Financials & FinTech research, Galliano’s Financials Research

Victor Galliano

Financials & FinTech research

Financials & FinTech, EM & Developed Markets

Galliano’s Financials Research

Galliano's Financials Research provides fundamental research in Emerging Markets financials, including FinTech, as well as financials in select Developed Markets.

The investment style applied is generally value oriented, although Growth At Reasonable Price (GARP) strategies can also be used where appropriate. 

Our investment research approach aim is often contrarian, looking to capitalise on overly sceptical or optimistic consensus views. In terms of valuation techniques, the focus is on PBV ratio to ROE, PE multiples and dividend yield, as well as the application of PEG ratios and, where appropriate, Sum of the Parts (SOTP) valuations.

Event-Driven

Grupo Financiero Banorte SAB d / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Banorte and Santander have both hired M&amp;A advisors for a potential Citibanamex bid, according to Reuters; Banco Azteca is not participating in the bidding, whilst Inbursa is potentially still interested</li>
<li>In the event of a bid, we do not expect Santander to be aggressive on price; Banorte could be more aggressive, which would increase its chances of a winning bid</li>
<li>Were Banorte to acquire Citibanamex, we continue to believe that its prospective dividend could be at risk; in essence, the risks of M&amp;A still outweigh the potential opportunities</li>
</ul>


Banorte and Santander have both hired M&amp;A advisors for a potential Citibanamex bid, according to Reuters; Banco Azteca is not participating in the bidding, whilst Inbursa is potentially still interested
In the event of a bid, we do not expect Santander to be aggressive on price; Banorte could be more aggressive, which would increase its chances of a winning bid
Were Banorte to acquire Citibanamex, we continue to believe that its prospective dividend could be at risk; in essence, the risks of M&amp;A still outweigh the potential opportunities


CitiBanamex – Potential Bidders Get Serious, We Stay Cautious on Banorte

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split US$0.4bn for Shanghai and US$0.9bn for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc-4cc65854-d10c-4d20-bf7e-ca0e016715ff" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33772:1" rel="noopener">XPeng (9868 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-exchanges-clearing" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:490:1" rel="noopener">HKEX (388 HK)</a>. The largest outflow was in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/koolearn-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27796:1" rel="noopener">Koolearn (1797 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow over the past week was ~US$1.3bn, split US$0.4bn for Shanghai and US$0.9bn for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into XPeng (9868 HK) and HKEX (388 HK). The largest outflow was in Meituan (3690 HK) and Koolearn (1797 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (24 June 2022)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO barely made it through and was priced at the bottom of its IPO price range.</li>
<li>STG is a leading AI software company. STG was the largest AI software company in Asia in terms of 2020 revenue, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>


SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The IPO barely made it through and was priced at the bottom of its IPO price range.
STG is a leading AI software company. STG was the largest AI software company in Asia in terms of 2020 revenue, as per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S).
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


SenseTime Lock-Up -Investment Blacklist Will Further Pressurize the Upcoming US$18bn Lock-Up Release

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow was ~US$1.9bn, split US$0.7bn for Shanghai and US$1.2bn for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a>and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>. The largest outflow was in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/industrial-and-commercial-bank-of-china-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1119:1" rel="noopener">ICBC (H) (1398 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry
Overall, net inflow was ~US$1.9bn, split US$0.7bn for Shanghai and US$1.2bn for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)and Meituan (3690 HK). The largest outflow was in ICBC (H) (1398 HK).


Shanghai/​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (17 June 2022)

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) &lt;US$0.1bn for Shanghai and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen.</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-kuaishou-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-apptec" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23679:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cnooc-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:175:1" rel="noopener">CNOOC Ltd (883 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Shanghai and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) &lt;US$0.1bn for Shanghai and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen.
The largest inflows were into Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and Wuxi Biologics (2269 HK). The largest outflows were in CNOOC Ltd (883 HK) and Tencent (700 HK).


Shanghai/​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance.  The Group operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HSBC Holdings (5 HK)

CitiBanamex – Potential Bidders Get Serious, We Stay Cautious on Banorte

Banorte and Santander hire M&A advisors for their Banamex bids, Inbursa is a likely candidate; Banorte remains the favourite, we believe, and so we...

Victor Galliano

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (24 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow for the week was ~US$1.3bn, split US$0.4bn for Shanghai and US$0.9bn for Shenzhen. The largest inflows were into XPeng and...

David Blennerhassett

SenseTime Lock-Up -Investment Blacklist Will Further Pressurize the Upcoming US$18bn Lock-Up Release

SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The lockup on the pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will expire later this month.

Sumeet Singh

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (17 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$1.9bn, split US$0.7bn for the Shanghai Southbound Connect and US$1.2bn for Shenzhen Southbound Connect.

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) <US$0.1bn for Shanghai Southbound and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen Southbound.

David Blennerhassett

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

CitiBanamex – Potential Bidders Get Serious, We Stay Cautious on Banorte

Banorte and Santander hire M&A advisors for their Banamex bids, Inbursa is a likely candidate; Banorte remains the favourite, we believe, and so we...

Victor Galliano

Shanghai/​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (24 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow for the week was ~US$1.3bn, split US$0.4bn for Shanghai and US$0.9bn for Shenzhen. The largest inflows were into XPeng and...

David Blennerhassett

SenseTime Lock-Up -Investment Blacklist Will Further Pressurize the Upcoming US$18bn Lock-Up Release

SenseTime Group (STG) raised US$741m in its Hong Kong IPO in Dec 21. The lockup on the pre-IPO and cornerstone investors will expire later this month.

Sumeet Singh

Shanghai/​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (17 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$1.9bn, split US$0.7bn for the Shanghai Southbound Connect and US$1.2bn for Shenzhen Southbound Connect.

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)

Overall, net inflow was ~US$0.6bn, split (roughly) <US$0.1bn for Shanghai Southbound and US$0.5bn for Shenzhen Southbound.

David Blennerhassett

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (24 June 2022)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (17 June 2022)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (9 June 2022)