Research and consultancy, Tabbush Report

Daniel Tabbush

Research and consultancy

Tabbush Report

We provide research and consultancy on Asian banks. Our focus is on what we call “Asian bank research, without the noise.” We are interested in the most critical swing-factors for banks, the NPL and credit cycle, and where we believe there is a gap between perception and reality. We often focus on the less studied components of bank financial statements.  Our research is highly thematic, sometimes examining unlisted banks and companies as a window on mainstream banks. 

Being independent allows us to look at smaller banks, often overlooked by others. Analysis of BIS bank guidelines in the context of Asia, is also a focal point, while we also analyze global banks operating in the region. We use what we believe is the most comprehensive, reliable financials database, SNL Financial. S&P Capital IQ augments our database, with corporate data and CEIC, with economics. 

Asian bank research, without the noise.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>HSBC holds 19% of BoCom and still carries it with a value of USD23.3bn despite the stock market valuation putting it closer to USD8.1bn on YE22 figures. </li>
<li>The bank cites its Value In Use testing as the justifiable reason for this gap, and this testing will include major assumptions like discount rates and long term growth rates.</li>
<li>Goodwill and other intangible charges were USD10.6bn in FY08, USD3.4bn in FY16, and USD7.4bn in FY19 for HSBC. </li>
</ul>


HSBC holds 19% of BoCom and still carries it with a value of USD23.3bn despite the stock market valuation putting it closer to USD8.1bn on YE22 figures. 
The bank cites its Value In Use testing as the justifiable reason for this gap, and this testing will include major assumptions like discount rates and long term growth rates.
Goodwill and other intangible charges were USD10.6bn in FY08, USD3.4bn in FY16, and USD7.4bn in FY19 for HSBC. 


HSBC - Gap of USD15bn on Carrying Value Vs Fair Value of BoCom, as China Economy Weakens More

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

<ul><li>HSBC Holdings Plc Wednesday reported a $3 billion write-down on its stake in a Chinese bank, underscoring challenges the British lender faces in one of its key growth markets.</li><li>Europe’s largest bank by assets took a charge on its 19.03% holding in Bank of Communications Co. Ltd. (<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/601328.SH" target="_blank" rel="noopener">601328.SH</a> +1.41%), one of China’s biggest state-owned banks, after a reassessment of the accounting value-in-use, the bank said in a release of its fourth quarter financial results.</li><li>The reassessment compared the future cash flow from the asset, discounted for underlying risk, with the stake’s carrying value, which measures the cost of the asset minus depreciation factors.</li></ul>

HSBC Holdings Plc Wednesday reported a $3 billion write-down on its stake in a Chinese bank, underscoring challenges the British lender faces in one of its key growth markets.Europe’s largest bank by assets took a charge on its 19.03% holding in Bank of Communications Co. Ltd. (601328.SH +1.41%), one of China’s biggest state-owned banks, after a reassessment of the accounting value-in-use, the bank said in a release of its fourth quarter financial results.The reassessment compared the future cash flow from the asset, discounted for underlying risk, with the stake’s carrying value, which measures the cost of the asset minus depreciation factors.

HSBC Takes $3 Billion Charge on BoCom Holdings 

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>US large banks are showing sharply expanding loans in recent weeks, in granular HFD</li>
<li>This comes as their higher cost Jumbo Time Deposits are now showing negative growth</li>
<li>There are positive implications for net interest income, NIM and net profit delta of large US banks</li>
</ul>


US large banks are showing sharply expanding loans in recent weeks, in granular HFD
This comes as their higher cost Jumbo Time Deposits are now showing negative growth
There are positive implications for net interest income, NIM and net profit delta of large US banks


US Banks - HFD Shows Sharply Expanding Loans, with Newly Negative Growth in Jumbo Time Deposits

Podcast of business and financial stories, Behind the Money

Behind the Money

Podcast of business and financial stories

From hostile takeovers to C-suite intrigue, Behind the Money takes you inside the business and financial stories of the moment with reporting from Financial Times journalists around the world.

<ul><li>Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges and opportunities for the banking sector in the next four years</li><li>The US banking sector is expected to remain strong and dominant, with potential growth for top banks like JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.</li><li>The future of banking may see a divide between larger, stronger banks and fewer smaller institutions, with potential changes in the private credit sector.</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges and opportunities for the banking sector in the next four yearsThe US banking sector is expected to remain strong and dominant, with potential growth for top banks like JP Morgan and Wells Fargo.The future of banking may see a divide between larger, stronger banks and fewer smaller institutions, with potential changes in the private credit sector.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

What Trump’s presidency means for banking

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Go Digit General Insurance / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/go-digit-general-insurance-l" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36266:1" rel="noopener">Go Digit General Insurance</a> raised US$315m in its India IPO in May 2024, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.</li>
<li>Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Go Digit General Insurance raised US$315m in its India IPO in May 2024, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. Its IPO lockup is set to expire soon.
Go Digit General Insurance is a digital full stack insurance company, offering motor insurance, health insurance, travel insurance, property insurance, marine insurance, liability insurance and other insurance products.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Go Digit IPO Lockup - Promoters and Investors Could Look to Sell in the US$2.1bn Release

United Kingdom

HSBC Holdings plc is the holding company for the HSBC Group. The Company provides a variety of international banking and financial services, including retail and corporate banking, trade, trusteeship, securities, custody, capital markets, treasury, private and investment banking, and insurance. HSBC Holdings operates worldwide.

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HSBC Holdings (HSBC US)

HSBC - Gap of USD15bn on Carrying Value Vs Fair Value of BoCom, as China Economy Weakens More

HSBC still carries its 19% investment in BoCom at a very high value compared with the market value and with a far weaker China outlook, we are not...

Daniel Tabbush

HSBC Takes $3 Billion Charge on BoCom Holdings

HSBC Holdings Plc Wednesday reported a $3 billion write-down on its stake in a Chinese bank, underscoring challenges the British lender faces in...

Caixin Global

US Banks - HFD Shows Sharply Expanding Loans, with Newly Negative Growth in Jumbo Time Deposits

US large banks show loans accelerating (but not riskier CRE loans) and with higher cost Jumbo time deposit growth now turning negative in new...

Daniel Tabbush

What Trump’s presidency means for banking

Uncertainty around Trump administration's policies, including deregulation and potential impacts on banking and the economy, may create challenges...

Behind the Money

Go Digit IPO Lockup - Promoters and Investors Could Look to Sell in the US$2.1bn Release

Go Digit General Insurance raised US$315m in its India IPO in May 2024, via selling a mix of primary and secondary shares. Its IPO lockup is set to...

Sumeet Singh

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