IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

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Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s scheme document is out with the scheme meeting scheduled for 26 April. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. </li>
<li>The headcount test, the key risk, applies unless the amended Cayman Islands Act becomes law before the court meeting date on 26 April. The legislative timetable has not been set. </li>
<li>Current deal probability implies a 65% chance of success, which fairly reflects the deal risk in our view. At last close, the gross spread is 14.2%. </li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s scheme document is out with the scheme meeting scheduled for 26 April. The IFA considers the offer to be fair and reasonable. 
The headcount test, the key risk, applies unless the amended Cayman Islands Act becomes law before the court meeting date on 26 April. The legislative timetable has not been set. 
Current deal probability implies a 65% chance of success, which fairly reflects the deal risk in our view. At last close, the gross spread is 14.2%. 


Razer’s Scheme Meeting on 26 April, Headcount Test Still Applicable, IFA Opinion

Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Capital Markets

Hewlett Packard Co / Equity Capital Markets

<ul><li>HP Inc. has delivered a decent, sustainable growth in revenues and free cash flows in 2021.</li><li>The growth of HP's commercial PC business in the year is offsetting the relative slowdown in its consumer business as the tailwinds of the Covid-19 lockdowns have receded.</li><li>It is expected by the management that the business will generate a free cash flow of a minimum of $4.5 billion in the year 2022 which is a positive sign, particularly for yield investors as HP is known for its heavy dividend payouts and buybacks.</li></ul>

HP Inc. has delivered a decent, sustainable growth in revenues and free cash flows in 2021.The growth of HP's commercial PC business in the year is offsetting the relative slowdown in its consumer business as the tailwinds of the Covid-19 lockdowns have receded.It is expected by the management that the business will generate a free cash flow of a minimum of $4.5 billion in the year 2022 which is a positive sign, particularly for yield investors as HP is known for its heavy dividend payouts and buybacks.

Credit

<ul><li>HP Inc. has delivered a good performance in 2021 and had a minimal impact of the post-lockdown slowdown.</li><li>The growth of its commercial PC business in the year is offsetting the relative slowdown in its consumer business as the tailwinds of the Covid-19 have faded away.</li><li>This has helped the company produce strong free cash, enough for its heavy dividend payouts and buybacks.</li></ul>

HP Inc. has delivered a good performance in 2021 and had a minimal impact of the post-lockdown slowdown.The growth of its commercial PC business in the year is offsetting the relative slowdown in its consumer business as the tailwinds of the Covid-19 have faded away.This has helped the company produce strong free cash, enough for its heavy dividend payouts and buybacks.

HP Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s FY21 results beat consensus revenue by 8% but came below consensus EBIT by 3%, based on CapitalIQ data.</li>
<li>The management did their best to dampen sentiment by pointing out slowing growth momentum and margin compression due to significant growth investments in 2022.  </li>
<li>We think that the results/outlook do little to increase the attractiveness of the offer. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s FY21 results beat consensus revenue by 8% but came below consensus EBIT by 3%, based on CapitalIQ data.
The management did their best to dampen sentiment by pointing out slowing growth momentum and margin compression due to significant growth investments in 2022.  
We think that the results/outlook do little to increase the attractiveness of the offer. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – FY21 Results

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/razer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24380:1" rel="noopener">Razer Inc (1337 HK)</a>'s scheme document will be released after the FY21 results, which are on 17 March. The headcount test is a key challenge. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/logitech-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22422:1" rel="noopener">Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)</a>’s investor/analyst day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity and adds to minorities’ grievances that the offer price is unattractive. </li>
<li>Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross spread of 19%. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).</li>
</ul>



Razer Inc (1337 HK)'s scheme document will be released after the FY21 results, which are on 17 March. The headcount test is a key challenge. 

Logitech International SA (LOGN SW)’s investor/analyst day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity and adds to minorities’ grievances that the offer price is unattractive. 
Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross spread of 19%. We would be buyers up to HK$2.5 per share (implies 65% deal probability).


Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Takeaways from Logitech’s Investor Day

United States

HP Inc. provides imaging and printing systems, computing systems, mobile devices, solutions, and services for business and home. The Company offers products which includes laser and inkjet printers, scanners, copiers and faxes, personal computers, workstations, storage solutions, and other computing and printing systems. HP sells its products worldwide.

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Hewlett Packard Co (HPQ US)

Razer’s Scheme Meeting on 26 April, Headcount Test Still Applicable, IFA Opinion

Razer's scheme/court meeting is scheduled for 26 April. The headcount test applies unless the amended Cayman Islands Act becomes law before the...

Arun George

HP Inc.: Financial & Price Forecasts

HP Inc. has delivered a decent, sustainable growth in revenues and free cash flows in 2021. The growth of HP's commercial PC business in the year...

Baptista Research

HP Inc.: Detailed Credit Analysis & Financial Strength Evaluation Report

HP Inc. has delivered a good performance in 2021 and had a minimal impact of the post-lockdown slowdown. The growth of its commercial PC business...

Baptista Research

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – FY21 Results

The management did their best to sound downbeat by pointing out slowing growth and margin compression in 2022. We think that the results/outlook do...

Arun George

Razer's Offer Spread Risk/Reward – Takeaways from Logitech’s Investor Day

Logitech’s investor day on 3 March underscores Razer’s opportunity. Current deal probability implies broadly a 50/50 chance of success with a gross...

Arun George

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