utilization rate of 103%, higher than peers, which we believe is due to (1) large EV and new energy exposure, and (2) 8” price cuts. 
Despite near-term margin deterioration, we maintain Hua Hong’s BUY and HK$ 35 TP due to auto IC exposure and localization, implying 11x FY24 PE.


[Hua Hong (1347 HK) Earnings Review]: Capacity Ramp and High LIBOR Impact Profitability

<ul>
<li>Q1’23 revenues of US$630.8 million, up 6.1% YoY and flat sequentially.</li>
<li>Gross margin was 32.1%, up 5.2 points YoY but down 6.1 points sequentially.</li>
<li>HH is playing a blinder through the downturn and likely beyond...</li>
</ul>


Q1’23 revenues of US$630.8 million, up 6.1% YoY and flat sequentially.
Gross margin was 32.1%, up 5.2 points YoY but down 6.1 points sequentially.
HH is playing a blinder through the downturn and likely beyond...


Hua Hong Semi (1347.HK) Q1'23 Revenue US$630.8 Million, Flat QoQ, +6.1% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

China

Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd is a PV glass manufacturer. The Company also markets float glass, household glass and architectural glass.

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor Co., Ltd. manufactures discrete semiconductor devices. The Company's main products are High Voltage Diode, Silicon Rectifier Diode, Silicon Bridge Rectifier, MWO High Voltage Silicon Diode and special High Voltage Silicon Diode .

Tianjin Zhonghuan Semiconductor (002129 CH)

TongFu Microelectronics Co., Ltd. manufactures integrated chips. The Company provides assembling and testing service for memory, microprocessor, micro-controller, hybrid circuit, analog circuit, and other related services throughout China.

Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd develops, researches, tests, and sells integrated circuits.

Hangzhou Silan Microelectronics Co., Ltd (600460 CH)

Ingenic Semiconductor Company Limited develops and sells  32-bit embedded central processing unit and supporting software platforms. The Company's main product is central processing units.

Silergy Corp designs and manufactures a broad range of high performance analog integrated circuits.  The Company's products include single output step down regulators, dual output regulators, single output step by step regulators, power management ICs, step up LED backlight regulator, AC-DC LED lighting controller, DC input LED lighting drivers, LDO regulators, and protection switch

Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electrical Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells crystalline silicon growth devices and its control systems. The Company's main products include fully automatic monocrystalline silicon growth furnaces, polysilicon ingot furnaces, monocrystalline silicon growth furnace control systems.

Zhejiang Jingsheng Mechanical & Electr (300316 CH)

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co.,Ltd. specializes in IC testing and packaging for the semiconductor ICs, devices and components.

Tianshui Huatian Technology Co, Ltd. (002185 CH)

Shenzhen Goodix Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures semiconductor components. The Company develops, produces, and distributes fingerprint identification chips, capacitive touch controller chips, and more. Shenzhen Goodix Technology also provides technology training and hardware testing services worldwide.

Changsha Jingjia Microelectronics Co., Ltd. designs and manufactures electronic components.  The Company manufactures components for graphics processing, displays, IC products, and more.

SUMCO Corporation manufactures silicon wafers for the semiconductor industry. The Company produces silicon wafers used to produce solar batteries as well as ultra-high purity quartz used to produce vessels for silicon manufacturing process. SUMCO markets its products worldwide.

Axcelis Technologies, Inc. manufactures components for the semiconductor industry. The Company designs, manufactures and services ion implantation, dry strip, thermal processing and curing equipment used in the fabrication of semiconductor chips. Axcelis Technologies sells their products to semiconductor chip manufacturers worldwide.

eMemory Technology, Inc. develops and provides logic non-volatile memory (LogicNVM) technology. The company licenses its intellectual property to semiconductor foundries, integrated devices manufacturers (IDMs), and fabless design houses around the world.

ROHM COMPANY LIMITED manufactures custom linear integrated circuits and semiconductor devices for use primarily in consumer electronics.  The Company has plants and sales offices worldwide.  Rohm's subsidiaries include Wako Electric and Apollo Electronics.

Diodes Incorporated manufactures and supplies discrete, logic, and analog semiconductor devices to consumers in the electronics, computing, industrial, communications, and automotive markets. The Company's products include diodes, transistors, MOSFETs, single gate logic, LED drivers, and USB switches.

Nanya Technology Corp. manufactures and markets dynamic random access memories (DRAMs).  The Company sells its products in Taiwan and exports worldwide.

Sino-American Silicon Products Inc. supplies silicon-based products, including silicon lapped wafer, silicon diffusion wafer, silicon ingot, silicon diffused diode chip, and automobile rectifier.  The Company sells its products worldwide.

GCL-Poly Energy Holdings Ltd is a Chinese power company that produces solar grade polysilicon and operates cogeneration plants and in China.

Gcl Poly Energy Holdings Limited (3800 HK)

King Yuan Electronics Co., Ltd. provides integrated circuit (IC) testing services to semiconductor manufacturers.  The Company tests the logic, memory, and burn-in functions of ICs.  King Yuan also specializes in IC reeling, packaging, and wafer grinding.

Rambus Inc. designs, develops, licenses, and markets high-speed chip-to-chip interface technology to enhance the performance and cost-effectiveness of consumer electronics, computer systems, and other electronic systems.  The Company licenses semiconductor companies to manufacture and sell memory and logic ICs incorporating Rambus interface technology.

Hua Hong Semiconductor Limited manufactures semiconductors on 200mm wafers for specialty applications. The Company's products are used in the consumer electronic, communication, computing and industrial, and automotive industries.

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Hua Hong Semiconductor (1347 HK)

Q2'23 Foundry Flounders As Inventory Stubbornly Lingers

Foundry heading for 15% YoY decline with no prospect of a meaningful H2 recovery. Some key players may be lowering prices. This is unlikely to...

William Keating

China Technology – Implications of Lam Research and KLA 2Q23 results

Looking into 2023, while Lam raised WFE spending on China-related and HBM demand, KLA maintained forecast of 20% YoY decline.

CMB International

China Technology – Implications of TSMC 2Q23: Slower 3Q and China Recovery

TSMC unveiled an in-line 2Q23 results but guided slow 3Q recovery due to longer inventory correction and China weakness despite stronger AI demand.

CMB International

[Hua Hong (1347 HK) Earnings Review]: Capacity Ramp and High LIBOR Impact Profitability

Despite near-term margin deterioration, we maintain Hua Hong’s BUY and HK$ 35 TP due to auto IC exposure and localization, implying 11x FY24 PE.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Hua Hong Semi (1347.HK) Q1'23 Revenue US$630.8 Million, Flat QoQ, +6.1% YoY. Q2'23 Flat QoQ

Q1’23 revenues of US$630.8 million, up 6.1% YoY and flat sequentially. Gross margin 32.1%, up 5.2 points YoY but down 6.1 points QoQ. HH is playing...

William Keating

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