Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HSBC holds 19% of BoCom and still carries it with a value of USD23.3bn despite the stock market valuation putting it closer to USD8.1bn on YE22 figures. </li>
<li>The bank cites its Value In Use testing as the justifiable reason for this gap, and this testing will include major assumptions like discount rates and long term growth rates.</li>
<li>Goodwill and other intangible charges were USD10.6bn in FY08, USD3.4bn in FY16, and USD7.4bn in FY19 for HSBC. </li>
</ul>


HSBC holds 19% of BoCom and still carries it with a value of USD23.3bn despite the stock market valuation putting it closer to USD8.1bn on YE22 figures. 
The bank cites its Value In Use testing as the justifiable reason for this gap, and this testing will include major assumptions like discount rates and long term growth rates.
Goodwill and other intangible charges were USD10.6bn in FY08, USD3.4bn in FY16, and USD7.4bn in FY19 for HSBC. 


HSBC - Gap of USD15bn on Carrying Value Vs Fair Value of BoCom, as China Economy Weakens More

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>HSBC Holdings Plc Wednesday reported a $3 billion write-down on its stake in a Chinese bank, underscoring challenges the British lender faces in one of its key growth markets.</li><li>Europe’s largest bank by assets took a charge on its 19.03% holding in Bank of Communications Co. Ltd. (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/601328.SH" target="_blank" rel="noopener">601328.SH</a> +1.41%), one of China’s biggest state-owned banks, after a reassessment of the accounting value-in-use, the bank said in a release of its fourth quarter financial results.</li><li>The reassessment compared the future cash flow from the asset, discounted for underlying risk, with the stake’s carrying value, which measures the cost of the asset minus depreciation factors.</li></ul>

HSBC Holdings Plc Wednesday reported a $3 billion write-down on its stake in a Chinese bank, underscoring challenges the British lender faces in one of its key growth markets.Europe’s largest bank by assets took a charge on its 19.03% holding in Bank of Communications Co. Ltd. (601328.SH +1.41%), one of China’s biggest state-owned banks, after a reassessment of the accounting value-in-use, the bank said in a release of its fourth quarter financial results.The reassessment compared the future cash flow from the asset, discounted for underlying risk, with the stake’s carrying value, which measures the cost of the asset minus depreciation factors.

HSBC Takes $3 Billion Charge on BoCom Holdings 

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Go Digit General Insurance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-digit-general-insurance-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36266:1" rel="noopener">Go Digit General Insurance</a> raised US$315m in its India IPO in May 2024, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Go Digit General Insurance raised US$315m in its India IPO in May 2024, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.
Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Go Digit IPO Lockup - Promoters and Investors Could Look to Sell in the US$2.1bn Release

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 01/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, contrary to expectations of a 0.3m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stocks also bucked forecasts of a decline.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 69 Bcf for the week ending 01/Nov, higher than analyst expectations of a 67 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Halliburton missed revenue and EPS estimates by 2.2% and 2.7%. While Aramco beat revenue and EPS estimates by 11.2% and 2.2%. Numerous analysts upgraded their 12-month PT for Chevron.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 01/Nov, US crude inventories rose by 2.1m barrels, contrary to expectations of a 0.3m barrel decrease. Gasoline and distillate stocks also bucked forecasts of a decline.
US natural gas inventories rose 69 Bcf for the week ending 01/Nov, higher than analyst expectations of a 67 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 5.8% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Halliburton missed revenue and EPS estimates by 2.2% and 2.7%. While Aramco beat revenue and EPS estimates by 11.2% and 2.2%. Numerous analysts upgraded their 12-month PT for Chevron.


[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

<ul>
<li>For the week ending 11/Oct, US crude inventories decreased by 2.2m barrels, diverging from expectations of a 1.8m barrel build. Additionally, gasoline and distillate stockpiles also declined more than anticipated.</li>
<li>US natural gas inventories rose 76 Bcf for the week ending 11/Oct, lower than analyst expectations of an 80 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.</li>
<li>Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, analysts kept their Buy ratings on Reliance despite its net profit falling by 4.8% YoY.</li>
</ul>


For the week ending 11/Oct, US crude inventories decreased by 2.2m barrels, diverging from expectations of a 1.8m barrel build. Additionally, gasoline and distillate stockpiles also declined more than anticipated.
US natural gas inventories rose 76 Bcf for the week ending 11/Oct, lower than analyst expectations of an 80 Bcf buildup. Inventories are 4.6% above the 5-year seasonal average.
Halliburton, Schlumberger, and Occidental’s target prices were cut. Notably, analysts kept their Buy ratings on Reliance despite its net profit falling by 4.8% YoY.


[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance. HSBC Holdings operates worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

HSBC Holdings (HSBC US)

HSBC - Gap of USD15bn on Carrying Value Vs Fair Value of BoCom, as China Economy Weakens More

HSBC still carries its 19% investment in BoCom at a very high value compared with the market value and with a far weaker China outlook, we are not...

Daniel Tabbush

HSBC Takes $3 Billion Charge on BoCom Holdings

HSBC Holdings Plc Wednesday reported a $3 billion write-down on its stake in a Chinese bank, underscoring challenges the British lender faces in...

Caixin Global

Go Digit IPO Lockup - Promoters and Investors Could Look to Sell in the US$2.1bn Release

Go Digit General Insurance raised US$315m in its India IPO in May 2024, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. Its IPO lockup is set to...

Sumeet Singh

[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSBC - Gap of USD15bn on Carrying Value Vs Fair Value of BoCom, as China Economy Weakens More

HSBC still carries its 19% investment in BoCom at a very high value compared with the market value and with a far weaker China outlook, we are not...

Daniel Tabbush

HSBC Takes $3 Billion Charge on BoCom Holdings

HSBC Holdings Plc Wednesday reported a $3 billion write-down on its stake in a Chinese bank, underscoring challenges the British lender faces in...

Caixin Global

Go Digit IPO Lockup - Promoters and Investors Could Look to Sell in the US$2.1bn Release

Go Digit General Insurance raised US$315m in its India IPO in May 2024, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. Its IPO lockup is set to...

Sumeet Singh

[ETP 2024/45] WTI Drops on Trump’s Win and Rising Inventories, Henry Hub Gains on Supply Disruptions

​US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

Mint Finance

[ETP 2024/42] WTI Falls as Supply Disruption Fears Subside, Nat-Gas Slides on Weaker Demand Outlook

​US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...

Mint Finance

US crude and natural gas inventories rose above expectations, while Halliburton missed estimates and Aramco exceeded them. Analysts upgrade target...

US oil inventories see a surprise fall, while US nat-gas stock rises less than expected. Chevron sees a target price upgrade while HSBC expects a...